Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus• Serie B, Italy

#12.6:1.43-1FT01/11 · Renzo Barbera, Palermo1.2:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53WHX4.50DAF26.74PINMargin at best2.4%Books10Markets88Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 14:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	4.26	6.74	3.7%
Dafabet	1.52	4.50	5.80	5.3%
Betano	1.53	4.35	5.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.51	4.20	5.88	7.0%
Bet365	1.50	4.10	6.25	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.50	4.20	5.85	7.6%
Betfair	1.47	4.20	6.00	8.5%
William Hill	1.53	3.90	5.50	9.2%
BetVictor	1.45	4.33	5.75	9.5%
SBO	1.49	4.16	5.13	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	4.50	6.74	2.4%
Average	1.50	4.22	5.88	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PalermoVicenza Virtus

Last 10#1Table position#172.60Points per game0.9013Form pts · last 542.6Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.868Attack rating3256Defence rating4476Form rating2450H2H rating5077Goals model2363Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:10 UTC

Palermo

8W 2D 0L · goals 28:14 · per match 2.8 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Vicenza Virtus	3-1	W
28 Oct	A	Pisa	3-3	D
25 Oct	H	Carrarese	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Mantova	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Empoli	4-2	W
19 Sep	H	Padova	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Avellino	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Sampdoria	3-1	W
3 Sep	H	Mantova	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Arezzo	3-2	W

Vicenza Virtus

1W 3D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

1 Nov	A	Palermo	1-3	L
27 Oct	H	Modena	1-2	L
23 Oct	A	Empoli	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Benevento	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Pisa	0-3	L
3 Oct	A	Koper	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Hellas Verona	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Juve Stabia	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Virtus Entella	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Avellino	0-3	L

Head to head

0Palermo wins

1draws

0Vicenza Virtus wins

1 meeting · goals 3:3 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Palermo

5 Aug 2018Coppa Italia

Coppa Italia

Palermo3-3Vicenza Virtus

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Serie B table, Palermo sit 1st with 26 points from 10 games, while Vicenza Virtus are 17th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	10	8	2	0	24:12	+12	26
2	Modena	10	6	2	2	18:10	+8	20
3	Ascoli	10	5	4	1	16:6	+10	19
4	Mantova	10	5	3	2	15:11	+4	18
5	Avellino	10	4	3	3	15:10	+5	15
6	Benevento	10	4	3	3	14:10	+4	15
7	Hellas Verona	10	4	3	3	19:13	+6	15
8	Pisa	10	4	3	3	18:15	+3	15
9	Padova	10	4	2	4	10:11	-1	14
10	Sudtirol	10	3	5	2	11:10	+1	14
11	Cremonese	10	3	3	4	10:11	-1	12
12	Cesena	10	2	6	2	11:14	-3	12
13	Arezzo	10	3	2	5	9:19	-10	11
14	Virtus Entella	10	2	4	4	11:12	-1	10
15	Carrarese	10	3	1	6	9:13	-4	10
16	Juve Stabia	10	3	4	3	11:11	0	9
17	Vicenza Virtus	10	2	3	5	13:20	-7	9
18	Empoli	10	2	2	6	10:17	-7	8
19	Sampdoria	10	2	2	6	10:18	-8	8
20	Catanzaro	10	1	3	6	11:22	-11	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.46X21%4.35215%6.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.50 -4.5%X4.35 → 4.22 -3.0%25.04 → 5.88 +16.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.60	2.45	3.3%
Betano	1.60	2.42	3.8%
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.60	2.45	3.3%
Average	1.54	2.38	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.30	3.4%
Average	1.62	2.17	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Palermo 45%Draw 45%Vicenza Virtus 10%

The statistical model rated Palermo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vicenza Virtus at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.35 | 6.35, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Palermo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Palermo are 1st (26 pts, 24-12 goals), Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 pts, 13-20).

Over their last five matches, Palermo averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Vicenza Virtus averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Palermo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Palermo

4-2-3-1

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Goalkeeper

1M. Perin

Defence

84T. Cassandro
29P. Peda
32P. Ceccaroni
3T. Augello

Midfield

8J. Segre
10F. Ranocchia
9D. Vavassori
23Hernani
17D. Johnsen

Attack

20J. Pohjanpalo

Substitutes (9)

99A. Gabrielloni
6C. Gomes
11E. Gyasi
96G. Magnani
36L. Mazzitelli
12M. Nespola
14M. Fortin
24N. Estévez
33A. Bozzolan

Vicenza Virtus

3-5-2

Coach: F. Gallo

Goalkeeper

16R. Gagno

Defence

66A. Papetti
23N. Brighenti
5R. Marchizza

Midfield

99A. Pietrelli
8A. Bellemo
4M. Carraro
10M. Valoti
32F. Costa

Attack

33S. Merkaj
9C. Morra

Substitutes (12)

24Filippo Alessio
28L. Caferri
21T. Corazza
6M. Leverbe
11G. Moncini
77A. Rada
7N. Rauti
27T. Sandon
44R. Talarico
68E. Tantalocchi
30M. Vescovi
29L. Zonta

Match Statistics

PalermoVicenza Virtus

2.83Expected Goals1.23

324Passes accurate421

15Shots insidebox6

7Shots outsidebox3

7Blocked Shots4

16Free Kicks9

5Shots on Goal2

1Goalkeeper Saves1

10Shots off Goal3

1Offsides2

415Total passes504

22Total Shots9

2Yellow Cards1

4Corner Kicks4

9Fouls16

0Red Cards0

46%Ball Possession54%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	4.22	5.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.46	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
1.99	2.46	5.43

2nd half

1	X	2
1.79	2.89	4.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.20	15.7	42.9
HT X	4.40	6.77	12.2
HT 2	20.2	16.8	9.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	15.9	2.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	15.2
1.5	1.15	4.92
2.5	1.54	2.38
3.5	2.35	1.57
4.5	4.04	1.21
5.5	7.38	1.07
6.5	15.3	1.02
7.5	24.8	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.17	3.95
2.25	1.37	2.85
2.75	1.64	2.17
3	1.84	1.91
3.25	2.06	1.71
3.75	2.51	1.44
4	3.02	1.30
4.25	3.30	1.25
4.75	4.46	1.14
5	5.90	1.07
5.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.66	1.43
-1.5	2.32	1.56
-1.25	2.06	1.71
-1	1.81	1.98
-0.75	1.63	2.20
-0.5	1.51	2.54

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.63	1.04
-3	6.50	1.05
-2.75	5.00	1.13
-2.5	4.09	1.19
-2.25	3.62	1.23
-2	3.39	1.28
-0.25	1.33	3.08
0	1.17	4.60
+0.25	1.13	4.93
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.06	7.00
+1	1.02	8.70
+1.5	1.02	10.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.30	3.35
3.5	1.60	2.27
4.5	1.94	1.77
5.5	3.10	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.8
5.5	1.06	7.80
6.5	1.11	4.96
7.5	1.24	3.36
8.5	1.47	2.47
9.5	1.81	1.92
10.5	2.28	1.54
11.5	3.02	1.31
12.5	4.09	1.17
13.5	5.31	1.10
14.5	6.70	1.06
15.5	10.0	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.59
7	1.13	4.02
8	1.28	2.83
8.25	1.36	2.70
8.75	1.51	2.32
9	1.60	2.22
9.25	1.72	2.05
9.75	1.89	1.79
10	2.03	1.71
10.25	2.15	1.59
10.75	2.47	1.44
11	2.60	1.38
11.25	2.88	1.32
12	3.35	1.19
13	4.42	1.10
14	5.59	1.04

Next Serie B matches

6 Nov	Ascoli – Palermo
7 Nov	Cesena – Catanzaro
7 Nov	Padova – Empoli
7 Nov	Juve Stabia – Arezzo
7 Nov	Pisa – Sudtirol
7 Nov	Mantova – Hellas Verona

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

1 Nov	Hellas Verona 3-0 Carrarese
1 Nov	Arezzo 0-0 Ascoli
1 Nov	Empoli 2-2 Juve Stabia
1 Nov	Avellino 2-0 Pisa
31 Oct	Sampdoria 2-0 Virtus Entella
31 Oct	Catanzaro 1-1 Padova