Al-Karma vs Al Karkh• Iraqi League, Iraq

#12.0:0.40-0LiveToday2.0:2.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X4.60DAF28.151XBMargin at best4.4%Books8Markets50Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 15:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.36	4.60	8.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.36	4.20	8.00	9.8%
Betano	1.42	3.95	6.70	10.7%
1xBet	1.34	4.15	8.15	11.0%
Pinnacle	1.33	4.37	7.59	11.2%
William Hill	1.36	3.90	8.00	11.7%
Bet365	1.42	3.80	6.50	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.33	4.15	7.70	12.3%
Best of all books	1.42	4.60	8.15	4.4%
Average	1.36	4.14	7.58	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al-KarmaAl Karkh

Last 10#1Table position#172.50Points per game0.8815Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5083Defence rating1768Form rating3250H2H rating5091Goals model965Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:31 UTC

Al-Karma

8W 2D 0L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against

19 Sep	H	Zakho	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Erbil	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Naft	3-0	W
3 Sep	A	Diyala	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Karbala	2-0	W
26 Aug	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Al Shorta	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Mosul	1-1	D
2 Jun	A	Al Kahrabaa	3-0	W
27 May	H	Diyala	1-0	W

Al Karkh

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

17 Sep	H	Naft Maysan	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Duhok	3-2	W
9 Sep	A	Al Talaba	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Karbala	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Al Kahrabaa	2-2	D
25 Aug	H	Erbil	0-1	L
20 Aug	A	Al-Jolan SC	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Naft	0-2	L
1 Jun	A	Al Talaba	1-1	D
28 May	H	Al Shorta	0-2	L

Head to head

1Al-Karma wins

2draws

1Al Karkh wins

4 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Al-Karma

22 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Karkh0-0Al-Karma
31 Jan 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al-Karma1-1Al Karkh
19 May 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Karkh0-1Al-Karma
23 Jan 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al-Karma0-1Al Karkh

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 10 Oct 17:02 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Al-Karma sit 1st with 20 points from 8 games, while Al Karkh are 17th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	8	6	2	0	14:5	+9	20
2	Newroz	9	5	3	1	14:4	+10	18
3	Al Zawra'a	9	5	3	1	15:6	+9	18
4	Erbil	9	5	3	1	13:4	+9	18
5	Naft	9	5	3	1	11:5	+6	18
6	Al Shorta	9	4	4	1	9:4	+5	16
7	Duhok	9	2	6	1	14:11	+3	12
8	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	+2	11
9	Al-Jolan SC	9	2	5	2	8:9	-1	11
10	Al Minaa Basra	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
11	Diyala	9	2	3	4	13:16	-3	9
12	Zakho	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
13	Ghaz Al Shamal	8	1	5	2	4:5	-1	8
14	Al Talaba	9	1	5	3	9:14	-5	8
15	Naft Maysan	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
16	Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
17	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	Al Kahrabaa	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7
19	Gharraf	9	1	3	5	4:12	-8	6
20	Karbala	8	1	2	5	6:15	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.36X22%4.13212%7.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.34 → 1.36 +1.5%X4.26 → 4.13 -3.1%27.88 → 7.55 -4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.87	7.0%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
BetVictor	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.87	3.5%
Average	1.88	1.82	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
William Hill	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.10	1.62	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al-Karma 45%Draw 45%Al Karkh 10%

The statistical model rates Al-Karma at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Karkh at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.13 | 7.55, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Al-Karma win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Al-Karma are 1st (20 pts, 14-5 goals), Al Karkh 17th (7 pts, 10-14).

Over their last five matches, Al-Karma averaged 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Al Karkh averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Al-Karma or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.37	4.14	7.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	2.70	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
1.90	2.22	7.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	8.75	3.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.7
1.5	1.25	3.28
2.5	1.88	1.82
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	5.10	1.12
5.5	13.0	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.17	4.18
1.75	1.32	2.93
2	1.41	2.55
2.25	1.64	2.07
2.75	2.09	1.63
3	2.50	1.43
3.25	2.83	1.34
3.75	3.82	1.18
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	4.70	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.46	1.44
-1.5	2.06	1.66
-1.25	1.88	1.81
-1	1.60	2.13
-0.75	1.43	2.50
-0.5	1.32	3.02

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.03
-3	6.85	1.04
-2.75	4.50	1.16
-2.5	3.80	1.19
-2.25	3.30	1.29
-2	3.14	1.28
-0.25	1.21	3.58
0	1.06	6.00
+0.25	1.05	6.65