Needham Market vs Leighton Town• Non League Premier - Southern Central, England

#52.6:1.619:45Today0.6:2.2#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52BTNX4.60BFR26.00BFRMargin at best4.2%Books9Markets55Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.51	4.40	5.20	8.2%
Betano	1.52	4.40	5.00	8.5%
Pinnacle	1.50	4.22	4.99	10.4%
1xBet	1.45	4.25	5.44	10.9%
Betfair	1.36	4.60	6.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	4.25	5.20	12.2%
William Hill	1.50	3.90	5.00	12.3%
Bet365	1.48	4.20	4.75	12.4%
BetVictor	1.40	3.70	4.60	20.2%
Best of all books	1.52	4.60	6.00	4.2%
Average	1.46	4.21	5.13	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Needham MarketLeighton Town

Last 10#5Table position#211.77Points per game0.4210Form pts · last 502.6Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 52.281Attack rating1958Defence rating42100Form rating050H2H rating5072Goals model2865Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 01:30 UTC

Needham Market

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:16 · per match 2.3 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	H	Wingate & Finchley	0-2	L
20 Oct	H	Bishop's Stortford	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Leamington	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Bury Town	5-0	W
10 Oct	H	Anstey Nomads	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Rushall Olympic	3-5	L
29 Sep	H	Stamford	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Canvey Island	3-0	W
22 Sep	A	Braintree	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Braintree	3-3	D

Leighton Town

0W 0D 10L · goals 11:27 · per match 1.1 for, 2.7 against

20 Oct	A	Banbury United	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Rushall Olympic	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Stourbridge	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Peterborough Sports	2-4	L
29 Sep	A	Hitchin Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Newmarket	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Halesowen Town	2-4	L
5 Sep	H	Gorleston	1-4	L
31 Aug	A	Real Bedford	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Bury Town	2-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Needham Market and Leighton Town on record.

Non League Premier - Southern Central tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Needham Market sit 5th with 23 points from 13 games, while Leighton Town are 21st with 5 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Bedford	13	10	2	1	37:16	+21	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24:20	+4	31
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	8	3	1	21:11	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30:21	+9	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28:19	+9	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25:18	+7	23
7	Kettering Town	12	6	4	2	22:9	+13	22
8	Alvechurch	12	6	4	2	22:10	+12	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20:16	+4	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20:17	+3	17
11	Halesowen Town	11	5	2	4	13:16	-3	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14:16	-2	16
13	Redditch United	11	3	5	3	17:16	+1	14
14	Hitchin Town	14	3	4	7	16:20	-4	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	4	1	8	17:23	-6	13
16	Banbury United	13	3	4	6	16:23	-7	13
17	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17:21	-4	12
18	Stratford Town	13	2	6	5	16:24	-8	12
19	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17:23	-6	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8:16	-8	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13:26	-13	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3:35	-32	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.46X21%4.21217%5.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.41 → 1.46 +3.5%X4.47 → 4.21 -5.8%25.61 → 5.13 -8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.51	8.3%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
1xBet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.07	19.7%
Best of all books	1.53	2.51	5.2%
Average	1.46	2.36	10.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
BetVictor	1.44	1.95	20.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Average	1.54	2.15	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Needham Market 45%Draw 45%Leighton Town 10%

The statistical model rates Needham Market at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leighton Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.21 | 5.13, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Needham Market win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern Central table: Needham Market are 5th (23 pts, 28-19 goals), Leighton Town 21st (5 pts, 13-26).

Over their last five matches, Needham Market averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Leighton Town averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Needham Market.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	4.21	5.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.46	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.49	5.20

2nd half

1	X	2
1.78	2.89	4.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.14	16.1	40.3
HT X	4.35	7.18	11.8
HT 2	19.1	16.9	8.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	17.0	2.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	15.5
1.5	1.11	4.47
2.5	1.46	2.36
3.5	2.13	1.57
4.5	3.39	1.21
5.5	5.75	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.31	2.74
2.75	1.54	2.13
3	1.71	1.90
3.25	1.91	1.70
3.75	2.40	1.42
4	3.05	1.30
4.25	3.29	1.25
4.75	4.46	1.14
5	5.95	1.07
5.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.61	1.40
-1.5	2.17	1.54
-1.25	1.97	1.68
-1	1.74	1.87
-0.75	1.56	2.12
-0.5	1.42	2.30

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.03
-3.25	6.80	1.04
-3	6.95	1.04
-2.75	4.95	1.11
-2.5	3.95	1.17
-2.25	3.58	1.21
-2	3.28	1.25
-0.25	1.32	2.94
0	1.16	4.10
+0.25	1.13	4.56
+0.75	1.05	6.60
+1	1.02	9.40
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Next Non League Premier - Southern Central matches

27 Oct	Halesowen Town – Leamington
27 Oct	Bromsgrove Sporting – Stratford Town
27 Oct	Kettering Town – Rushall Olympic
27 Oct	Alvechurch – Anstey Nomads
27 Oct	Banbury United – Worcester City
27 Oct	Peterborough Sports – Leiston

All Non League Premier - Southern Central fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Southern Central results

24 Oct	Hitchin Town 5-1 Bury Town
24 Oct	Stratford Town 4-4 Alvechurch
24 Oct	Bishop's Stortford 3-1 Real Bedford
20 Oct	Needham Market 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
20 Oct	Real Bedford 2-2 Bury Town
20 Oct	Rushall Olympic 3-1 Leamington