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Northampton vs Gillingham• EFL Trophy, England

0.5:2.51-2FTToday · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton2.5:3.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.29DAFX3.60B36523.00BVCMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets80Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.293.603.004.8%
Pinnacle2.263.402.997.1%
Betano2.273.402.878.3%
BetVictor2.153.403.009.3%
1xBet2.153.323.0010.0%
Betfair2.203.302.8810.5%
Marathonbet2.133.322.9411.1%
Bet3652.103.602.8011.1%
William Hill2.203.102.8812.4%
SBO2.143.112.7615.1%
Best of all books2.293.603.004.8%
Average2.193.362.919.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorthamptonGillingham
Last 104Form pts · last 540.5Goals for · last 52.52.5Goals against · last 53.517Attack rating8358Defence rating420Form rating10085H2H rating150Goals model057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 03:01 UTC

Northampton

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

7 NovAYork0-4L
3 NovHOldham0-1L
31 OctAAccrington ST1-1D
24 OctHColchester2-0W
20 OctHTranmere0-1L
17 OctAGrimsby2-0W
10 OctAYork1-1D
6 OctACambridge United1-2L
19 SepHRotherham0-1L
12 SepAShrewsbury0-2L

Gillingham

3W 2D 5L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

7 NovHBarrow0-1L
31 OctAShrewsbury2-1W
24 OctHGrimsby1-4L
20 OctHPort Vale1-1D
17 OctAAccrington ST1-3L
13 OctHBrighton U214-3W
10 OctARotherham4-1W
3 OctHNewport County0-0D
26 SepAYork0-3L
22 SepHCambridge United1-4L

Head to head

4Northampton wins
4draws
5Gillingham wins

13 meetings · goals 19:19 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Northampton

29 Aug 2026League TwoLeague TwoGillingham1-1Northampton
10 Apr 2023League TwoLeague TwoNorthampton2-1Gillingham
12 Nov 2022League TwoLeague TwoGillingham0-2Northampton
24 Apr 2021League OneLeague OneGillingham2-2Northampton
29 Dec 2020League OneLeague OneNorthampton3-1Gillingham
13 Feb 2018League OneLeague OneNorthampton1-2Gillingham
21 Oct 2017League OneLeague OneGillingham1-2Northampton
30 Apr 2017League OneLeague OneNorthampton0-0Gillingham
12 Nov 2016League OneLeague OneGillingham2-1Northampton
29 Jan 2013League TwoLeague TwoGillingham2-0Northampton

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.14X27%3.40231%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Nov 03:0010 Nov 16:501 2.19X 3.352 2.91
12.07 → 2.19 +5.8%X3.53 → 3.35 -5.1%23.05 → 2.91 -4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.861.945.3%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
SBO1.752.036.4%
Betano1.781.986.7%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.791.927.9%
Marathonbet1.791.927.9%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.862.033.0%
Average1.801.947.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
Betano1.622.158.2%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.632.128.5%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.632.099.2%
Best of all books1.732.203.3%
Average1.642.118.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Northampton 35%Draw 35%Gillingham 30%

The statistical model rated Northampton at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Gillingham at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.40 | 2.99, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Northampton win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Northampton averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; Gillingham averaged 2.5 scored and 3.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Northampton or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Northampton

3-4-3

Coach: C. Hogg

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Wright

Defence

  • 5A. Smith
  • 19O. Beckles
  • 20J. Daley

Midfield

  • 22N. Freeman
  • 14R. McKenzie
  • 15Z. Albarus
  • 16J. Brophy

Attack

  • 12G. McCleary
  • 11L. Sillah
  • 10Ronan Hale
Substitutes (7)
  • 17C. Antwi
  • 6E. Coleman
  • 32L. Dayal
  • 9W. Goodwin
  • 18S. Kendall
  • 8A. Little
  • 40R. Luthra

Gillingham

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Goalkeeper

  • 34R. Fitzsimons

Defence

  • 15C. McCarthy
  • 35M. Dyche
  • 3J. Maxwell

Midfield

  • 16J. Wormleighton
  • 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
  • 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
  • 11K. Simon-Swyer
  • 10E. List
  • 20L. Briggs

Attack

  • 32H. Saunders
Substitutes (6)
  • 6E. Moore
  • 8L. Evans
  • 19O. Dale
  • 31J. Dadge
  • 22Joshua Alan Powell
  • 9Matthew Warhurst

Match Statistics

NorthamptonGillingham
1.34Expected Goals1.34
384Passes accurate350
6Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox4
2Blocked Shots3
12Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal6
4Goalkeeper Saves3
3Shots off Goal3
3Offsides0
479Total passes461
9Total Shots12
2Corner Kicks3
10Fouls12
0Red Cards0
0Yellow Cards0
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.193.352.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.581.26

Draw no bet

12
1.652.12

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.11

1st half

1X2
2.742.173.49

2nd half

1X2
2.472.503.28

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4113.528.5
HT X5.475.437.01
HT 224.213.94.85

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7512.82.16

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.56
1.51.233.62
2.51.801.94
3.52.991.34
4.55.781.10
5.59.231.03
6.513.51.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.50
1.251.105.05
1.751.293.17
21.372.77
2.251.582.20
2.752.001.72
32.341.51
3.252.651.40
3.753.191.30
44.901.11
4.255.311.09
4.757.301.03
58.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.551.45
-0.52.181.64
-0.251.891.84
01.622.17
+0.251.452.52
+0.51.402.83
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.531.06
-2.257.601.05
-27.571.05
-1.755.471.10
-1.54.181.18
-1.253.541.26
-13.161.31
+0.751.243.54
+11.115.23
+1.251.105.80
+1.51.086.27
+1.751.018.70
+21.019.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.06
6.51.154.08
7.51.352.80
8.51.612.15
9.52.001.72
10.52.611.41
11.53.861.18
12.56.111.04
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.76
61.036.46
6.251.094.93
6.751.173.86
71.203.65
7.251.283.08
7.751.422.57
81.452.50
8.251.592.19
8.751.781.92
91.861.86
9.252.011.71
9.752.301.53
102.451.47
10.252.681.38
10.753.151.27
113.641.20
11.253.821.18
11.754.661.11
125.681.06
12.255.891.05
136.981.02

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