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Varesina vs Città di Varese• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#141.0:1.413:30Tomorrow2.0:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.451XBX3.101XB22.72BTNMargin at best9.8%Books3Markets13Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.453.102.7010.1%
Betano2.453.002.7210.9%
Dafabet2.433.052.7011.0%
Best of all books2.453.102.729.8%
Average2.443.052.7110.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VaresinaCittà di Varese
Last 10#14Table position#80.89Points per game1.444Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6742Defence rating5833Form rating6750H2H rating5030Goals model7040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Varesina

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

25 OctACastellanzese1-1D
18 OctHPro Sesto0-0D
11 OctAPavia2-2D
4 OctHPro Patria0-0D
27 SepAUSD Casatese2-4L
20 SepHPistoiese0-1L
16 SepACorreggese1-2L
13 SepASant'Angelo1-1D
6 SepHCittadella Vis Modena3-2W
10 MayACastellanzese2-1W

Città di Varese

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

25 OctHSolbiatese0-0D
18 OctAArconatese5-1W
11 OctHOltrepò2-0W
7 OctHPro Patria2-5L
4 OctACrema2-3L
27 SepHLentigione1-1D
20 SepAPontedera3-0W
16 SepACittadella Vis Modena0-0D
12 SepHPro Sesto0-2L
6 SepACoriano1-1D

Head to head

3Varesina wins
1draws
2Città di Varese wins

6 meetings · goals 7:4 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Varesina

31 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie DCoppa Italia Serie DVaresina0-0Città di Varese
1 Sep 2024Coppa Italia Serie DCoppa Italia Serie DCittà di Varese2-0Varesina
3 Sep 2023Coppa Italia Serie DCoppa Italia Serie DVaresina2-0Città di Varese
12 Feb 2023Serie D - Girone BSerie D - Girone BCittà di Varese0-1Varesina
1 Nov 2022Coppa Italia Serie DCoppa Italia Serie DVaresina0-1Città di Varese
9 Oct 2022Serie D - Girone BSerie D - Girone BVaresina4-1Città di Varese

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 31 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Varesina sit 14th with 8 points from 9 games, while Città di Varese are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pistoiese980120:3+1724
2Pro Patria962114:6+820
3Castellanzese961217:6+1119
4Lentigione953114:9+518
5Pro Sesto943219:8+1115
6Cittadella Vis Modena94239:6+314
7Sant'Angelo942311:9+214
8Città di Varese934214:8+613
9USD Casatese941413:14-113
10Pavia925210:7+311
11Solbiatese92527:10-311
12Correggese93248:13-511
13Crema92349:16-79
14Varesina915310:13-38
15Arconatese91357:20-136
16Coriano91266:12-65
17Oltrepò91265:17-125
18Pontedera91177:23-164

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.44X30%3.05233%2.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.041.688.5%
Betano2.001.679.9%
Best of all books2.041.688.5%
Average2.021.679.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.841.965.4%
Best of all books1.841.965.4%
Average1.841.965.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Varesina 10%Draw 45%Città di Varese 45%

The statistical model rates Varesina at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Città di Varese at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 3.05 | 2.71, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Varesina are 14th (8 pts, 10-13 goals), Città di Varese 8th (13 pts, 14-8).

Over their last five matches, Varesina averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Città di Varese averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Varese.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.443.052.71

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.451.32

Draw no bet

12
1.721.91

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.96

1st half

1X2
3.101.953.40

2nd half

1X2
2.752.322.95

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.1013.032.0
HT X5.504.406.00
HT 230.013.54.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.322.92
2.52.021.67
3.53.451.25

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.54.701.14
01.771.94

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

1 NovCorreggese – Coriano
1 NovCrema – Cittadella Vis Modena
1 NovPavia – Pro Patria
1 NovPistoiese – Castellanzese
1 NovSant'Angelo – Lentigione
1 NovUSD Casatese – Pro Sesto

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

25 OctPontedera 1-1 Oltrepò
25 OctPro Patria 1-1 Correggese
25 OctCastellanzese 1-1 Varesina
25 OctPro Sesto 1-2 Sant'Angelo
25 OctPavia 3-1 USD Casatese
25 OctLentigione 1-1 Crema