Vitoria Setubal vs Lagoa• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, Portugal

1.0:1.415:00Today0.8:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05B365X3.45DAF24.20DAFMargin at best1.6%Books7Markets45Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.92	3.45	4.20	4.9%
1xBet	1.82	3.24	3.99	10.9%
Betano	1.83	3.20	3.95	11.2%
Bet365	2.05	3.20	3.20	11.3%
Pinnacle	1.80	3.25	3.90	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.24	3.88	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.00	3.80	13.7%
Best of all books	2.05	3.45	4.20	1.6%
Average	1.87	3.23	3.85	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vitoria SetubalLagoa

Last 106Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4442Defence rating5850Form rating500H2H rating030Goals model7045Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 22:01 UTC

Vitoria Setubal

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	A	1º Dezembro	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	UD da Serra	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Real	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Alcains	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Juventude Évora	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Lajense	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Amora	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	FC Serpa	2-4	L
10 Jun	H	Amarante	0-3	L
1 Jun	A	Lusitânia	1-2	L

Lagoa

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	H	Lajense	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Amora	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Atlético CP	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	FC Serpa	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Santa Clara B	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Imortal Albufeira	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Aljustrelense	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Alcochetense	1-2	L
12 Apr	A	Portimonense B	3-1	W
4 Apr	A	Oriental Lisboa	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Vitoria Setubal and Lagoa on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X28%3.23224%3.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.09 → 1.87 -10.5%X3.20 → 3.23 +0.9%23.23 → 3.85 +19.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.78	7.7%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Betano	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	2.05	1.78	5.0%
Average	1.95	1.76	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.79	1.91	8.2%
Average	1.78	1.88	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitoria Setubal 10%Draw 45%Lagoa 45%

The statistical model rates Vitoria Setubal at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lagoa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.23 | 3.85, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Vitoria Setubal averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lagoa averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lagoa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.23	3.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.74	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.07	4.36

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.38	4.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	14.3	38.3
HT X	4.92	5.02	8.20
HT 2	25.0	16.3	6.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	8.50	2.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.25
1.5	1.27	3.14
2.5	1.95	1.76
3.5	3.28	1.25
4.5	6.60	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.34	2.79
2	1.45	2.42
2.25	1.69	1.99
2.75	2.18	1.56
3	2.62	1.39
3.25	2.96	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.88	1.32
-1	2.52	1.43
-0.75	2.05	1.64
-0.5	1.79	1.88
-0.25	1.64	2.12
0	1.33	2.86

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.85	1.04
-2	6.00	1.06
-1.75	4.15	1.16
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.25	3.30
+0.75	1.14	4.40
+1	1.02	8.00
+1.5	1.01	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.80	2.00
10.5	2.01	1.74

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D matches

1 Nov

Lajense – Sintrense

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D results

25 Oct	Sintrense 2-1 Amora
25 Oct	1º Dezembro 1-0 Vitoria Setubal
25 Oct	Lagoa 1-2 Lajense
11 Oct	FC Serpa 2-0 Sintrense
11 Oct	Amora 1-1 Lagoa
11 Oct	Lajense 0-1 1º Dezembro