Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners• A-League, Australia

#22.0:1.002:0025/10 · Sky Stadium, Wellington2.0:2.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.881XBX3.95DAF24.081XBMargin at best3.0%Books10Markets75Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 01:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.88	3.86	4.08	3.6%
Dafabet	1.87	3.80	4.10	4.2%
Betano	1.85	3.80	4.05	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.84	3.82	4.04	5.3%
Bet365	1.85	3.75	3.90	6.4%
Betfair	1.80	3.90	3.90	6.8%
BetVictor	1.83	3.75	3.90	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.72	3.94	7.5%
William Hill	1.83	3.50	3.80	9.5%
SBO	1.84	3.34	3.53	12.6%
Best of all books	1.88	3.90	4.10	3.2%
Average	1.84	3.72	3.92	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Wellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners

Last 10#2Table position#43.00Points per game1.009Form pts · last 522.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3375Form rating2562H2H rating380Goals model064Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Wellington Phoenix

5W 1D 4L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	H	Melbourne Victory	2-1	W
24 Apr	A	Macarthur	0-4	L
18 Apr	H	Western Sydney Wanderers	2-1	W
12 Apr	A	Melbourne City	0-2	L
5 Apr	A	Melbourne Victory	1-0	W
21 Mar	A	Brisbane Roar	2-1	W
14 Mar	H	Perth Glory	2-0	W
6 Mar	A	Adelaide United	1-1	D
1 Mar	H	Sydney	0-1	L
21 Feb	H	Auckland	0-5	L

Central Coast Mariners

1W 4D 5L · goals 12:22 · per match 1.2 for, 2.2 against

17 Oct	H	Newcastle Jets	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Western Sydney Wanderers	1-5	L
12 Sep	A	Vanuatu United	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Vanuatu United	2-3	L
22 Jul	A	Sydney United	1-1	D
25 Apr	A	Newcastle Jets	0-4	L
19 Apr	A	Auckland	1-0	W
10 Apr	H	Brisbane Roar	2-2	D
7 Apr	A	Melbourne City	1-2	L
4 Apr	H	Perth Glory	2-2	D

Head to head

16Wellington Phoenix wins

10draws

15Central Coast Mariners wins

41 meetings · goals 60:61 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Wellington Phoenix

21 Dec 2025A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix3-1Central Coast Mariners
2 Nov 2025A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners1-1Wellington Phoenix
25 Jan 2025A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix0-0Central Coast Mariners
10 Nov 2024A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners0-3Wellington Phoenix
6 Oct 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Central Coast Mariners2-1Wellington Phoenix
6 Apr 2024A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners2-1Wellington Phoenix
6 Feb 2024A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix0-0Central Coast Mariners
24 Feb 2023A-League	A-League	Central Coast Mariners1-1Wellington Phoenix
22 Jan 2023A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix2-1Central Coast Mariners
16 Oct 2022A-League	A-League	Wellington Phoenix2-2Central Coast Mariners

A-League tableA-Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the A-League table, Wellington Phoenix sit 2nd with 3 points from 1 games, while Central Coast Mariners are 4th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Auckland	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
2	Wellington Phoenix	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
3	Macarthur	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
4	Central Coast Mariners	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
5	Newcastle Jets	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Sydney	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
7	Western Sydney Wanderers	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
8	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Perth Glory	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Melbourne Victory	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Melbourne City	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.83X25%3.74224%3.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.71	2.21	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.18	5.0%
Betano	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.14	7.0%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.71	2.21	3.7%
Average	1.67	2.16	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.21	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wellington Phoenix 45%Draw 45%Central Coast Mariners 10%

The statistical model rates Wellington Phoenix at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Central Coast Mariners at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.74 | 3.93, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Wellington Phoenix win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the A-League table: Wellington Phoenix are 2nd (3 pts, 2-1 goals), Central Coast Mariners 4th (1 pts, 2-2).

Over their last five matches, Wellington Phoenix averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Central Coast Mariners averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Wellington Phoenix or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.72	3.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.93	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.31	4.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.65	3.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.79	14.0	33.7
HT X	4.90	5.94	8.98
HT 2	21.6	14.7	6.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	13.8	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.0
1.5	1.20	4.26
2.5	1.67	2.16
3.5	2.60	1.46
4.5	4.83	1.17
5.5	8.90	1.05
6.5	14.7	1.02
7.5	23.2	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.1
1.25	1.10	5.45
1.75	1.24	3.54
2	1.30	3.19
2.25	1.49	2.51
2.75	1.85	1.93
3	2.10	1.70
3.25	2.34	1.55
3.75	3.00	1.32
4	3.87	1.21
4.25	4.15	1.17
4.75	5.50	1.09
5	7.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.78	1.40
-1	2.47	1.53
-0.75	2.05	1.75
-0.5	1.83	1.99
-0.25	1.58	2.28
0	1.36	3.01

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-2.75	7.27	1.04
-2.5	5.96	1.10
-2.25	5.54	1.11
-2	5.27	1.13
-1.75	3.73	1.23
-1.5	3.13	1.33
+0.25	1.29	3.35
+0.5	1.23	3.88
+0.75	1.14	4.88
+1	1.06	7.03
+1.5	1.04	7.83

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	6.05
7.5	1.17	3.95
8.5	1.37	2.77
9.5	1.68	2.09
10.5	2.09	1.66
11.5	2.73	1.37
12.5	3.74	1.21
13.5	5.20	1.10
14.5	7.30	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.19	3.78
8.25	1.28	3.08
8.75	1.40	2.58
9	1.53	2.46
9.25	1.54	2.21
9.75	1.72	1.93
10	1.90	1.88
10.25	1.93	1.71
10.75	2.19	1.54
11	2.46	1.53
11.25	2.52	1.41

Next A-League matches

23 Oct	Brisbane Roar – Perth Glory
24 Oct	Newcastle Jets – Macarthur
24 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers – Auckland
24 Oct	Melbourne Victory – Melbourne City
25 Oct	Sydney – Adelaide United

All A-League fixtures and the table

Latest A-League results

18 Oct	Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Melbourne Victory
17 Oct	Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Newcastle Jets
17 Oct	Macarthur 2-1 Perth Glory
17 Oct	Auckland 3-1 Melbourne City
16 Oct	Sydney 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers