Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra• Iraqi League, Iraq

#21.6:0.01-0LiveToday1.0:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92DAFX3.25DAF24.00BVCMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets43Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.87	3.20	4.00	9.7%
1xBet	1.86	3.16	3.93	10.9%
Bet365	1.85	3.10	3.90	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.16	3.82	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.03	3.87	12.6%
William Hill	1.91	2.90	3.80	13.2%
Best of all books	1.91	3.20	4.00	8.6%
Average	1.86	3.09	3.89	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NewrozAl Minaa Basra

Last 10#2Table position#82.00Points per game1.3313Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating38100Defence rating072Form rating2891H2H rating984Goals model1678Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:51 UTC

Newroz

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

9 Oct	A	Zakho	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ghaz Al Shamal	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	Al-Jolan SC	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	Mosul	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Naft Maysan	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Duhok	0-0	D
26 Aug	A	Al Talaba	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Gharraf	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	3-3	D
1 Jun	A	Naft	1-2	L

Al Minaa Basra

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

10 Oct	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Duhok	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Naft Maysan	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Naft	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Erbil	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Gharraf	3-0	W
20 Aug	H	Zakho	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Al Zawra'a	0-0	D
2 Jun	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D

Head to head

3Newroz wins

1draws

0Al Minaa Basra wins

4 meetings · goals 11:3 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Newroz

13 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Newroz4-1Al Minaa Basra
1 Jan 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Minaa Basra1-1Newroz
2 Apr 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Newroz1-0Al Minaa Basra
4 Feb 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Minaa Basra1-5Newroz

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 16 Oct 10:40 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Newroz sit 2nd with 18 points from 9 games, while Al Minaa Basra are 8th with 12 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	9	7	2	0	17:7	+10	23
2	Newroz	9	5	3	1	14:4	+10	18
3	Al Zawra'a	9	5	3	1	15:6	+9	18
4	Erbil	9	5	3	1	13:4	+9	18
5	Naft	9	5	3	1	11:5	+6	18
6	Al Shorta	9	4	4	1	9:4	+5	16
7	Duhok	9	2	6	1	14:11	+3	12
8	Al Minaa Basra	9	3	3	3	10:10	0	12
9	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	+2	11
10	Al-Jolan SC	9	2	5	2	8:9	-1	11
11	Diyala	9	2	3	4	13:16	-3	9
12	Zakho	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
13	Ghaz Al Shamal	9	1	5	3	4:7	-3	8
14	Al Kahrabaa	9	1	5	3	6:10	-4	8
15	Al Talaba	9	1	5	3	9:14	-5	8
16	Naft Maysan	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
17	Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
18	Al Karkh	9	2	1	6	12:17	-5	7
19	Gharraf	9	1	3	5	4:12	-8	6
20	Karbala	9	1	3	5	6:15	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X29%3.09223%3.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 1.88 -1.6%X3.14 → 3.12 -0.6%23.77 → 3.89 +3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
BetVictor	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Pinnacle	2.18	1.60	8.4%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.18	1.61	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Average	1.94	1.74	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newroz 50%Draw 50%Al Minaa Basra 0%

The statistical model rates Newroz at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Al Minaa Basra at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.09 | 3.89, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Newroz win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Newroz are 2nd (18 pts, 14-4 goals), Al Minaa Basra 8th (12 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Newroz averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Al Minaa Basra averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Newroz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.09	3.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.76	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.01	4.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.25	4.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	16.5	43.0
HT X	4.88	4.60	8.30
HT 2	26.5	17.5	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	7.55	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.10
1.5	1.35	2.75
2.5	2.18	1.61
3.5	4.05	1.17
4.5	8.10	1.03
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.20	3.70
1.75	1.45	2.43
2	1.62	2.09
2.25	1.90	1.77
2.75	2.52	1.42
3	3.19	1.27
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	5.00	1.14
4	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.13	1.28
-1	2.73	1.36
-0.75	2.15	1.58
-0.5	1.88	1.85
-0.25	1.61	2.11
0	1.35	2.80

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.01
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.75	4.80	1.15
-1.5	3.58	1.21
+0.25	1.25	3.30
+0.75	1.10	5.10
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.45