Al Minaa Basra vs Ghaz Al Shamal• Iraqi League, Iraq

#100.6:1.815:00Today0.4:0.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05BTNX3.00B36523.65DAFMargin at best9.5%Books5Markets40Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 23:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.02	3.00	3.65	10.2%
Betano	2.05	2.95	3.55	10.8%
1xBet	2.00	3.00	3.62	11.0%
Bet365	2.00	3.00	3.60	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.98	3.00	3.52	12.2%
Best of all books	2.05	3.00	3.65	9.5%
Average	2.01	2.99	3.59	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al Minaa BasraGhaz Al Shamal

Last 10#10Table position#131.13Points per game1.002Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 50.41.8Goals against · last 50.460Attack rating4018Defence rating8225Form rating750H2H rating044Goals model5637Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 08:31 UTC

Al Minaa Basra

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

18 Sep	H	Duhok	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Naft Maysan	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Naft	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Erbil	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Gharraf	3-0	W
20 Aug	H	Zakho	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Al Zawra'a	0-0	D
2 Jun	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D
28 May	H	Al Talaba	1-1	D

Ghaz Al Shamal

1W 5D 2L · goals 4:5 · per match 0.5 for, 0.6 against

19 Sep	H	Newroz	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D
8 Sep	A	Duhok	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Gharraf	1-0	W
25 Aug	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
20 Aug	H	Al Kahrabaa	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Zakho	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Al Minaa Basra and Ghaz Al Shamal on record.

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 9 Oct 21:31 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Al Minaa Basra sit 10th with 9 points from 8 games, while Ghaz Al Shamal are 13th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	8	6	2	0	14:5	+9	20
2	Newroz	9	5	3	1	14:4	+10	18
3	Al Zawra'a	9	5	3	1	15:6	+9	18
4	Erbil	9	5	3	1	13:4	+9	18
5	Naft	9	5	3	1	11:5	+6	18
6	Al Shorta	9	4	4	1	9:4	+5	16
7	Duhok	9	2	6	1	14:11	+3	12
8	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	+2	11
9	Al-Jolan SC	9	2	5	2	8:9	-1	11
10	Al Minaa Basra	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
11	Diyala	9	2	3	4	13:16	-3	9
12	Zakho	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
13	Ghaz Al Shamal	8	1	5	2	4:5	-1	8
14	Al Talaba	9	1	5	3	9:14	-5	8
15	Naft Maysan	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
16	Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
17	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	Al Kahrabaa	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7
19	Gharraf	9	1	3	5	4:12	-8	6
20	Karbala	8	1	2	5	6:15	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.01X30%2.99225%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Betano	2.37	1.47	10.2%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.42	1.48	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.62	9.8%
Best of all books	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Average	2.08	1.63	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Minaa Basra 10%Draw 45%Ghaz Al Shamal 45%

The statistical model rates Al Minaa Basra at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ghaz Al Shamal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 2.99 | 3.59, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Al Minaa Basra are 10th (9 pts, 8-10 goals), Ghaz Al Shamal 13th (8 pts, 4-5).

Over their last five matches, Al Minaa Basra averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Ghaz Al Shamal averaged 0.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ghaz Al Shamal and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.01	2.99	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.64	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.08	1.63

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	1.89	4.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	6.18	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.40
1.5	1.44	2.42
2.5	2.42	1.48
3.5	4.60	1.13
4.5	9.10	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	5.50
1	1.10	5.10
1.25	1.28	3.08
1.75	1.59	2.13
2	1.80	1.82
2.25	2.09	1.61
2.75	2.84	1.33
3	3.82	1.19
3.25	4.20	1.15
4	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.08	1.28
-0.75	2.30	1.50
-0.5	1.99	1.73
-0.25	1.71	1.95
0	1.43	2.53
+0.25	1.32	2.93

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	7.90	1.02
-1.75	5.20	1.13
-1.5	3.98	1.17
-1.25	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.13	4.50
+1	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.02	8.20