Pavia vs Pro Patria• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#101.4:1.413:30Tomorrow0.8:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.951XBX3.151XB22.291XBMargin at best9.3%Books3Markets13Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.95	3.15	2.29	9.3%
Betano	2.90	3.10	2.27	10.8%
Dafabet	2.85	3.15	2.25	11.3%
Best of all books	2.95	3.15	2.29	9.3%
Average	2.90	3.13	2.27	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PaviaPro Patria

Last 10#10Table position#21.22Points per game2.224Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 50.664Attack rating3630Defence rating7038Form rating620H2H rating035Goals model6542Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Pavia

2W 5D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	USD Casatese	3-1	W
18 Oct	A	Pistoiese	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Varesina	2-2	D
7 Oct	H	Sant'Angelo	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Correggese	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Arconatese	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Sant'Angelo	0-0	D
16 Sep	H	Solbiatese	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Oltrepò	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Crema	0-0	D

Pro Patria

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

28 Oct	A	Leon	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Correggese	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	USD Casatese	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Sant'Angelo	1-0	W
7 Oct	A	Città di Varese	5-2	W
4 Oct	A	Varesina	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Solbiatese	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Arconatese	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Crema	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Pontedera	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Pavia and Pro Patria on record.

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 31 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Pavia sit 10th with 11 points from 9 games, while Pro Patria are 2nd with 20 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	9	8	0	1	20:3	+17	24
2	Pro Patria	9	6	2	1	14:6	+8	20
3	Castellanzese	9	6	1	2	17:6	+11	19
4	Lentigione	9	5	3	1	14:9	+5	18
5	Pro Sesto	9	4	3	2	19:8	+11	15
6	Cittadella Vis Modena	9	4	2	3	9:6	+3	14
7	Sant'Angelo	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
8	Città di Varese	9	3	4	2	14:8	+6	13
9	USD Casatese	9	4	1	4	13:14	-1	13
10	Pavia	9	2	5	2	10:7	+3	11
11	Solbiatese	9	2	5	2	7:10	-3	11
12	Correggese	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11
13	Crema	9	2	3	4	9:16	-7	9
14	Varesina	9	1	5	3	10:13	-3	8
15	Arconatese	9	1	3	5	7:20	-13	6
16	Coriano	9	1	2	6	6:12	-6	5
17	Oltrepò	9	1	2	6	5:17	-12	5
18	Pontedera	9	1	1	7	7:23	-16	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.90X29%3.13240%2.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.99	1.73	8.1%
Betano	1.95	1.70	10.1%
Best of all books	1.99	1.73	8.1%
Average	1.97	1.71	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.82	1.99	5.2%
Best of all books	1.82	1.99	5.2%
Average	1.82	1.99	5.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pavia 10%Draw 45%Pro Patria 45%

The statistical model rates Pavia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pro Patria at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.90 | 3.13 | 2.27, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Pavia are 10th (11 pts, 10-7 goals), Pro Patria 2nd (20 pts, 14-6).

Over their last five matches, Pavia averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Pro Patria averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pro Patria.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.90	3.13	2.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.34	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.07	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
3.50	2.00	2.92

2nd half

1	X	2
3.10	2.37	2.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.00	13.5	28.0
HT X	6.40	4.60	5.20
HT 2	32.0	13.5	3.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.30	3.00
2.5	1.97	1.72
3.5	3.30	1.27

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.08	1.64
+1.5	1.17	4.25

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

1 Nov	Correggese – Coriano
1 Nov	Crema – Cittadella Vis Modena
1 Nov	Pistoiese – Castellanzese
1 Nov	Sant'Angelo – Lentigione
1 Nov	USD Casatese – Pro Sesto
1 Nov	Varesina – Città di Varese

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

25 Oct	Pontedera 1-1 Oltrepò
25 Oct	Pro Patria 1-1 Correggese
25 Oct	Castellanzese 1-1 Varesina
25 Oct	Pro Sesto 1-2 Sant'Angelo
25 Oct	Pavia 3-1 USD Casatese
25 Oct	Lentigione 1-1 Crema