Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a• Iraqi League, Iraq

#150.2:0.81-0LiveToday1.2:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10BVCX3.10B36521.95WHMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets50Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	4.10	3.10	1.90	9.3%
1xBet	3.92	3.00	1.92	10.9%
Bet365	3.90	3.10	1.85	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.80	3.00	1.90	12.3%
William Hill	3.90	2.80	1.95	12.6%
Pinnacle	3.93	2.93	1.88	12.8%
Best of all books	4.10	3.10	1.95	7.9%
Average	3.92	2.99	1.90	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ghaz Al ShamalAl Zawra'a

Last 10#15Table position#40.89Points per game2.003Form pts · last 5100.2Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.014Attack rating8656Defence rating4423Form rating770H2H rating032Goals model6831Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 00:40 UTC

Ghaz Al Shamal

1W 5D 3L · goals 4:7 · per match 0.4 for, 0.8 against

10 Oct	A	Al Minaa Basra	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Newroz	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D
8 Sep	A	Duhok	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Gharraf	1-0	W
25 Aug	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
20 Aug	H	Al Kahrabaa	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Zakho	0-1	L

Al Zawra'a

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

13 Oct	A	Qatar SC	1-1	D
8 Oct	A	Duhok	0-3	L
17 Sep	H	Gharraf	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-0	W
7 Sep	H	Al Kahrabaa	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Mosul	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Zakho	4-0	W
25 Aug	H	Naft Maysan	4-0	W
21 Aug	A	Karbala	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Al Minaa Basra	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Zawra'a on record.

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 18 Oct 00:40 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Ghaz Al Shamal sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, while Al Zawra'a are 4th with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	10	7	3	0	17:7	+10	24
2	Newroz	10	6	3	1	16:4	+12	21
3	Naft	10	6	3	1	13:5	+8	21
4	Al Zawra'a	9	5	3	1	15:6	+9	18
5	Erbil	9	5	3	1	13:4	+9	18
6	Al Shorta	9	4	4	1	9:4	+5	16
7	Al-Jolan SC	10	3	5	2	10:9	+1	14
8	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	10	2	6	2	14:12	+2	12
9	Duhok	10	2	6	2	14:13	+1	12
10	Diyala	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
11	Al Minaa Basra	10	3	3	4	10:12	-2	12
12	Al Talaba	10	2	5	3	10:14	-4	11
13	Zakho	10	2	3	5	7:14	-7	9
14	Gharraf	10	2	3	5	6:13	-7	9
15	Ghaz Al Shamal	9	1	5	3	4:7	-3	8
16	Al Kahrabaa	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8
17	Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
18	Naft Maysan	10	1	5	4	7:14	-7	8
19	Al Karkh	9	2	1	6	12:17	-5	7
20	Karbala	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.92X30%2.99247%1.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.71 → 3.92 -16.8%X3.30 → 2.99 -9.4%21.68 → 1.90 +13.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
BetVictor	2.45	1.50	7.5%
1xBet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.40	1.47	9.7%
Best of all books	2.45	1.60	3.3%
Average	2.37	1.51	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.63	9.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.08	1.64	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ghaz Al Shamal 10%Draw 45%Al Zawra'a 45%

The statistical model rates Ghaz Al Shamal at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Zawra'a at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.92 | 2.99 | 1.90, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Ghaz Al Shamal are 15th (8 pts, 4-7 goals), Al Zawra'a 4th (18 pts, 15-6).

Over their last five matches, Ghaz Al Shamal averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Al Zawra'a averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Zawra'a and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.92	2.99	1.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.76	1.18	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.95	1.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.08	1.64

1st half

1	X	2
4.83	1.94	2.55

2nd half

1	X	2
4.23	2.17	2.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.20	19.0	29.5
HT X	8.75	4.40	4.65
HT 2	45.5	18.0	2.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.77	6.80	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.20
1.5	1.44	2.46
2.5	2.37	1.51
3.5	4.50	1.13
4.5	9.10	1.02
5.5	29.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	5.40
1	1.09	5.30
1.25	1.27	3.16
1.75	1.57	2.17
2	1.79	1.86
2.25	2.05	1.66
2.75	2.81	1.34
3	3.58	1.22
3.25	4.10	1.16
3.75	4.70	1.15
4	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.25	1.26
0	2.75	1.35
+0.25	2.07	1.63
+0.5	1.84	1.89
+0.75	1.64	2.11
+1	1.32	2.95

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.00	1.02
-1	8.40	1.01
-0.75	5.30	1.12
+1.25	1.24	3.39
+1.5	1.24	3.48
+1.75	1.11	4.95
+2	1.03	7.50
+2.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.39	2.69
7.5	1.60	2.13
8	1.83	1.83
8.5	2.13	1.60
9	2.64	1.40
9.5	3.03	1.31

Latest Iraqi League results

17 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al-Karma
16 Oct	Diyala 2-0 Naft Maysan
16 Oct	Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Talaba
16 Oct	Newroz 2-0 Al Minaa Basra
10 Oct	Al-Karma 3-2 Al Karkh
10 Oct	Al Minaa Basra 2-0 Ghaz Al Shamal