Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners• A-League, Australia

#81.0:1.504:0001/11 · AAMI Park, Melbourne1.0:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.481XBX5.09PIN27.00B365Margin at best1.5%Books9Markets88Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.48	4.82	6.43	3.9%
Betano	1.47	4.80	6.10	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.43	5.09	6.32	5.4%
BetVictor	1.40	4.75	7.00	6.8%
Bet365	1.42	4.50	7.00	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.43	4.65	6.20	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	4.75	6.50	7.9%
William Hill	1.44	4.50	5.80	8.9%
SBO	1.37	4.36	5.90	12.9%
Best of all books	1.48	5.09	7.00	1.5%
Average	1.43	4.69	6.36	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners

Last 10#8Table position#90.50Points per game0.505Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 51.01.5Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5057Defence rating4350Form rating5050H2H rating50100Goals model054Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

Melbourne Victory

4W 4D 2L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

28 Oct	A	Persib Bandung	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Melbourne City	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Wellington Phoenix	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	FC Seoul	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	South Melbourne	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Viettel	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Sydney	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Western Sydney Wanderers	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Kingborough Lions	4-0	W

Central Coast Mariners

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:22 · per match 1.0 for, 2.2 against

25 Oct	A	Wellington Phoenix	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Newcastle Jets	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Western Sydney Wanderers	1-5	L
12 Sep	A	Vanuatu United	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Vanuatu United	2-3	L
22 Jul	A	Sydney United	1-1	D
25 Apr	A	Newcastle Jets	0-4	L
19 Apr	A	Auckland	1-0	W
10 Apr	H	Brisbane Roar	2-2	D
7 Apr	A	Melbourne City	1-2	L

Head to head

20Melbourne Victory wins

13draws

9Central Coast Mariners wins

42 meetings · goals 76:51 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Melbourne Victory

21 Mar 2026A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory4-1Central Coast Mariners
1 Feb 2026A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners1-0Melbourne Victory
8 Mar 2025A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory3-0Central Coast Mariners
18 Oct 2024A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners0-0Melbourne Victory
25 May 2024A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners3-1Melbourne Victory
25 Feb 2024A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory0-1Central Coast Mariners
13 Jan 2024A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners1-1Melbourne Victory
3 Dec 2023A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners2-2Melbourne Victory
19 Mar 2023A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory2-0Central Coast Mariners
31 Dec 2022A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners2-1Melbourne Victory

A-League tableA-Leagueupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the A-League table, Melbourne Victory sit 8th with 1 points from 2 games, while Central Coast Mariners are 9th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6
2	Western Sydney Wanderers	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
3	Macarthur	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Sydney	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Brisbane Roar	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
6	Auckland	2	1	0	1	5:6	-1	3
7	Newcastle Jets	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
8	Melbourne Victory	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
9	Central Coast Mariners	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
10	Melbourne City	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
11	Adelaide United	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Perth Glory	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.43X20%4.69215%6.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.43 -0.7%X4.68 → 4.69 +0.2%26.26 → 6.36 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.53	2.52	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.54	2.49	5.1%
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
1xBet	1.54	2.42	6.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Best of all books	1.54	2.55	4.2%
Average	1.52	2.43	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.67	2.10	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melbourne Victory 45%Draw 45%Central Coast Mariners 10%

The statistical model rates Melbourne Victory at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Central Coast Mariners at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.69 | 6.36, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Melbourne Victory win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the A-League table: Melbourne Victory are 8th (1 pts, 2-3 goals), Central Coast Mariners 9th (1 pts, 2-4).

Over their last five matches, Melbourne Victory averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Central Coast Mariners averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	4.69	6.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.71	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
1.88	2.55	5.68

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	2.95	5.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.04	16.4	45.3
HT X	4.33	7.48	13.8
HT 2	19.2	17.2	10.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	17.8	3.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.5
1.5	1.15	5.03
2.5	1.52	2.43
3.5	2.30	1.59
4.5	3.98	1.22
5.5	7.40	1.07
6.5	12.8	1.02
7.5	18.9	1.01
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.16	4.29
2	1.21	3.79
2.25	1.36	2.80
2.75	1.65	2.16
3	1.83	1.95
3.25	2.07	1.72
3.75	2.61	1.44
4	3.20	1.30
4.25	3.48	1.25
4.75	4.66	1.15
5	6.25	1.08
5.25	6.46	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.45	1.50
-1.5	2.16	1.67
-1.25	1.91	1.87
-1	1.67	2.18
-0.75	1.51	2.45
-0.5	1.42	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.84	1.06
-3.25	6.80	1.10
-3	6.22	1.09
-2.75	4.49	1.16
-2.5	3.64	1.24
-2.25	3.39	1.28
-2	3.07	1.35
-0.25	1.27	3.45
0	1.14	4.93
+0.25	1.12	5.37
+0.5	1.11	6.60
+0.75	1.04	7.27
+1.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.65	2.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	9.50
6.5	1.05	7.03
7.5	1.14	4.63
8.5	1.28	3.18
9.5	1.51	2.35
10.5	1.86	1.84
11.5	2.37	1.50
12.5	3.12	1.29
13.5	4.35	1.16
14.5	5.97	1.08
15.5	7.80	1.06
16.5	9.75	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.95
8	1.17	3.55
8.75	1.30	2.97
9	1.36	2.65
9.25	1.42	2.50
9.75	1.57	2.18
10	1.67	2.02
10.25	1.76	1.93
10.75	1.96	1.71
11	2.13	1.60
11.25	2.24	1.53
11.75	2.56	1.40
12	2.75	1.34
12.25	2.97	1.30
13	3.50	1.18
14	4.57	1.09

Next A-League matches

31 Oct	Newcastle Jets – Wellington Phoenix
31 Oct	Melbourne City – Sydney
31 Oct	Macarthur – Western Sydney Wanderers
1 Nov	Perth Glory – Adelaide United

All A-League fixtures and the table

Latest A-League results

25 Oct	Sydney 2-1 Adelaide United
25 Oct	Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Central Coast Mariners
24 Oct	Melbourne Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
24 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers 5-2 Auckland
24 Oct	Newcastle Jets 1-1 Macarthur
23 Oct	Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory