Bristol Rovers vs Reading• EFL Trophy, England

1.5:3.52-2FTToday · Memorial Stadium, Bristol1.0:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.60BVCX4.37PIN21.94DAFMargin8.4%Books10Markets87Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.65	3.85	1.94	4.9%
Pinnacle	4.35	4.37	1.63	7.2%
Betano	4.50	4.10	1.62	8.3%
BetVictor	4.60	4.10	1.57	9.8%
1xBet	4.39	4.05	1.60	10.0%
Marathonbet	4.33	4.05	1.58	11.1%
Bet365	4.10	4.00	1.62	11.1%
Betfair	4.33	4.10	1.57	11.2%
William Hill	4.20	3.80	1.60	12.6%
SBO	4.25	3.82	1.54	14.6%
Best of all books	4.60	4.37	1.94	-3.8%
Average	4.27	4.02	1.63	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bristol RoversReading

Last 104Form pts · last 5101.5Goals for · last 51.03.5Goals against · last 51.560Attack rating4030Defence rating700Form rating1009H2H rating910Goals model028Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 03:01 UTC

Bristol Rovers

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

6 Nov	H	Cambridge United	2-0	W
31 Oct	A	Fleetwood Town	1-3	L
24 Oct	H	Swindon Town	0-0	D
20 Oct	H	Salford City	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Shrewsbury	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Barnet	1-3	L
6 Oct	A	Wycombe	1-4	L
3 Oct	A	Crewe	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Exeter City	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Gillingham	0-3	L

Reading

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

7 Nov	A	Peterborough	5-0	W
4 Nov	A	Oxford United	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	Plymouth	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Barnsley	2-1	W
21 Oct	H	Leyton Orient	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Wigan	0-1	L
13 Oct	H	Chelsea U21	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Milton Keynes Dons	5-1	W
3 Oct	H	Bradford	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Wycombe	2-2	D

Head to head

0Bristol Rovers wins

1draws

3Reading wins

4 meetings · goals 1:6 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Bristol Rovers

26 Apr 2025League One	League One	Bristol Rovers0-2Reading
26 Oct 2024League One	League One	Reading1-0Bristol Rovers
9 Apr 2024League One	League One	Bristol Rovers0-2Reading
7 Nov 2023League One	League One	Reading1-1Bristol Rovers

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.91X23%3.94253%1.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.90 → 4.27 +9.5%X3.76 → 4.02 +6.9%21.75 → 1.63 -6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.41	2.76	7.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.47	2.52	7.7%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.76	4.3%
Average	1.43	2.60	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Betano	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.46	2.50	8.5%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.45	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.47	2.47	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bristol Rovers 10%Draw 45%Reading 45%

The statistical model rated Bristol Rovers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Reading at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.91 | 3.94 | 1.74, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Bristol Rovers averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per game; Reading averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Reading and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bristol Rovers

3-4-1-2

Coach: S. Evans

Goalkeeper

32Charlie Binns

Defence

34Stan Dunne
28A. Appiah
17C. Kelly

Midfield

23M. Southam-Hales
21R. Smallwood
33R. De Havilland
3J. Sparkes
27P. Sanyaolu

Attack

10B. Kamwa
49Excel Iwhiwhu

Substitutes (7)

1Brad Young
42Jack Toogood
43Kazim Salahi-Ali
8R. Russell-Denny
24T. Leigh
7S. Forde
4K. Balmer

Reading

Coach: L. Richardson

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.27	4.02	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.14	1.16	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.39	1.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
4.30	2.47	2.10

2nd half

1	X	2
4.00	2.88	1.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.03	14.4	17.8
HT X	9.98	6.91	4.80
HT 2	33.4	14.3	2.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.39	19.3	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.3
1.5	1.11	5.35
2.5	1.43	2.60
3.5	2.10	1.67
4.5	3.44	1.26
5.5	6.22	1.08
6.5	8.75	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.25	1.05	6.50
1.75	1.11	4.95
2	1.21	3.95
2.25	1.31	3.06
2.75	1.51	2.36
3	1.67	2.08
3.25	1.89	1.82
3.75	2.33	1.52
4	2.79	1.36
4.25	3.05	1.30
4.75	4.01	1.17
5	5.30	1.09
5.25	5.60	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.56	1.44
+0.5	2.22	1.62
+0.75	1.99	1.74
+1	1.74	2.01
+1.25	1.56	2.27
+1.5	1.46	2.51

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.33	1.04
-1.25	6.53	1.07
-1	7.60	1.05
-0.75	5.43	1.11
-0.5	4.10	1.23
-0.25	3.60	1.25
0	3.23	1.29
+1.75	1.33	3.00
+2	1.20	3.87
+2.25	1.17	4.23
+2.5	1.15	4.52
+2.75	1.09	5.77
+3	1.02	7.90
+3.5	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.12	4.53
7.5	1.31	2.96
8.5	1.55	2.27
9.5	1.91	1.80
10.5	2.43	1.48
11.5	3.55	1.21
12.5	5.35	1.07
13.5	6.15	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.13	4.30
7	1.15	4.08
7.25	1.23	3.38
7.75	1.35	2.79
8	1.40	2.67
8.25	1.50	2.36
8.75	1.68	2.05
9	1.77	1.95
9.25	1.89	1.81
9.75	2.14	1.62
10	2.29	1.54
10.25	2.46	1.46
10.75	2.87	1.33
11	3.26	1.25
11.25	3.44	1.23
11.75	4.14	1.15
12	4.96	1.09
12.25	5.15	1.08
12.75	4.74	1.10
13	5.74	1.06
13.25	5.94	1.05

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