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Burton Albion vs Notts County• EFL Trophy, England

0.5:1.00-3LiveToday · Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent3.5:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55DAFX3.83PIN22.50DAFMargin at best5.3%Books10Markets82Rating27 · 74Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.483.852.604.8%
Pinnacle2.503.672.507.2%
Betano2.453.652.527.9%
BetVictor2.403.602.509.4%
Betfair2.403.602.4510.3%
1xBet2.433.602.3810.9%
Marathonbet2.433.602.3810.9%
Bet3652.303.802.4011.5%
William Hill2.403.302.4512.8%
SBO2.393.252.3615.0%
Best of all books2.503.852.604.4%
Average2.423.592.459.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Burton AlbionNotts County
Last 108Form pts · last 580.5Goals for · last 53.51.0Goals against · last 51.013Attack rating8850Defence rating5014Form rating860H2H rating1000Goals model027Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 03:01 UTC

Burton Albion

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

7 NovHAFC Rushden & Diamonds4-0W
31 OctAWycombe0-2L
24 OctHLeyton Orient2-1W
20 OctHBradford0-0D
17 OctAPeterborough2-2D
10 OctADoncaster0-1L
6 OctAGrimsby0-0D
3 OctHHuddersfield1-3L
26 SepAPlymouth1-0W
22 SepHNottingham Forest U211-1D

Notts County

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

7 NovAAltrincham2-2D
31 OctAMansfield Town2-0W
24 OctHStockport County1-1D
20 OctHSheffield Wednesday2-0W
17 OctAWycombe0-2L
13 OctHNottingham Forest U215-1W
10 OctHOxford United1-2L
22 SepHGrimsby2-1W
19 SepAReading0-2L
12 SepHBradford0-1L

Head to head

0Burton Albion wins
0draws
3Notts County wins

3 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Burton Albion

29 Aug 2026League OneLeague OneNotts County2-1Burton Albion
24 Sep 2024EFL TrophyEFL TrophyBurton Albion1-2Notts County
3 Sep 2013EFL TrophyEFL TrophyNotts County1-0Burton Albion

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X25%3.59237%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Nov 03:0010 Nov 09:001 2.42X 3.612 2.44
12.19 → 2.42 +10.5%X3.49 → 3.61 +3.4%22.86 → 2.44 -14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.492.526.8%
Betano1.532.407.0%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betfair1.452.558.2%
BetVictor1.512.349.0%
1xBet1.472.3510.6%
Marathonbet1.472.3510.6%
Best of all books1.532.554.6%
Average1.492.418.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.402.757.8%
Betano1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.432.598.5%
Marathonbet1.432.549.3%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
BetVictor1.402.639.5%
Best of all books1.502.753.0%
Average1.442.588.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burton Albion 10%Draw 45%Notts County 45%

The statistical model rates Burton Albion at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Notts County at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.59 | 2.45, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Burton Albion averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Notts County averaged 3.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Notts County.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Burton Albion

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Bowyer

Goalkeeper

  • 34C. Addai

Defence

  • 31J. Lewis
  • 20J. Sraha
  • 24Harvey Araujo

Midfield

  • 50J. Willow
  • 14W. Collar
  • 41Sulyman Krubally
  • 23Emeka Adeile
  • 29Kain Adom
  • 40Zac Scutt

Attack

  • 19M. Dennis
Substitutes (6)
  • 56W. Earley
  • 53Caden Gilbert
  • 52Miles Henry
  • 57William Hetheridge
  • 32J. Kean
  • 10Mark O’Mahony

Notts County

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Paterson

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Gibbons

Defence

  • 2J. Gibbons
  • 23L. Browne
  • 12L. Ness

Midfield

  • 6M. Sanders
  • 15J. Evans
  • 16D. Campbell
  • 26I. Samuels-Smith
  • 42H. Mustapha
  • 19L. Smyth

Attack

  • 39L. Ndlovu
Substitutes (7)
  • 52Edward Lilley
  • 56Darshan Lemard
  • 4J. Bedeau
  • 51Cameron Maltby
  • 7C. Roberts
  • 50George Lodge
  • 20S. Robertson

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.423.592.45

Double chance

1XX212
1.461.471.23

Draw no bet

12
1.851.86

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.58

1st half

1X2
2.892.362.88

2nd half

1X2
2.642.682.71

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8313.221.9
HT X6.386.306.36
HT 222.012.83.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8718.51.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.5
1.51.144.83
2.51.492.41
3.52.251.58
4.53.851.21
5.56.931.07
6.510.01.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.40
11.019.45
1.251.066.00
1.751.243.67
21.233.62
2.251.342.89
2.751.612.17
31.811.90
3.252.001.70
3.752.561.43
43.131.29
4.253.351.25
4.754.501.13
55.951.07
5.256.251.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.791.38
-0.52.391.53
-0.252.141.64
01.851.88
+0.251.642.13
+0.51.512.44
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.131.03
-2.257.001.10
-27.601.05
-1.755.681.10
-1.54.431.16
-1.254.071.18
-13.621.24
+0.751.372.82
+11.233.62
+1.251.193.98
+1.51.164.35
+1.751.105.55
+21.027.80
+2.51.018.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.53
7.51.223.48
8.51.462.47
9.51.801.89
10.52.271.54
11.53.001.30
12.54.301.13
13.56.541.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.28
71.095.03
7.251.164.06
7.751.253.28
81.283.10
8.251.372.71
8.751.522.32
91.572.23
9.251.702.02
9.751.901.80
102.001.73
10.252.151.61
10.752.461.46
112.641.40
11.252.881.33
11.753.401.23
123.941.16
12.254.121.15
12.755.011.09
136.121.04
13.256.331.03

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