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Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#121.8:2.421:30Tomorrow0.8:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.95DAFX3.50B36521.90BTNMargin at best6.5%Books8Markets46Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.953.351.898.1%
Pinnacle3.933.331.888.7%
Betano3.803.351.908.8%
Betfair3.903.401.859.1%
1xBet3.903.301.8210.9%
Bet3653.703.501.8011.2%
Marathonbet3.803.301.8012.2%
William Hill3.803.101.8512.6%
Best of all books3.953.501.906.5%
Average3.853.331.8510.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fuerte San FranciscoAlianza
Last 10#12Table position#70.70Points per game1.372Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 50.82.4Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3129Defence rating7122Form rating787H2H rating9348Goals model5235Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 01:30 UTC

Fuerte San Francisco

1W 5D 4L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

9 NovAFAS2-2D
5 NovAMunicipal Limeño1-1D
1 NovHÁguila3-4L
25 OctHAtletico Balboa1-2L
18 OctAIsidro Metapán2-3L
10 OctHCacahuatique2-1W
4 OctAInter1-1D
1 OctHFirpo0-3L
27 SepAPlatense0-0D
24 SepAAlianza2-2D

Alianza

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

8 NovHÁguila3-2W
5 NovAFirpo0-2L
1 NovAAtletico Balboa0-1L
28 OctHCD Marathon0-0D
24 OctHIsidro Metapán1-0W
21 OctACD Marathon1-2L
17 OctACacahuatique0-0D
11 OctHInter2-2D
9 OctAFAS1-2L
4 OctHFirpo2-2D

Head to head

3Fuerte San Francisco wins
2draws
12Alianza wins

17 meetings · goals 11:29 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for Fuerte San Francisco

24 Sep 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionAlianza2-2Fuerte San Francisco
1 May 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco0-1Alianza
8 Mar 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionAlianza3-2Fuerte San Francisco
16 Nov 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco1-3Alianza
14 Sep 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionAlianza1-0Fuerte San Francisco
18 May 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionAlianza2-0Fuerte San Francisco
15 May 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco0-1Alianza
23 Apr 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco1-0Alianza
27 Feb 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionAlianza2-0Fuerte San Francisco
1 Nov 2024Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionAlianza2-0Fuerte San Francisco

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 10 Nov 00:50 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th with 14 points from 20 games, while Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Firpo19116234:14+2039
2FAS1996431:21+1033
3Isidro Metapán1995525:20+532
4Águila1986536:27+930
5Inter1969425:18+727
6Platense1976625:22+327
7Alianza1968526:26026
8Municipal Limeño2065931:32-123
9Atletico Balboa1955921:31-1020
10Cacahuatique1947821:29-819
11Inca Aruba19451014:33-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco20281020:36-1614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.84X27%3.33249%1.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Nov 01:3010 Nov 13:301 3.84X 3.332 1.85
13.96 → 3.84 -3.0%X3.36 → 3.33 -0.9%21.82 → 1.85 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.911.885.5%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Betano1.881.828.1%
1xBet1.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.951.884.5%
Average1.881.857.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
Betano1.751.939.0%
1xBet1.721.969.2%
Marathonbet1.721.9310.0%
Best of all books1.752.007.1%
Average1.731.968.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fuerte San Francisco 10%Draw 45%Alianza 45%

The statistical model rates Fuerte San Francisco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Alianza at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.84 | 3.33 | 1.85, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (14 pts, 20-36 goals), Alianza 7th (26 pts, 26-26).

Over their last five matches, Fuerte San Francisco averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Alianza averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.853.331.85

Double chance

1XX212
1.821.201.25

Draw no bet

12
2.751.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.731.96

1st half

1X2
4.332.122.42

2nd half

1X2
3.942.452.20

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.4314.821.8
HT X8.385.234.84
HT 235.815.12.93

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.539.551.64

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.80
1.51.273.31
2.51.881.85
3.53.141.30
4.55.901.10
5.513.01.02
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.90
1.251.174.40
1.751.313.00
21.402.62
2.251.642.11
2.752.071.65
32.471.45
3.252.781.36
3.753.741.19
45.101.10
4.254.901.14

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.811.35
+0.252.171.59
+0.51.881.88
+0.751.692.05
+11.432.57
+1.251.332.90
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.601.01
-17.701.03
-0.755.001.14
-0.253.251.27
+1.51.263.20
+1.751.164.10
+21.075.80
+2.51.056.65

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
91.851.95
9.52.101.67

Next Primera Division matches

10 NovCacahuatique – Firpo
11 NovIsidro Metapán – Platense
12 NovFAS – Inter
12 NovÁguila – Municipal Limeño
12 NovAtletico Balboa – Inca Aruba

All Primera Division fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Division results

9 NovFAS 2-2 Fuerte San Francisco
8 NovMunicipal Limeño 3-4 Atletico Balboa
8 NovAlianza 3-2 Águila
8 NovInter 1-2 Firpo
7 NovPlatense 0-2 Cacahuatique
7 NovInca Aruba 1-1 Isidro Metapán