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Oxford United vs Cheltenham• EFL Trophy, England

2.0:2.04-0FTToday · Kassam Stadium, Oxford2.5:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.23BTNX6.80DAF211.71XBMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets99Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.236.8011.05.1%
Pinnacle1.226.0011.17.7%
Betano1.245.909.757.9%
BetVictor1.186.5011.09.2%
Bet3651.226.009.009.7%
1xBet1.195.7011.710.1%
Betfair1.176.5010.010.9%
William Hill1.225.0011.011.1%
Marathonbet1.185.7011.311.2%
SBO1.215.427.7214.0%
Best of all books1.246.8011.73.9%
Average1.215.9510.39.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Oxford UnitedCheltenham
Last 108Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 52.52.0Goals against · last 52.029Attack rating7167Defence rating3320Form rating8071H2H rating290Goals model050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 03:01 UTC

Oxford United

4W 5D 1L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

7 NovHStevenage0-1L
4 NovHReading2-0W
31 OctABarnsley1-1D
27 OctHStockport County1-0W
24 OctHBradford0-0D
20 OctHWigan2-1W
15 OctAMansfield Town1-1D
10 OctANotts County2-1W
6 OctAExeter City2-2D
19 SepHCambridge United1-1D

Cheltenham

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

7 NovHFC Halifax Town2-0W
31 OctATranmere1-3L
24 OctHNewport County1-0W
20 OctHFleetwood Town4-2W
17 OctAOldham1-4L
13 OctHTottenham Hotspur U212-2D
10 OctHSalford City0-2L
3 OctAAccrington ST0-2L
26 SepHChesterfield2-1W
22 SepHExeter City2-2D

Head to head

5Oxford United wins
6draws
7Cheltenham wins

18 meetings · goals 25:26 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Oxford United

9 Mar 2024League OneLeague OneOxford United2-1Cheltenham
25 Nov 2023League OneLeague OneCheltenham2-0Oxford United
25 Apr 2023League OneLeague OneOxford United4-0Cheltenham
27 Aug 2022League OneLeague OneCheltenham1-2Oxford United
1 Jan 2022League OneLeague OneOxford United1-1Cheltenham
18 Sep 2021League OneLeague OneCheltenham1-0Oxford United
8 Jan 2019EFL TrophyEFL TrophyCheltenham1-1Oxford United
8 Aug 2017League CupLeague CupOxford United3-4Cheltenham
3 Jan 2015League TwoLeague TwoOxford United1-2Cheltenham
29 Nov 2014League TwoLeague TwoCheltenham1-1Oxford United

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.21X15%5.9329%10.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Nov 03:0010 Nov 15:001 1.21X 5.952 10.4
11.32 → 1.21 -8.3%X4.92 → 5.95 +20.9%27.55 → 10.4 +37.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.363.006.9%
Pinnacle1.372.917.4%
Betano1.372.877.8%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.342.7810.6%
Marathonbet1.342.7810.6%
Best of all books1.373.006.3%
Average1.352.918.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
Betano1.781.938.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.801.898.5%
William Hill1.731.959.1%
Marathonbet1.801.869.3%
Best of all books1.801.956.8%
Average1.781.918.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oxford United 45%Draw 45%Cheltenham 10%

The statistical model rated Oxford United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cheltenham at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 5.93 | 10.03, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Oxford United win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Oxford United averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Cheltenham averaged 2.5 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Oxford United or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Oxford United

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Ramsey

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Day

Defence

  • 14R. Broom
  • 5R. Cundy
  • 35M. Barber
  • 21G. Nurse

Midfield

  • 36Archie Philip Hill
  • 33F. Willcox
  • 38Jack Robinson
  • 11J. Bickerstaff
  • 20Favour Onukwuli

Attack

  • 10G. Miller
Substitutes (5)
  • 31M. Diallo
  • 19J. Evans
  • 41Ethan Hardy
  • 37George Mcnamme
  • 40Ryan Todd

Cheltenham

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Cotterill

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Cumming

Defence

  • 30P. Kioso
  • 2S. Long
  • 25J. Golding
  • 26J. Currie

Midfield

  • 44H. Bradney
  • 8C. Brannagan
  • 10A. Emakhu
  • 48L Griffiths
  • 12R. Roosken

Attack

  • 27L. Snowden
Substitutes (7)
  • 37A. Elliott-Wheeler
  • 11T. Goodrham
  • 54J. Holton
  • 7Jeon Jin-Woo
  • 22G. Leigh
  • 41Monty Marriott
  • 19G. O'Donkor

Match Statistics

Oxford UnitedCheltenham
3.93Expected Goals0.4
204Passes accurate559
3Shots insidebox18
2Shots outsidebox11
1Blocked Shots8
12Free Kicks5
2Shots on Goal9
5Goalkeeper Saves2
2Shots off Goal12
1Offsides2
285Total passes622
5Total Shots29
2Corner Kicks13
13Fouls5
0Red Cards0
0Yellow Cards0
69%Ball Possession31%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.215.9510.3

Double chance

1XX212
1.043.851.09

Draw no bet

12
1.068.18

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.781.91

1st half

1X2
1.562.898.11

2nd half

1X2
1.443.487.84

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.6420.457.6
HT X4.149.3820.1
HT 219.022.017.7

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2521.13.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.0
1.51.096.23
2.51.352.91
3.51.881.84
4.52.901.35
5.54.961.13
6.57.801.06
7.510.71.02
8.517.0–
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0112.0
1.251.066.10
1.751.095.30
21.114.90
2.251.303.14
2.751.412.64
31.512.35
3.251.692.04
3.752.071.66
42.401.49
4.252.641.40
4.753.281.25
54.201.15
5.254.451.14
67.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.361.52
-2.252.131.63
-21.931.80
-1.751.712.03
-1.51.602.22
-1.251.432.58
17 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.56.501.07
-4.256.001.12
-46.231.08
-3.754.781.14
-3.53.851.21
-3.253.521.24
-33.201.30
-2.752.641.42
-11.333.04
-0.751.303.21
-0.51.402.96
-0.251.125.18
01.047.93
+0.251.076.60
+0.51.039.50
+0.751.068.22
+11.018.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.036.58
7.51.163.98
8.51.362.76
9.51.652.09
10.52.071.67
11.52.681.39
12.53.631.21
13.55.391.07
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.036.31
71.046.05
7.251.104.74
7.751.183.79
81.203.59
8.251.293.07
8.751.412.59
91.472.46
9.251.572.23
9.751.751.96
101.861.88
10.251.961.75
10.752.211.58
112.401.49
11.252.541.43
11.752.951.31
123.351.24
12.253.511.22
12.754.201.14
135.001.09
13.255.191.08

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