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Pineto vs Gubbio• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#150.8:1.418:30Tomorrow · Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto0.2:2.2#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75B365X3.42PIN24.75BVCMargin at best7.4%Books9Markets49Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.893.304.207.0%
Pinnacle1.753.424.707.7%
BetVictor1.733.404.758.3%
Betfair1.753.304.509.7%
Betano1.783.254.409.7%
1xBet1.683.404.5710.8%
Bet3651.753.254.3311.0%
Marathonbet1.663.404.4512.1%
William Hill1.733.104.4012.8%
Best of all books1.893.424.753.2%
Average1.753.314.489.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PinetoGubbio
Last 10#15Table position#191.10Points per game0.705Form pts · last 500.8Goals for · last 50.21.4Goals against · last 52.280Attack rating2061Defence rating39100Form rating040H2H rating6057Goals model4356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Pineto

2W 5D 3L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

20 OctHReggiana2-0W
17 OctAPianese0-0D
4 OctAGuidonia Montecelio 19370-1L
26 SepHGrosseto0-4L
20 SepACampobasso FC2-2D
16 SepHForli1-1D
12 SepHSambenedettese2-1W
6 SepAPerugia1-2L
29 AugHLivorno0-0D
23 AugALatina0-0D

Gubbio

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

18 OctHAtalanta II0-2L
10 OctASpezia0-2L
3 OctHPerugia1-3L
27 SepARavenna0-2L
20 SepHOstia Mare0-2L
16 SepAPescara1-1D
12 SepHLatina3-1W
5 SepACampobasso FC4-2W
2 SepHVis Pesaro5-0W
30 AugHReggiana1-2L

Head to head

2Pineto wins
1draws
5Gubbio wins

8 meetings · goals 8:12 · last 8: 2W 1D 5L for Pineto

14 Aug 2026Coppa Italia Serie CCoppa Italia Serie CPineto1-2Gubbio
3 May 2026Serie C - Promotion - Play-offsSerie C - Promotion - Play-offsPineto2-1Gubbio
26 Apr 2026Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio2-0Pineto
20 Dec 2025Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPineto1-0Gubbio
14 Feb 2025Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio2-1Pineto
6 Oct 2024Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPineto1-2Gubbio
7 Jan 2024Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPineto1-2Gubbio
1 Sep 2023Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio1-1Pineto

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 22 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Pineto sit 15th with 11 points from 10 games, while Gubbio are 19th with 7 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spezia1091018:4+1428
2Ravenna1062216:6+1020
3Grosseto1054121:13+819
4Reggiana1052314:9+517
5Guidonia Montecelio 19371044214:10+416
6Livorno1044215:14+116
7Perugia1051414:15-116
8Pescara1043313:12+115
9Torres1043311:12-115
10Latina1034310:10013
11Vado1033410:10012
12Atalanta II940510:13-312
13Campobasso FC1033414:19-512
14Forli1025316:16011
15Pineto102538:11-311
16Ostia Mare102359:12-39
17Pianese101546:10-48
18Sambenedettese1014514:17-37
19Gubbio1021710:20-107
20Vis Pesaro911710:20-104

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X27%3.33220%4.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 03:0022 Oct 00:301 1.72X 3.332 4.53
11.79 → 1.72 -3.9%X3.25 → 3.33 +2.5%24.29 → 4.53 +5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.101.716.1%
Betfair2.251.626.2%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betano2.121.677.1%
BetVictor2.051.669.0%
1xBet2.061.659.1%
Marathonbet2.061.659.1%
Best of all books2.251.712.9%
Average2.111.667.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.677.5%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
Betano1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.951.748.8%
BetVictor1.951.739.1%
William Hill1.911.759.5%
Marathonbet1.951.719.8%
Best of all books2.101.754.8%
Average1.971.738.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pineto 45%Draw 45%Gubbio 10%

The statistical model rates Pineto at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gubbio at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.33 | 4.53, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Pineto win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Pineto are 15th (11 pts, 8-11 goals), Gubbio 19th (7 pts, 10-20).

Over their last five matches, Pineto averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gubbio averaged 0.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pineto or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.753.314.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.161.951.25

Draw no bet

12
1.303.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.73

1st half

1X2
2.342.075.01

2nd half

1X2
2.132.344.58

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6815.646.6
HT X4.344.869.38
HT 226.816.07.54

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.588.352.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.23
1.51.352.96
2.52.111.66
3.53.901.21
4.57.731.05
5.512.51.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.00
11.037.20
1.251.173.96
1.751.422.58
21.572.23
2.251.831.86
2.752.381.49
33.031.31
3.253.431.23
3.754.801.12
47.001.04
4.257.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.151.31
-1.252.751.38
-12.401.52
-0.751.951.77
-0.51.742.03
-0.251.492.41
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.831.06
-2.256.371.08
-25.871.09
-1.753.991.19
01.283.34
+0.251.213.80
+0.51.214.25
+0.751.095.92
+11.028.60
+1.51.019.50

Next Serie C - Girone B matches

23 OctOstia Mare – Vado
23 OctPerugia – Pescara
25 OctForli – Pianese
25 OctGrosseto – Reggiana
25 OctTorres – Guidonia Montecelio 1937

All Serie C - Girone B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone B results

18 OctPescara 2-0 Ostia Mare
18 OctGubbio 0-2 Atalanta II
18 OctRavenna 0-1 Spezia
18 OctCampobasso FC 1-5 Perugia
18 OctLatina 1-0 Vis Pesaro
16 OctLivorno 4-4 Grosseto