AFC Emley vs Lancaster City• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#181.4:2.214:00Today1.8:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65DAFX3.75BTN22.30BTNMargin at best7.9%Books7Markets44Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.70	2.30	8.2%
Betano	2.60	3.75	2.30	8.6%
Betfair	2.63	3.60	2.20	11.3%
Bet365	2.50	3.70	2.25	11.5%
1xBet	2.58	3.44	2.25	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.58	3.44	2.25	12.3%
William Hill	2.60	3.40	2.25	12.3%
Best of all books	2.65	3.75	2.30	7.9%
Average	2.59	3.58	2.26	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC EmleyLancaster City

Last 10#18Table position#111.00Points per game1.334Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 52.044Attack rating5648Defence rating5236Form rating640H2H rating035Goals model6541Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

AFC Emley

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:25 · per match 1.0 for, 2.5 against

17 Oct	A	Stockton Town	3-1	W
13 Oct	A	United of Manchester	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Gainsborough Trinity	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Rylands	1-4	L
29 Sep	H	Workington	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Bootle	0-5	L
19 Sep	H	Spennymoor Town	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Bury	0-4	L
9 Sep	A	Bishop Auckland	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Bishop Auckland	1-1	D

Lancaster City

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Leek Town	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Stockton Town	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Warrington Town	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	Avro	3-5	L
3 Oct	H	Ilkeston Town	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Whitby Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Cleethorpes Town	1-5	L
19 Sep	A	Bradford (Park Avenue)	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Curzon Ashton	0-2	L
8 Sep	A	Tadcaster Albion	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between AFC Emley and Lancaster City on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 23:01 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, AFC Emley sit 18th with 14 points from 14 games, while Lancaster City are 11th with 20 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33:13	+20	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31:9	+22	30
3	Guiseley AFC	13	9	1	3	27:12	+15	28
4	Avro	14	9	1	4	37:27	+10	28
5	Gainsborough Trinity	13	8	1	4	29:16	+13	25
6	Workington	15	7	3	5	26:25	+1	24
7	Warrington Town	13	6	5	2	24:19	+5	23
8	Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	+4	23
9	Curzon Ashton	13	7	1	5	24:17	+7	22
10	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21:17	+4	20
11	Lancaster City	15	6	2	7	20:28	-8	20
12	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	+11	19
13	Whitby Town	14	6	1	7	20:33	-13	19
14	Hyde United	15	4	3	8	15:29	-14	15
15	Leek Town	13	3	5	5	26:26	0	14
16	Ashton United	14	3	5	6	17:18	-1	14
17	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23:29	-6	14
18	AFC Emley	14	3	5	6	15:26	-11	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18:28	-10	12
20	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17:34	-17	10
21	Ilkeston Town	15	3	1	11	10:34	-24	10
22	United of Manchester	12	1	4	7	15:23	-8	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X25%3.58240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.48 → 2.59 +4.4%X3.55 → 3.58 +0.8%22.30 → 2.26 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.59	2.21	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.39	7.2%
Average	1.50	2.33	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Emley 10%Draw 45%Lancaster City 45%

The statistical model rates AFC Emley at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lancaster City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 3.58 | 2.26, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: AFC Emley are 18th (14 pts, 15-26 goals), Lancaster City 11th (20 pts, 20-28).

Over their last five matches, AFC Emley averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Lancaster City averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lancaster City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	3.58	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.53	1.41	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.92	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.30	2.76

2nd half

1	X	2
2.85	2.60	2.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.13	13.9	23.8
HT X	6.50	6.05	6.03
HT 2	24.8	13.9	3.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.96	15.3	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.4
1.5	1.16	4.13
2.5	1.59	2.21
3.5	2.41	1.46
4.5	4.13	1.17
5.5	7.23	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.19	3.81
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.40	2.57
2.75	1.73	1.94
3	1.92	1.73
3.25	2.18	1.56
3.75	2.84	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.93	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.06	1.29
-0.25	2.25	1.53
0	1.97	1.75
+0.25	1.69	1.96
+0.75	1.38	2.63
+1	1.23	3.42

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-1.75	6.35	1.06
-1.5	4.95	1.11
-1.25	4.60	1.13
-1	4.20	1.16
+1.25	1.19	3.82
+1.5	1.16	4.20
+1.75	1.09	5.30
+2	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.01	8.30

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

24 Oct	Warrington Town – Gainsborough Trinity
24 Oct	United of Manchester – Whitby Town
27 Oct	Bury – Leek Town

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

21 Oct	Avro 3-2 Ashton United
20 Oct	Guiseley AFC 2-1 Cleethorpes Town
17 Oct	Whitby Town 1-0 Curzon Ashton
17 Oct	Stockton Town 1-3 AFC Emley
17 Oct	Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 Hyde United
17 Oct	Lancaster City 1-2 Leek Town