Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#43.6:0.85-1FT03/101.8:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX5.551XB26.201XBMargin at best2.2%Books5Markets45Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 06:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.41	5.55	6.20	5.1%
Betano	1.47	4.35	5.00	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.37	4.50	5.90	12.2%
William Hill	1.40	4.75	5.00	12.5%
Pinnacle	1.45	4.40	4.80	12.5%
Best of all books	1.47	5.55	6.20	2.2%
Average	1.42	4.71	5.38	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RijnvogelsGroene Ster

Last 10#4Table position#142.00Points per game0.906Form pts · last 543.6Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.867Attack rating3369Defence rating3171Form rating2967H2H rating3372Goals model2868Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 17:01 UTC

Rijnvogels

7W 0D 3L · goals 28:11 · per match 2.8 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Noordwijk	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	FC Lisse	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Groene Ster	5-1	W
27 Sep	A	UDI '19	4-0	W
22 Sep	H	Vvsb	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Poortugaal	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	UNA	4-1	W
5 Sep	H	Dongen	5-2	W
2 Sep	H	Bennekom	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	GOES	4-1	W

Groene Ster

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:27 · per match 1.5 for, 2.7 against

3 Oct	A	Rijnvogels	1-5	L
27 Sep	H	Gemert	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	AFC Amsterdam	1-6	L
19 Sep	A	EVV	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Zwaluwen	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	TOGB	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Heerjansdam	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Vvsb	3-3	D
22 Aug	A	Excelsior Maassluis	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	Roosendaal	1-3	L

Head to head

2Rijnvogels wins

0draws

1Groene Ster wins

3 meetings · goals 7:4 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Rijnvogels

28 Feb 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Rijnvogels3-1Groene Ster
28 Sep 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster3-2Rijnvogels
17 Aug 2016KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Groene Ster0-2Rijnvogels

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 23 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Rijnvogels sit 4th with 20 points from 10 games, while Groene Ster are 14th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	10	7	2	1	26:10	+16	23
1	Noordwijk	10	8	1	1	22:2	+20	25
2	VV Scherpenzeel	10	7	2	1	18:10	+8	23
2	FC Lisse	10	8	1	1	22:8	+14	25
3	Harkemase Boys	10	7	2	1	20:14	+6	23
3	Excelsior Maassluis	10	7	2	1	21:7	+14	23
4	Excelsior '31	10	7	1	2	28:9	+19	22
4	Rijnvogels	10	6	2	2	25:12	+13	20
5	SC Genemuiden	10	7	0	3	22:15	+7	21
5	UDI '19	10	6	2	2	20:9	+11	20
6	TEC	10	6	2	2	29:17	+12	20
6	Dongen	10	5	1	4	24:21	+3	16
7	Sportlust '46	10	5	4	1	18:14	+4	19
7	Zwaluwen	10	5	1	4	11:14	-3	16
8	Purmersteijn	10	5	3	2	19:12	+7	18
8	Poortugaal	10	5	0	5	12:14	-2	15
9	Sparta Nijkerk	10	4	2	4	22:21	+1	14
9	GOES	10	4	2	4	19:25	-6	14
10	Hoogeveen	10	4	1	5	24:23	+1	13
10	Gemert	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13
11	ADO '20	10	4	1	5	19:21	-2	13
11	Blauw Geel	10	3	3	4	14:14	0	12
12	Hercules	10	3	1	6	12:22	-10	10
12	Roosendaal	10	3	1	6	18:23	-5	10
13	Staphorst	10	2	3	5	16:21	-5	9
13	TOGB	10	2	3	5	16:24	-8	9
14	Eemdijk	9	2	1	6	13:28	-15	7
14	Groene Ster	10	2	3	5	14:24	-10	9
15	DVS 33 Ermelo	10	1	3	6	13:19	-6	6
15	UNA	10	1	5	4	12:16	-4	8
16	Dovo	10	1	2	7	12:25	-13	5
16	Vvsb	10	2	2	6	13:21	-8	8
17	Hollandia	9	1	1	7	16:27	-11	4
17	Achilles Veen	10	2	0	8	8:22	-14	6
18	SVZW	10	0	1	9	9:28	-19	1
18	EVV	10	0	3	7	11:23	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X19%4.72217%5.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.34	3.05	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.34	3.05	7.4%
Average	1.32	3.01	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.44	2.52	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.46	10.1%
Best of all books	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Average	1.43	2.53	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rijnvogels 50%Draw 50%Groene Ster 0%

The statistical model rated Rijnvogels at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Groene Ster at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.72 | 5.42, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Rijnvogels win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Rijnvogels are 4th (20 pts, 25-12 goals), Groene Ster 14th (9 pts, 14-24).

Over their last five matches, Rijnvogels averaged 3.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Groene Ster averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Rijnvogels and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	4.71	5.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.54	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.53

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.66	5.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	23.0	2.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	6.97
2.5	1.32	3.01
3.5	1.83	1.87
4.5	2.78	1.38
5.5	4.88	1.13

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.08	5.45
2.75	1.37	2.70
3	1.45	2.43
3.25	1.65	2.10
3.75	1.99	1.68
4	2.29	1.51
4.25	2.56	1.43
4.75	3.20	1.26
5	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.26	1.52
-1.5	2.01	1.68
-1.25	1.82	1.82
-1	1.61	2.10
-0.75	1.48	2.35
-0.5	1.43	2.51

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.80	1.07
-3	5.15	1.10
-2.5	3.20	1.26
-2.25	2.92	1.31
-2	2.69	1.37
-0.25	1.25	3.28
0	1.12	4.75

Next Derde Divisie matches

24 Oct	Vvsb – Zwaluwen
24 Oct	Roosendaal – Gemert

All Derde Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Derde Divisie results

23 Oct	Eemdijk 3-1 Sportlust '46
18 Oct	GOES 2-6 FC Lisse
18 Oct	EVV 3-3 Roosendaal
17 Oct	Gemert 2-0 Achilles Veen
17 Oct	Hoogeveen 1-4 ACV
11 Oct	Groene Ster 2-1 GOES