Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix• A-League, Australia

#71.5:1.504:00Tomorrow · McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle2.0:0.5#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX4.001XB23.541XBMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets85Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.99	4.00	3.51	3.7%
1xBet	1.98	4.00	3.54	3.8%
Dafabet	2.02	4.00	3.40	3.9%
Betano	2.02	3.85	3.35	5.3%
Betfair	2.00	3.90	3.30	5.9%
Bet365	1.95	3.90	3.40	6.3%
BetVictor	2.00	3.80	3.30	6.6%
Marathonbet	1.91	3.86	3.42	7.5%
William Hill	1.95	3.60	3.30	9.4%
SBO	2.00	3.39	3.00	12.8%
Best of all books	2.02	4.00	3.54	2.8%
Average	1.98	3.83	3.35	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix

Last 10#7Table position#11.00Points per game3.002Form pts · last 591.5Goals for · last 52.01.5Goals against · last 50.543Attack rating5725Defence rating7525Form rating7560H2H rating400Goals model043Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Newcastle Jets

1W 5D 4L · goals 17:25 · per match 1.7 for, 2.5 against

27 Oct	A	Kyoto Sanga	2-5	L
24 Oct	H	Macarthur	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Central Coast Mariners	2-2	D
13 Oct	H	Gamba Osaka	1-3	L
15 Sep	A	Kashima	1-7	L
21 Jul	A	Preston Lions	2-3	L
16 May	H	Sydney	1-1	D
9 May	A	Sydney	1-1	D
25 Apr	H	Central Coast Mariners	4-0	W
17 Apr	A	Melbourne Victory	2-2	D

Wellington Phoenix

6W 1D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Central Coast Mariners	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Melbourne Victory	2-1	W
24 Apr	A	Macarthur	0-4	L
18 Apr	H	Western Sydney Wanderers	2-1	W
12 Apr	A	Melbourne City	0-2	L
5 Apr	A	Melbourne Victory	1-0	W
21 Mar	A	Brisbane Roar	2-1	W
14 Mar	H	Perth Glory	2-0	W
6 Mar	A	Adelaide United	1-1	D
1 Mar	H	Sydney	0-1	L

Head to head

16Newcastle Jets wins

6draws

19Wellington Phoenix wins

41 meetings · goals 70:68 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Newcastle Jets

23 Jan 2026A-League	A-League	Newcastle Jets4-1Wellington Phoenix
14 Dec 2025A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix1-3Newcastle Jets
6 Apr 2025A-League	A-League	Newcastle Jets1-2Wellington Phoenix
28 Dec 2024A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix2-1Newcastle Jets
17 Sep 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Wellington Phoenix0-1Newcastle Jets
19 Apr 2024A-League	A-League	Newcastle Jets1-1Wellington Phoenix
27 Jan 2024A-League	A-League	Newcastle Jets1-2Wellington Phoenix
9 Dec 2023A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix0-3Newcastle Jets
4 Mar 2023A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix2-1Newcastle Jets
22 Oct 2022A-League	A-League	Newcastle Jets3-1Wellington Phoenix

A-League tableA-Leagueupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the A-League table, Newcastle Jets sit 7th with 2 points from 2 games, while Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 6 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6
2	Western Sydney Wanderers	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
3	Macarthur	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Sydney	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Brisbane Roar	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
6	Auckland	2	1	0	1	5:6	-1	3
7	Newcastle Jets	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
8	Melbourne Victory	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
9	Central Coast Mariners	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
10	Melbourne City	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
11	Adelaide United	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Perth Glory	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.96X25%3.81228%3.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	2.52	3.8%
Betano	1.55	2.52	4.2%
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
1xBet	1.53	2.44	6.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.56	2.55	3.3%
Average	1.52	2.44	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.47	2.50	8.0%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.46	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.48	2.52	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newcastle Jets 35%Draw 35%Wellington Phoenix 30%

The statistical model rates Newcastle Jets at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Wellington Phoenix at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.81 | 3.38, which imply roughly 51% for a Newcastle Jets win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the A-League table: Newcastle Jets are 7th (2 pts, 3-3 goals), Wellington Phoenix 1st (6 pts, 4-1).

Over their last five matches, Newcastle Jets averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Wellington Phoenix averaged 2 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Newcastle Jets or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.83	3.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.80	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.42	3.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.75	3.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.00	13.4	27.4
HT X	5.38	6.49	8.06
HT 2	20.5	13.8	5.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	17.9	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.4
1.5	1.15	5.08
2.5	1.52	2.44
3.5	2.30	1.60
4.5	3.95	1.23
5.5	7.36	1.07
6.5	12.8	1.02
7.5	18.9	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.15	4.37
2	1.21	3.84
2.25	1.36	2.84
2.75	1.63	2.18
3	1.83	1.95
3.25	2.06	1.74
3.75	2.56	1.45
4	3.14	1.31
4.25	3.40	1.26
4.75	4.56	1.15
5	6.05	1.09
5.25	6.31	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.69	1.44
-0.75	2.19	1.63
-0.5	1.99	1.83
-0.25	1.73	2.09
0	1.49	2.57
+0.25	1.38	2.91

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.38	1.09
-2.25	6.60	1.11
-2	5.54	1.11
-1.75	4.01	1.20
-1.5	3.36	1.29
-1.25	3.01	1.35
+0.5	1.31	3.32
+0.75	1.21	4.04
+1	1.11	5.77
+1.25	1.09	6.13
+1.5	1.08	6.55
+1.75	1.03	8.27
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.25	3.75
2.5	1.65	2.15
3.5	2.42	1.53
4.5	3.75	1.24
5.5	5.90	1.11

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	9.75
6.5	1.06	6.93
7.5	1.15	4.57
8.5	1.30	3.13
9.5	1.54	2.32
10.5	1.89	1.83
11.5	2.39	1.52
12.5	3.15	1.29
13.5	4.32	1.17
14.5	5.92	1.08
15.5	7.30	1.06
16.5	10.0	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.22
8	1.15	3.79
8.75	1.31	2.92
9	1.30	2.72
9.25	1.43	2.47
9.75	1.58	2.14
10	1.67	2.12
10.25	1.78	1.88
10.75	2.02	1.71
11	2.11	1.67
11.25	2.30	1.52
11.75	2.60	1.40
12	2.58	1.38
12.25	3.05	1.28
13	3.29	1.20
14	4.29	1.11

Next A-League matches

31 Oct	Melbourne City – Sydney
31 Oct	Macarthur – Western Sydney Wanderers
1 Nov	Melbourne Victory – Central Coast Mariners
1 Nov	Perth Glory – Adelaide United

All A-League fixtures and the table

Latest A-League results

25 Oct	Sydney 2-1 Adelaide United
25 Oct	Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Central Coast Mariners
24 Oct	Melbourne Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
24 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers 5-2 Auckland
24 Oct	Newcastle Jets 1-1 Macarthur
23 Oct	Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory