Melbourne City vs Sydney• A-League, Australia

#101.0:2.006:00Tomorrow · AAMI Park, Melbourne1.0:0.5#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.121XBX3.65PIN23.60BVCMargin at best2.3%Books9Markets86Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 09:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.12	3.59	3.50	3.6%
Pinnacle	2.03	3.71	3.65	3.6%
Betano	2.07	3.50	3.55	5.0%
Betfair	2.05	3.60	3.50	5.1%
Bet365	2.00	3.60	3.50	6.3%
BetVictor	2.00	3.40	3.60	7.2%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.46	3.38	7.5%
William Hill	2.00	3.40	3.30	9.7%
SBO	2.00	3.12	3.25	12.8%
Best of all books	2.12	3.71	3.65	1.5%
Average	2.03	3.49	3.47	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Melbourne CitySydney

Last 10#10Table position#40.50Points per game2.004Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.550Attack rating5020Defence rating8020Form rating8085H2H rating150Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Melbourne City

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	A	Melbourne Victory	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Auckland	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Oakleigh Cannons	2-0	W
11 Aug	A	Lions	0-2	L
7 Aug	H	Palermo	0-2	L
26 Jul	A	Weston Bears	3-0	W
2 May	A	Auckland	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Adelaide United	1-2	L
18 Apr	A	Brisbane Roar	3-2	W
12 Apr	H	Wellington Phoenix	2-0	W

Sydney

4W 4D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Adelaide United	2-1	W
16 Oct	H	Western Sydney Wanderers	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Melbourne Victory	0-2	L
18 Aug	A	SD Raiders	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Brisbane Roar	4-2	W
29 Jul	A	Tottenham	1-1	D
21 Jul	A	Bayswater City	5-1	W
23 May	A	Auckland	0-1	L
16 May	A	Newcastle Jets	1-1	D
9 May	H	Newcastle Jets	1-1	D

Head to head

17Melbourne City wins

11draws

15Sydney wins

43 meetings · goals 66:56 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Melbourne City

17 Mar 2026A-League	A-League	Sydney0-1Melbourne City
3 Jan 2026A-League	A-League	Melbourne City0-0Sydney
3 May 2025A-League	A-League	Melbourne City5-1Sydney
29 Mar 2025A-League	A-League	Sydney2-3Melbourne City
24 Feb 2024A-League	A-League	Sydney1-1Melbourne City
3 Nov 2023A-League	A-League	Melbourne City2-0Sydney
24 Sep 2023Australia Cup	Australia Cup	Melbourne City1-2Sydney
19 May 2023A-League	A-League	Melbourne City4-0Sydney
12 May 2023A-League	A-League	Sydney1-1Melbourne City
25 Feb 2023A-League	A-League	Melbourne City3-2Sydney

A-League tableA-Leagueupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the A-League table, Melbourne City sit 10th with 1 points from 2 games, while Sydney are 4th with 4 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6
2	Western Sydney Wanderers	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
3	Macarthur	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Sydney	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Brisbane Roar	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
6	Auckland	2	1	0	1	5:6	-1	3
7	Newcastle Jets	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
8	Melbourne Victory	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
9	Central Coast Mariners	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
10	Melbourne City	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
11	Adelaide United	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Perth Glory	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.03X27%3.46227%3.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 2.03 -1.0%X3.46 → 3.46 0.0%23.40 → 3.45 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.94	1.93	3.4%
Betano	1.93	1.93	3.6%
1xBet	1.94	1.92	3.6%
SBO	1.92	1.92	4.2%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.86	7.0%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.94	1.93	3.4%
Average	1.91	1.90	5.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.72	2.02	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melbourne City 35%Draw 35%Sydney 30%

The statistical model rates Melbourne City at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sydney at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.46 | 3.45, which imply roughly 49.3% for a Melbourne City win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the A-League table: Melbourne City are 10th (1 pts, 2-4 goals), Sydney 4th (4 pts, 2-1).

Over their last five matches, Melbourne City averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sydney averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Melbourne City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	3.49	3.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.75	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.62	2.16	3.91

2nd half

1	X	2
2.39	2.45	3.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.19	14.1	35.3
HT X	5.05	5.32	7.80
HT 2	24.6	14.4	5.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	11.5	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.5
1.5	1.28	3.45
2.5	1.91	1.90
3.5	3.20	1.32
4.5	6.35	1.10
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	17.7	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.3
1	1.02	8.40
1.25	1.15	4.66
1.75	1.34	2.98
2	1.45	2.69
2.25	1.67	2.16
2.75	2.12	1.67
3	2.56	1.49
3.25	2.79	1.37
3.75	3.89	1.19
4	5.34	1.11
4.25	5.65	1.09
5	8.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.96	1.38
-0.75	2.32	1.57
-0.5	2.00	1.82
-0.25	1.75	2.06
0	1.49	2.57
+0.25	1.37	2.95

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	8.05	1.04
-2.25	7.55	1.04
-2	7.13	1.07
-1.75	4.79	1.15
-1.5	3.74	1.24
-1.25	3.36	1.29
+0.5	1.30	3.49
+0.75	1.20	4.23
+1	1.09	6.44
+1.25	1.07	6.81
+1.5	1.07	7.16
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.85
2.5	1.37	2.91
3	1.45	2.62
3.5	1.85	1.87
4	2.22	1.62
4.5	2.75	1.41
5.5	4.30	1.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.0
5.5	1.06	8.67
6.5	1.09	5.60
7.5	1.22	3.73
8.5	1.42	2.63
9.5	1.73	2.01
10.5	2.17	1.62
11.5	2.84	1.36
12.5	3.87	1.20
13.5	5.38	1.10
14.5	7.20	1.06
15.5	9.75	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.35
7.75	1.22	3.50
8	1.24	3.05
8.25	1.31	2.93
8.75	1.44	2.49
9	1.52	2.34
9.25	1.60	2.13
9.75	1.81	1.87
10	1.96	1.82
10.25	2.04	1.66
10.75	2.31	1.50
11	2.47	1.48
11.25	2.70	1.36
12	3.10	1.23
13	4.10	1.12
14	5.25	1.06

Next A-League matches

31 Oct	Newcastle Jets – Wellington Phoenix
31 Oct	Macarthur – Western Sydney Wanderers
1 Nov	Melbourne Victory – Central Coast Mariners
1 Nov	Perth Glory – Adelaide United

All A-League fixtures and the table

Latest A-League results

25 Oct	Sydney 2-1 Adelaide United
25 Oct	Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Central Coast Mariners
24 Oct	Melbourne Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
24 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers 5-2 Auckland
24 Oct	Newcastle Jets 1-1 Macarthur
23 Oct	Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory