Livorno vs Grosseto• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#51.6:1.418:3016/10 · Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno2.4:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.23DAFX3.25BFR23.15DAFMargin at best7.4%Books4Markets40Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.23	3.20	3.15	7.8%
Betfair	2.20	3.25	3.00	9.6%
1xBet	2.16	3.18	3.02	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.14	3.18	2.94	12.2%
Best of all books	2.23	3.25	3.15	7.4%
Average	2.18	3.20	3.03	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LivornoGrosseto

Last 10#5Table position#31.67Points per game2.008Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.41.4Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6050Defence rating5044Form rating5662H2H rating3829Goals model7148Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 14:50 UTC

Livorno

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Forli	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Pescara	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Pianese	3-2	W
21 Sep	A	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Vado	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Spezia	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Atalanta II	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Novara	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Pineto	0-0	D
24 Aug	H	Torres	2-1	W

Grosseto

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	A	Vis Pesaro	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Sambenedettese	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Pineto	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	Perugia	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Campobasso FC	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Pianese	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Latina	1-4	L
6 Sep	H	Torres	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Ostia Mare	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Spezia	1-1	D

Head to head

3Livorno wins

5draws

2Grosseto wins

10 meetings · goals 16:11 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Livorno

26 Jan 2025Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Grosseto0-0Livorno
29 Sep 2024Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Livorno5-2Grosseto
31 Aug 2024Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Livorno3-0Grosseto
12 May 2024Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs	Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs	Grosseto3-2Livorno
14 Jan 2024Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Grosseto1-1Livorno
17 Sep 2023Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Livorno1-1Grosseto
26 Feb 2023Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Grosseto1-1Livorno
23 Oct 2022Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Livorno1-0Grosseto
16 Mar 2021Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Livorno2-2Grosseto
21 Nov 2020Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Grosseto1-0Livorno

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Livorno sit 5th with 15 points from 9 games, while Grosseto are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	9	8	1	0	17:4	+13	25
2	Ravenna	9	6	2	1	16:5	+11	20
3	Grosseto	9	5	3	1	17:9	+8	18
4	Torres	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
5	Livorno	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
6	Reggiana	8	4	2	2	12:7	+5	14
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	9	3	4	2	11:8	+3	13
8	Perugia	9	4	1	4	9:14	-5	13
9	Campobasso FC	9	3	3	3	13:14	-1	12
10	Pescara	9	3	3	3	11:12	-1	12
11	Forli	9	2	5	2	14:13	+1	11
12	Vado	9	3	2	4	8:8	0	11
13	Latina	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10
14	Ostia Mare	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
15	Atalanta II	8	3	0	5	8:13	-5	9
16	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7
18	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
19	Sambenedettese	9	1	3	5	12:15	-3	6
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.18X28%3.20230%3.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.01	9.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.67	2.03	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Livorno 35%Draw 35%Grosseto 30%

The statistical model rates Livorno at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Grosseto at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.03, which imply roughly 45.9% for a Livorno win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Livorno are 5th (15 pts, 11-10 goals), Grosseto 3rd (18 pts, 17-9).

Over their last five matches, Livorno averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Grosseto averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Livorno or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.18	3.20	3.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.54	1.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.77	2.07	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	8.70	2.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.70
1.5	1.25	3.28
2.5	1.85	1.84
3.5	2.97	1.30
4.5	5.55	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.20
1	1.03	7.60
1.25	1.14	4.45
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.39	2.59
2.25	1.62	2.09
2.75	2.03	1.63
3	2.42	1.44
3.25	2.70	1.36
3.75	3.68	1.20
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.58	1.21
-1	3.20	1.26
-0.75	2.49	1.42
-0.25	1.85	1.79
0	1.59	2.15
+0.25	1.42	2.49

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.75	5.15	1.10
-1.5	4.05	1.16
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.10	5.20
+1.25	1.08	5.65
+1.5	1.06	6.05
+1.75	1.02	7.90