Varesina vs
Città di Varese• Serie D - Girone D, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 10.1% |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.72 | 10.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.43 | 3.05 | 2.70 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.72 | 9.8% |
| Average | 2.44 | 3.05 | 2.71 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC
Varesina
2W 5D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against
| 25 Oct | A | Castellanzese | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Pro Sesto | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Pavia | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Pro Patria | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | USD Casatese | 2-4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Pistoiese | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Correggese | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Sant'Angelo | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Cittadella Vis Modena | 3-2 | W |
| 10 May | A | Castellanzese | 2-1 | W |
Città di Varese
3W 4D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against
| 25 Oct | H | Solbiatese | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Arconatese | 5-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Oltrepò | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Oct | H | Pro Patria | 2-5 | L |
| 4 Oct | A | Crema | 2-3 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Lentigione | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Pontedera | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Cittadella Vis Modena | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Pro Sesto | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Coriano | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 7:4 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Varesina
| 31 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D | Coppa Italia Serie D | Varesina0-0Città di Varese |
| 1 Sep 2024Coppa Italia Serie D | Coppa Italia Serie D | Città di Varese2-0Varesina |
| 3 Sep 2023Coppa Italia Serie D | Coppa Italia Serie D | Varesina2-0Città di Varese |
| 12 Feb 2023Serie D - Girone B | Serie D - Girone B | Città di Varese0-1Varesina |
| 1 Nov 2022Coppa Italia Serie D | Coppa Italia Serie D | Varesina0-1Città di Varese |
| 9 Oct 2022Serie D - Girone B | Serie D - Girone B | Varesina4-1Città di Varese |
Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 31 Oct 06:10 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone D table, Varesina sit 14th with 8 points from 9 games, while Città di Varese are 8th with 13 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:3 | +17 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | +11 | 19 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | +11 | 15 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Sant'Angelo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Città di Varese | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 13 |
| 9 | USD Casatese | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Pavia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Solbiatese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Correggese | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Crema | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Varesina | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Arconatese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Coriano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Oltrepò | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 1.68 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.67 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.04 | 1.68 | 8.5% |
| Average | 2.02 | 1.67 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.96 | 5.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.84 | 1.96 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.96 | 5.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Varesina at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Città di Varese at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 3.05 | 2.71, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Varesina are 14th (8 pts, 10-13 goals), Città di Varese 8th (13 pts, 14-8).
Over their last five matches, Varesina averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Città di Varese averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Varese.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.44 | 3.05 | 2.71 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 1.45 | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.72 | 1.91 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.84 | 1.96 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 1.95 | 3.40 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 2.32 | 2.95 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.10 | 13.0 | 32.0 |
| HT X | 5.50 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| HT 2 | 30.0 | 13.5 | 4.65 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 2.92 |
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 3.45 | 1.25 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4.70 | 1.14 |
| 0 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
Next Serie D - Girone D matches
| 1 Nov | Correggese – Coriano |
| 1 Nov | Crema – Cittadella Vis Modena |
| 1 Nov | Pavia – Pro Patria |
| 1 Nov | Pistoiese – Castellanzese |
| 1 Nov | Sant'Angelo – Lentigione |
| 1 Nov | USD Casatese – Pro Sesto |
Latest Serie D - Girone D results
| 25 Oct | Pontedera 1-1 Oltrepò |
| 25 Oct | Pro Patria 1-1 Correggese |
| 25 Oct | Castellanzese 1-1 Varesina |
| 25 Oct | Pro Sesto 1-2 Sant'Angelo |
| 25 Oct | Pavia 3-1 USD Casatese |
| 25 Oct | Lentigione 1-1 Crema |