Ostia Mare vs Forli• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#161.4:1.41-1FT27/09 · Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio2.0:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.24PINX3.50BFR23.00BVCMargin at best6.5%Books5Markets45Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.47	3.25	2.75	7.6%
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.60	10.4%
Bet365	2.40	3.10	2.62	12.1%
1xBet	2.38	3.22	2.55	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.22	2.55	12.3%
Best of all books	2.47	3.30	2.75	7.2%
Average	2.41	3.22	2.61	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ostia MareForli

Last 10#16Table position#140.90Points per game1.106Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.641Attack rating5953Defence rating4743Form rating570H2H rating028Goals model7241Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Ostia Mare

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	Pescara	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Pianese	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Latina	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Forli	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Gubbio	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Ravenna	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Torres	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Vis Pesaro	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Grosseto	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Perugia	0-1	L

Forli

2W 4D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Livorno	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Vado	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Ostia Mare	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Torres	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Pineto	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Vis Pesaro	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Latina	0-2	L
1 Sep	A	Ravenna	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Pescara	6-3	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ostia Mare and Forli on record.

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 22 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Ostia Mare sit 16th with 9 points from 10 games, while Forli are 14th with 11 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	10	9	1	0	18:4	+14	28
2	Ravenna	10	6	2	2	16:6	+10	20
3	Grosseto	10	5	4	1	21:13	+8	19
4	Reggiana	10	5	2	3	14:9	+5	17
5	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	10	4	4	2	14:10	+4	16
6	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15:14	+1	16
7	Perugia	10	5	1	4	14:15	-1	16
8	Pescara	10	4	3	3	13:12	+1	15
9	Torres	10	4	3	3	11:12	-1	15
10	Latina	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13
11	Vado	10	3	3	4	10:10	0	12
12	Atalanta II	9	4	0	5	10:13	-3	12
13	Campobasso FC	10	3	3	4	14:19	-5	12
14	Forli	10	2	5	3	16:16	0	11
15	Pineto	10	2	5	3	8:11	-3	11
16	Ostia Mare	10	2	3	5	9:12	-3	9
17	Pianese	10	1	5	4	6:10	-4	8
18	Sambenedettese	10	1	4	5	14:17	-3	7
19	Gubbio	10	2	1	7	10:20	-10	7
20	Vis Pesaro	9	1	1	7	10:20	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.19X27%3.30231%2.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.41 → 2.18 -9.5%X3.22 → 3.30 +2.5%22.61 → 2.88 +10.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.93	1.80	7.4%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.91	1.81	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Average	1.71	2.00	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ostia Mare 10%Draw 45%Forli 45%

The statistical model rated Ostia Mare at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Forli at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 3.30 | 2.87, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Ostia Mare are 16th (9 pts, 9-12 goals), Forli 14th (11 pts, 16-16).

Over their last five matches, Ostia Mare averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Forli averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Forli.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	3.22	2.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.46	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
3.05	2.07	3.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	10.6	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.77
1.5	1.27	3.30
2.5	1.91	1.81
3.5	3.28	1.28
4.5	6.13	1.08
5.5	9.50	1.03
6.5	13.7	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.55
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.44	2.51
2.25	1.67	2.04
2.75	2.16	1.60
3	2.60	1.41
3.25	2.92	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.92	1.34
-0.5	2.41	1.53
-0.25	2.08	1.66
0	1.78	1.93
+0.25	1.55	2.27
+0.5	1.45	2.67

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.01
-2	9.20	1.02
-1.75	6.67	1.07
-1.5	5.07	1.12
-1.25	4.53	1.15
-1	4.07	1.18
+0.75	1.29	3.19
+1	1.15	4.57
+1.25	1.12	5.15
+1.5	1.10	5.62
+1.75	1.03	7.88
+2	1.01	9.90

Next Serie C - Girone B matches

23 Oct	Ostia Mare – Vado
23 Oct	Pineto – Gubbio
23 Oct	Perugia – Pescara
25 Oct	Forli – Pianese
25 Oct	Grosseto – Reggiana
25 Oct	Torres – Guidonia Montecelio 1937

All Serie C - Girone B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone B results

18 Oct	Pescara 2-0 Ostia Mare
18 Oct	Gubbio 0-2 Atalanta II
18 Oct	Ravenna 0-1 Spezia
18 Oct	Campobasso FC 1-5 Perugia
18 Oct	Latina 1-0 Vis Pesaro
16 Oct	Livorno 4-4 Grosseto