Diyala vs Naft Maysan• Iraqi League, Iraq

#111.0:1.62-0FTToday1.2:1.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.921XBX3.201XB22.10WHMargin at best4.4%Books5Markets42Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.92	3.20	1.97	7.5%
Marathonbet	3.38	3.05	2.01	12.1%
Bet365	3.10	3.10	2.10	12.1%
Pinnacle	3.65	3.09	1.89	12.7%
William Hill	3.10	3.00	2.10	13.2%
Best of all books	3.92	3.20	2.10	4.4%
Average	3.43	3.09	2.01	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DiyalaNaft Maysan

Last 10#11Table position#161.00Points per game0.894Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.445Attack rating5547Defence rating5344Form rating5691H2H rating965Goals model3561Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 16:10 UTC

Diyala

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

9 Oct	A	Naft	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Gharraf	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Erbil	0-2	L
3 Sep	H	Al-Karma	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Al-Jolan SC	3-3	D
25 Aug	A	Zakho	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Mosul	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Al Talaba	2-1	W
1 Jun	H	Duhok	1-0	W

Naft Maysan

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

8 Oct	H	Erbil	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Al Karkh	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Al Talaba	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Al Minaa Basra	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Newroz	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
25 Aug	A	Al Zawra'a	0-4	L
20 Aug	H	Naft	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-0	D
2 Jun	A	Gharraf	2-0	W

Head to head

3Diyala wins

1draws

0Naft Maysan wins

4 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Diyala

9 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Diyala1-0Naft Maysan
5 Jan 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan1-1Diyala
21 Apr 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft Maysan0-1Diyala
3 Feb 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Diyala3-1Naft Maysan

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 16 Oct 19:03 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Diyala sit 11th with 9 points from 9 games, while Naft Maysan are 16th with 8 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	9	7	2	0	17:7	+10	23
2	Newroz	10	6	3	1	16:4	+12	21
3	Al Zawra'a	9	5	3	1	15:6	+9	18
4	Erbil	9	5	3	1	13:4	+9	18
5	Naft	9	5	3	1	11:5	+6	18
6	Al Shorta	9	4	4	1	9:4	+5	16
7	Duhok	9	2	6	1	14:11	+3	12
8	Al Minaa Basra	10	3	3	4	10:12	-2	12
9	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	+2	11
10	Al-Jolan SC	9	2	5	2	8:9	-1	11
11	Diyala	9	2	3	4	13:16	-3	9
12	Zakho	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
13	Ghaz Al Shamal	9	1	5	3	4:7	-3	8
14	Al Kahrabaa	9	1	5	3	6:10	-4	8
15	Al Talaba	9	1	5	3	9:14	-5	8
16	Naft Maysan	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
17	Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
18	Al Karkh	9	2	1	6	12:17	-5	7
19	Gharraf	9	1	3	5	4:12	-8	6
20	Karbala	9	1	3	5	6:15	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.43X29%3.09245%2.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	2.03	1.70	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.69	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.88	1.84	7.5%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.88	1.84	7.5%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Diyala 45%Draw 45%Naft Maysan 10%

The statistical model rated Diyala at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Naft Maysan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 3.09 | 2.01, which imply roughly 29.2% for a Diyala win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Diyala are 11th (9 pts, 13-16 goals), Naft Maysan 16th (8 pts, 7-12).

Over their last five matches, Diyala averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Naft Maysan averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Diyala or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.43	3.09	2.01

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
4.06	2.04	2.67

2nd half

1	X	2
3.80	2.32	2.39

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.75	16.0	25.0
HT X	7.80	4.75	5.20
HT 2	37.0	17.0	3.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.43	7.30	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.30
1.5	1.31	2.98
2.5	2.04	1.69
3.5	3.36	1.25
4.5	6.60	1.07
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	6.18
1.25	1.19	3.87
1.75	1.40	2.64
2	1.53	2.29
2.25	1.79	1.89
2.75	2.30	1.52
3	2.81	1.35
3.25	3.07	1.30
3.75	4.00	1.20
4	5.63	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	1.35	2.81
-0.75	1.55	2.25
-0.5	1.81	1.90
-0.25	2.00	1.73
0	2.63	1.41
+0.5	3.07	1.30

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	1.04	7.60
-2	1.06	6.75
-1.75	1.17	4.50
-1.5	1.21	3.64
-1.25	1.28	3.20
+0.25	3.09	1.30
+0.75	4.55	1.15
+1	6.75	1.05
+1.5	7.70	1.03