Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City• A-League, Australia

#111.0:2.008:40Tomorrow · AAMI Park, Melbourne1.0:3.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57PINX3.60B36522.761XBMargin at best2.9%Books9Markets71Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.54	3.56	2.76	3.7%
Pinnacle	2.57	3.52	2.66	4.9%
Betano	2.57	3.50	2.67	4.9%
Bet365	2.50	3.60	2.62	5.9%
Betfair	2.50	3.60	2.60	6.2%
BetVictor	2.50	3.50	2.63	6.6%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.44	2.66	7.5%
William Hill	2.45	3.30	2.62	9.3%
SBO	2.41	3.12	2.53	13.1%
Best of all books	2.57	3.60	2.76	2.9%
Average	2.50	3.46	2.64	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City

Last 10#11Table position#120.00Points per game0.008Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 53.050Attack rating5060Defence rating400Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model053Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Melbourne Victory

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

18 Oct	A	Wellington Phoenix	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	FC Seoul	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	South Melbourne	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Viettel	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Sydney	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Western Sydney Wanderers	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Kingborough Lions	4-0	W
2 May	H	Sydney	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Western Sydney Wanderers	2-0	W

Melbourne City

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Auckland	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Oakleigh Cannons	2-0	W
11 Aug	A	Lions	0-2	L
7 Aug	H	Palermo	0-2	L
26 Jul	A	Weston Bears	3-0	W
2 May	A	Auckland	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Adelaide United	1-2	L
18 Apr	A	Brisbane Roar	3-2	W
12 Apr	H	Wellington Phoenix	2-0	W
7 Apr	H	Central Coast Mariners	2-1	W

Head to head

18Melbourne Victory wins

15draws

15Melbourne City wins

48 meetings · goals 66:70 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Melbourne Victory

21 Feb 2026A-League	A-League	Melbourne City1-3Melbourne Victory
20 Dec 2025A-League	A-League	Melbourne City0-1Melbourne Victory
8 Nov 2025A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory0-2Melbourne City
31 May 2025A-League	A-League	Melbourne City1-0Melbourne Victory
22 Feb 2025A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory2-2Melbourne City
21 Dec 2024A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory1-1Melbourne City
26 Oct 2024A-League	A-League	Melbourne City1-3Melbourne Victory
5 May 2024A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory1-1Melbourne City
6 Apr 2024A-League	A-League	Melbourne Victory2-1Melbourne City
17 Feb 2024A-League	A-League	Melbourne City0-0Melbourne Victory

A-League tableA-Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the A-League table, Melbourne Victory sit 11th with 0 points from 1 games, while Melbourne City are 12th with 0 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Auckland	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
2	Wellington Phoenix	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
3	Macarthur	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
4	Central Coast Mariners	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
5	Newcastle Jets	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Sydney	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
7	Western Sydney Wanderers	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
8	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Perth Glory	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Melbourne Victory	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Melbourne City	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.49X27%3.49235%2.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.29 → 2.49 +8.7%X3.54 → 3.49 -1.4%22.84 → 2.65 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.82	2.06	3.5%
Betano	1.78	2.10	3.8%
Pinnacle	1.81	2.04	4.3%
SBO	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.99	7.1%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.82	2.10	2.6%
Average	1.78	2.03	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.27	3.9%
Average	1.62	2.20	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melbourne Victory 45%Draw 45%Melbourne City 10%

The statistical model rates Melbourne Victory at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Melbourne City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 3.49 | 2.65, which imply roughly 40.2% for a Melbourne Victory win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the A-League table: Melbourne Victory are 11th (0 pts, 1-2 goals), Melbourne City 12th (0 pts, 1-3).

Over their last five matches, Melbourne Victory averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Melbourne City averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	3.46	2.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.45	1.49	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
3.00	2.22	3.16

2nd half

1	X	2
2.74	2.50	2.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.93	13.6	27.8
HT X	6.10	5.44	6.41
HT 2	26.4	13.4	4.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	12.6	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.4
1.5	1.23	3.90
2.5	1.78	2.03
3.5	2.84	1.40
4.5	5.46	1.13
5.5	10.2	1.04
6.5	15.6	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.65
1.25	1.11	5.15
1.75	1.28	3.26
2	1.36	2.98
2.25	1.58	2.33
2.75	1.98	1.79
3	2.28	1.60
3.25	2.56	1.46
3.75	3.34	1.27
4	4.53	1.16
4.25	4.86	1.13
4.75	6.61	1.06
5	9.32	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.95	1.36
-0.5	2.48	1.52
-0.25	2.14	1.68
0	1.84	1.95
+0.25	1.61	2.27
+0.5	1.49	2.60

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.8	1.04
-2	9.60	1.02
-1.75	6.27	1.08
-1.5	4.86	1.15
-1.25	4.33	1.18
-1	4.02	1.22
+0.75	1.33	3.15
+1	1.19	4.39
+1.25	1.15	4.76
+1.5	1.13	5.21
+1.75	1.07	6.88
+2	1.03	9.25
+2.5	1.03	10.8

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	9.50
6.5	1.06	6.83
7.5	1.14	4.53
8.5	1.30	3.08
9.5	1.57	2.26
10.5	1.95	1.80
11.5	2.46	1.47
12.5	3.32	1.26
13.5	4.55	1.15
14.5	6.33	1.07
15.5	8.25	1.05
16.5	10.3	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.32	2.88
9	1.47	2.63
9.25	1.44	2.44
9.75	1.60	2.11
10	1.82	1.99
10.25	1.80	1.86
10.75	2.03	1.68
11	2.29	1.60
11.25	2.31	1.50
11.75	2.67	1.37
12.25	3.08	1.28

Next A-League matches

23 Oct	Brisbane Roar – Perth Glory
24 Oct	Newcastle Jets – Macarthur
24 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers – Auckland
25 Oct	Wellington Phoenix – Central Coast Mariners
25 Oct	Sydney – Adelaide United

All A-League fixtures and the table

Latest A-League results

18 Oct	Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Melbourne Victory
17 Oct	Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Newcastle Jets
17 Oct	Macarthur 2-1 Perth Glory
17 Oct	Auckland 3-1 Melbourne City
16 Oct	Sydney 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers