Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#91.8:1.421:3012/110.4:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.60BFR24.20BFRMargin at best7.8%Books6Markets43Rating76 · 25Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.78	3.55	4.05	9.0%
Dafabet	1.73	3.60	4.10	10.0%
Betfair	1.70	3.60	4.20	10.4%
1xBet	1.70	3.58	4.15	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.50	3.90	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.58	4.05	12.1%
Best of all books	1.78	3.60	4.20	7.8%
Average	1.72	3.57	4.08	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico BalboaInca Aruba

Last 10#9Table position#111.05Points per game0.8910Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 50.41.4Goals against · last 52.082Attack rating1859Defence rating4191Form rating90H2H rating10070Goals model3076Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 03:00 UTC

Atletico Balboa

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

8 Nov	A	Municipal Limeño	4-3	W
1 Nov	H	Alianza	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Fuerte San Francisco	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Águila	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	FAS	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Isidro Metapán	2-3	L
29 Sep	H	Cacahuatique	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Inter	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Firpo	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Platense	3-1	W

Inca Aruba

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

7 Nov	H	Isidro Metapán	1-1	D
31 Oct	A	Cacahuatique	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Inter	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	Firpo	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Platense	1-4	L
5 Oct	A	FAS	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Municipal Limeño	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Alianza	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Fuerte San Francisco	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Águila	1-3	L

Head to head

0Atletico Balboa wins

0draws

1Inca Aruba wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Atletico Balboa

9 Sep 2026Primera Division

Primera Division

Inca Aruba1-0Atletico Balboa

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 10 Nov 00:50 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Atletico Balboa sit 9th with 20 points from 19 games, while Inca Aruba are 11th with 17 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	19	11	6	2	34:14	+20	39
2	FAS	19	9	6	4	31:21	+10	33
3	Isidro Metapán	19	9	5	5	25:20	+5	32
4	Águila	19	8	6	5	36:27	+9	30
5	Inter	19	6	9	4	25:18	+7	27
6	Platense	19	7	6	6	25:22	+3	27
7	Alianza	19	6	8	5	26:26	0	26
8	Municipal Limeño	20	6	5	9	31:32	-1	23
9	Atletico Balboa	19	5	5	9	21:31	-10	20
10	Cacahuatique	19	4	7	8	21:29	-8	19
11	Inca Aruba	19	4	5	10	14:33	-19	17
12	Fuerte San Francisco	20	2	8	10	20:36	-16	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X25%3.57222%4.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.77	1.97	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Balboa 45%Draw 45%Inca Aruba 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico Balboa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Inca Aruba at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.57 | 4.07, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Atletico Balboa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Atletico Balboa are 9th (20 pts, 21-31 goals), Inca Aruba 11th (17 pts, 14-33).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Balboa averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Inca Aruba averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Balboa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.57	4.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.94	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.21	4.49

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.56	4.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.73	14.4	35.8
HT X	4.61	5.55	9.09
HT 2	21.0	15.5	6.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	12.1	2.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.3
1.5	1.22	3.75
2.5	1.77	1.97
3.5	2.85	1.35
4.5	5.41	1.11
5.5	9.43	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.25
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.53	2.26
2.75	1.92	1.72
3	2.28	1.50
3.25	2.57	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	4.90	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.97	1.30
-1.25	2.66	1.37
-1	2.34	1.50
-0.75	1.94	1.75
-0.5	1.75	1.98
-0.25	1.49	2.30

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.25	1.06
-2	5.35	1.09
-1.75	3.78	1.19
0	1.29	3.04
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+0.75	1.13	5.20
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.35

Next Primera Division matches

11 Nov	Isidro Metapán – Platense
11 Nov	Fuerte San Francisco – Alianza
12 Nov	FAS – Inter
12 Nov	Águila – Municipal Limeño

All Primera Division fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Division results

9 Nov	FAS 2-2 Fuerte San Francisco
8 Nov	Municipal Limeño 3-4 Atletico Balboa
8 Nov	Alianza 3-2 Águila
8 Nov	Inter 1-2 Firpo
7 Nov	Platense 0-2 Cacahuatique
7 Nov	Inca Aruba 1-1 Isidro Metapán