Lagoa vs 
Real• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.44 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 5.1% |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.10 | 2.72 | 11.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 2.90 | 2.75 | 11.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 11.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.02 | 2.68 | 12.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.02 | 2.68 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.45 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.5% |
| Average | 2.34 | 3.12 | 2.82 | 10.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 13:11 UTC
Lagoa
2W 3D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against
| 1 Nov | A | Vitoria Setubal | 1-3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Lajense | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Amora | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Atlético CP | 1-4 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | FC Serpa | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Santa Clara B | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Imortal Albufeira | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Aljustrelense | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | Alcochetense | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | Portimonense B | 3-1 | W |
Real
4W 5D 1L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against
| 31 Oct | H | 1º Dezembro | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Juventude Évora | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Vitoria Setubal | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | Santa Clara B | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | FC Serpa | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Academica | 1-4 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Lajense | 5-5 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Amora | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | 1º Dezembro | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Jul | A | Lajeadense | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Lagoa and Real on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.83 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 1.83 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.80 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.86 | 1.84 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 2.08 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 2.04 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.64 | 2.08 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.64 | 2.06 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lagoa at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Real at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.12 | 2.82, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Lagoa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Real averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.34 | 3.12 | 2.82 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.62 | 2.17 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.64 | 2.06 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.93 | 2.05 | 3.48 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.68 | 2.41 | 2.96 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.83 | 14.3 | 27.7 |
| HT X | 5.80 | 5.02 | 6.60 |
| HT 2 | 26.0 | 15.3 | 4.53 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 9.35 | 2.15 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 9.75 |
| 1.5 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.84 |
| 3.5 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 6.10 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 13.0 | 1.03 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.30 | 2.99 |
| 2 | 1.39 | 2.61 |
| 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| 2.75 | 2.05 | 1.64 |
| 3 | 2.42 | 1.45 |
| 3.25 | 2.70 | 1.37 |
| 3.75 | 3.68 | 1.20 |
| 4 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.84 | 1.33 |
| -0.5 | 2.17 | 1.58 |
| -0.25 | 1.99 | 1.73 |
| 0 | 1.74 | 1.94 |
| +0.25 | 1.51 | 2.31 |
| +0.5 | 1.38 | 2.68 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.20 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 6.90 | 1.04 |
| -1.5 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| -1.25 | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| -1 | 3.90 | 1.18 |
| +0.75 | 1.26 | 3.23 |
| +1 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| +1.5 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 10.5 | 2.01 | 1.74 |
Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D matches
| 8 Nov | 1º Dezembro – Juventude Évora |
| 8 Nov | Aljustrelense – FC Serpa |
| 8 Nov | Portel – Amora |
| 8 Nov | Sintrense – Vitoria Setubal |
All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D fixtures and the table
Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D results
| 8 Nov | Alcochetense 3-0 Lajense |
| 8 Nov | Imortal Albufeira 3-2 Santa Clara B |
| 1 Nov | Vitoria Setubal 3-1 Lagoa |
| 1 Nov | Lajense 0-2 Sintrense |
| 25 Oct | Sintrense 2-1 Amora |
| 25 Oct | 1º Dezembro 1-0 Vitoria Setubal |