Real Bedford vs Bury Town• Non League Premier - Southern Central, England

#12.8:1.02-2FTToday1.2:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72BTNX4.10B36524.40DAFMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets54Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.67	4.00	4.30	8.1%
Betano	1.72	4.00	3.80	9.5%
Betfair	1.62	4.00	4.20	10.5%
Pinnacle	1.69	3.89	3.88	10.7%
1xBet	1.63	3.90	4.20	10.8%
Bet365	1.67	4.10	3.75	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.90	4.10	12.1%
William Hill	1.67	3.50	4.00	13.5%
BetVictor	1.57	3.50	3.60	20.0%
Best of all books	1.72	4.10	4.30	5.8%
Average	1.65	3.87	3.98	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real BedfordBury Town

Last 10#1Table position#22.82Points per game2.507Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.270Attack rating3055Defence rating4552Form rating48100H2H rating047Goals model5356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

Real Bedford

7W 1D 2L · goals 26:16 · per match 2.6 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	Stamford	4-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bromsgrove Sporting	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Chesham United	3-4	L
29 Sep	H	Leiston	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Wingate & Finchley	0-3	L
22 Sep	A	Stourbridge	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Harleston Town	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Redditch United	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Royston Town	4-1	W
31 Aug	H	Leighton Town	3-2	W

Bury Town

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Stourbridge	2-0	W
13 Oct	H	Needham Market	0-5	L
10 Oct	A	Alvechurch	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Spalding United	0-4	L
3 Oct	H	Spalding United	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	Bishop's Stortford	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	St Albans City	1-4	L
22 Sep	H	Hitchin Town	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Gorleston	4-3	W
12 Sep	A	Bromsgrove Sporting	0-1	L

Head to head

2Real Bedford wins

0draws

0Bury Town wins

2 meetings · goals 3:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Real Bedford

18 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Bury Town0-1Real Bedford
9 Sep 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Real Bedford2-0Bury Town

Non League Premier - Southern Central tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Real Bedford sit 1st with 31 points from 11 games, while Bury Town are 2nd with 30 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Bedford	11	10	1	0	34:11	+23	31
2	Bury Town	12	10	0	2	21:13	+8	30
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	8	3	1	21:11	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	13	8	0	5	27:20	+7	24
5	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25:18	+7	23
6	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18:6	+12	21
7	Needham Market	12	6	2	4	26:18	+8	20
8	Kettering Town	11	5	4	2	18:9	+9	19
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20:16	+4	19
10	Halesowen Town	10	5	2	3	12:11	+1	17
11	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14:16	-2	16
12	Redditch United	11	3	5	3	17:16	+1	14
13	Racing Club Warwick	12	3	5	4	15:16	-1	14
14	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17:17	0	12
15	Stratford Town	12	2	5	5	12:20	-8	11
16	Leamington	12	2	4	6	16:20	-4	10
17	Bishop's Stortford	11	3	1	7	13:20	-7	10
18	Banbury United	12	2	4	6	15:23	-8	10
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8:16	-8	7
20	Hitchin Town	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
21	Leighton Town	11	1	2	8	13:25	-12	5
22	Stamford	12	0	1	11	3:32	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.66X23%3.86223%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.53 → 1.65 +7.8%X4.00 → 3.87 -3.2%24.81 → 4.01 -16.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.57	8.4%
Betano	1.45	2.47	9.5%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
BetVictor	1.37	2.13	19.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.57	5.6%
Average	1.43	2.44	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Betano	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
BetVictor	1.36	2.15	20.0%
Best of all books	1.47	2.46	8.7%
Average	1.44	2.38	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Bedford 45%Draw 45%Bury Town 10%

The statistical model rated Real Bedford at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bury Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.86 | 3.98, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Real Bedford win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern Central table: Real Bedford are 1st (31 pts, 34-11 goals), Bury Town 2nd (30 pts, 21-13).

Over their last five matches, Real Bedford averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bury Town averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Bedford or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.87	3.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.03	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	2.87

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.38

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.45	4.16

2nd half

1	X	2
1.96	2.82	3.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.49	15.0	32.3
HT X	4.75	6.88	9.56
HT 2	19.2	15.3	6.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	16.6	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	15.0
1.5	1.11	4.65
2.5	1.43	2.44
3.5	2.06	1.61
4.5	3.24	1.23
5.5	5.45	1.07

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.40
1.25	1.06	6.31
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.18	4.01
2.25	1.33	2.75
2.75	1.51	2.19
3	1.66	1.97
3.25	1.85	1.75
3.75	2.32	1.45
4	2.78	1.32
4.25	3.14	1.27
4.75	4.20	1.15
5	5.60	1.08
5.25	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.62	1.40
-1.25	2.29	1.46
-1	1.99	1.68
-0.75	1.79	1.83
-0.5	1.63	1.99
-0.25	1.44	2.35

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.60	1.01
-2.75	6.05	1.06
-2.5	4.75	1.12
-2.25	4.40	1.14
-2	4.10	1.16
-1.75	3.08	1.28
0	1.29	3.11
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+0.75	1.10	5.15
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.60

Latest Non League Premier - Southern Central results

20 Oct	Needham Market 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
20 Oct	Rushall Olympic 3-1 Leamington
20 Oct	Kettering Town 4-0 Leiston
20 Oct	Banbury United 1-0 Leighton Town
20 Oct	Racing Club Warwick 5-1 Halesowen Town
20 Oct	Hitchin Town 3-0 Stamford