Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#33.6:0.85-1FT03/101.8:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX5.551XB26.201XBMargin at best2.2%Books5Markets45Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 06:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.41	5.55	6.20	5.1%
Betano	1.47	4.35	5.00	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.37	4.50	5.90	12.2%
William Hill	1.40	4.75	5.00	12.5%
Pinnacle	1.45	4.40	4.80	12.5%
Best of all books	1.47	5.55	6.20	2.2%
Average	1.42	4.71	5.38	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RijnvogelsGroene Ster

Last 10#3Table position#162.22Points per game0.7512Form pts · last 543.6Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.867Attack rating3369Defence rating3171Form rating2967H2H rating3372Goals model2868Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 13:41 UTC

Rijnvogels

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

27 Sep	A	UDI '19	4-0	W
22 Sep	H	Vvsb	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Poortugaal	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	UNA	4-1	W
5 Sep	H	Dongen	5-2	W
2 Sep	H	Bennekom	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	GOES	4-1	W
23 Aug	A	Blauw Geel	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	Gemert	2-2	D
6 Jun	A	Excelsior Maassluis	1-2	L

Groene Ster

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:27 · per match 1.5 for, 2.7 against

3 Oct	A	Rijnvogels	1-5	L
27 Sep	H	Gemert	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	AFC Amsterdam	1-6	L
19 Sep	A	EVV	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Zwaluwen	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	TOGB	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Heerjansdam	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Vvsb	3-3	D
22 Aug	A	Excelsior Maassluis	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	Roosendaal	1-3	L

Head to head

2Rijnvogels wins

0draws

1Groene Ster wins

3 meetings · goals 7:4 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Rijnvogels

28 Feb 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Rijnvogels3-1Groene Ster
28 Sep 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster3-2Rijnvogels
17 Aug 2016KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Groene Ster0-2Rijnvogels

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Rijnvogels sit 3rd with 20 points from 9 games, while Groene Ster are 16th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	VV Scherpenzeel	9	7	1	1	17:9	+8	22
1	Noordwijk	9	7	1	1	19:2	+17	22
2	SC Genemuiden	9	7	0	2	22:10	+12	21
2	FC Lisse	9	7	1	1	16:6	+10	22
3	ACV	9	6	2	1	22:9	+13	20
3	Rijnvogels	9	6	2	1	25:9	+16	20
4	Harkemase Boys	9	6	2	1	17:12	+5	20
4	Excelsior Maassluis	9	6	2	1	19:9	+10	20
5	Excelsior '31	9	6	1	2	23:9	+14	19
5	UDI '19	8	4	2	2	14:9	+5	14
6	TEC	9	6	1	2	28:16	+12	19
6	GOES	8	4	2	2	16:17	-1	14
7	Sportlust '46	9	4	4	1	16:13	+3	16
7	Dongen	8	4	1	3	21:17	+4	13
8	Purmersteijn	9	4	3	2	16:12	+4	15
8	Zwaluwen	8	4	1	3	7:10	-3	13
9	Sparta Nijkerk	9	4	2	3	22:18	+4	14
9	Poortugaal	9	4	0	5	9:13	-4	12
10	Hoogeveen	9	4	1	4	23:19	+4	13
10	Gemert	9	2	4	3	12:17	-5	10
11	ADO '20	9	4	1	4	18:19	-1	13
11	Blauw Geel	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9
12	Hercules	9	3	1	5	12:20	-8	10
12	Roosendaal	8	3	0	5	13:16	-3	9
13	DVS 33 Ermelo	9	1	3	5	12:17	-5	6
13	UNA	9	1	5	3	12:14	-2	8
14	Staphorst	9	1	3	5	14:20	-6	6
14	TOGB	9	2	2	5	15:21	-6	8
15	Dovo	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5
15	Vvsb	8	2	1	5	10:16	-6	7
16	Eemdijk	8	1	1	6	11:28	-17	4
16	Groene Ster	8	1	3	4	12:20	-8	6
17	Hollandia	8	0	1	7	15:27	-12	1
17	Achilles Veen	9	2	0	7	8:20	-12	6
18	SVZW	9	0	1	8	9:27	-18	1
18	EVV	9	0	2	7	8:20	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X19%4.72217%5.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.34	3.05	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.34	3.05	7.4%
Average	1.32	3.01	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.44	2.52	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.46	10.1%
Best of all books	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Average	1.43	2.53	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rijnvogels 50%Draw 50%Groene Ster 0%

The statistical model rated Rijnvogels at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Groene Ster at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.72 | 5.42, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Rijnvogels win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Rijnvogels are 3rd (20 pts, 25-9 goals), Groene Ster 16th (6 pts, 12-20).

Over their last five matches, Rijnvogels averaged 3.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Groene Ster averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Rijnvogels and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	4.71	5.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.54	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.53

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.66	5.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	23.0	2.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	6.97
2.5	1.32	3.01
3.5	1.83	1.87
4.5	2.78	1.38
5.5	4.88	1.13

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.08	5.45
2.75	1.37	2.70
3	1.45	2.43
3.25	1.65	2.10
3.75	1.99	1.68
4	2.29	1.51
4.25	2.56	1.43
4.75	3.20	1.26
5	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.26	1.52
-1.5	2.01	1.68
-1.25	1.82	1.82
-1	1.61	2.10
-0.75	1.48	2.35
-0.5	1.43	2.51

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.80	1.07
-3	5.15	1.10
-2.5	3.20	1.26
-2.25	2.92	1.31
-2	2.69	1.37
-0.25	1.25	3.28
0	1.12	4.75