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Plymouth vs Swindon Town• EFL Trophy, England

3.5:1.51-1LiveToday · Home Park, Plymouth0.5:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44BTNX5.75PIN27.00BFRMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets92Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.435.206.205.3%
Pinnacle1.405.755.517.0%
Betano1.444.805.807.5%
BetVictor1.335.007.009.5%
1xBet1.345.256.1410.0%
Marathonbet1.335.255.9511.0%
Bet3651.335.006.2511.2%
Betfair1.304.757.0012.3%
William Hill1.364.805.5012.5%
SBO1.304.795.9914.5%
Best of all books1.445.757.001.1%
Average1.365.066.139.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PlymouthSwindon Town
Last 107Form pts · last 583.5Goals for · last 50.51.5Goals against · last 52.088Attack rating1357Defence rating43100Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model061Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 03:01 UTC

Plymouth

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

7 NovHAlvechurch4-0W
31 OctHReading0-0D
24 OctACambridge United3-2W
20 OctAStevenage0-3L
17 OctHHuddersfield0-2L
10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2-1W
6 OctANewport County2-2D
3 OctALeyton Orient2-0W
26 SepHBurton Albion0-1L
22 SepHCrystal Palace U215-1W

Swindon Town

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

7 NovAMilton Keynes Dons1-2L
31 OctHRotherham2-1W
24 OctABristol Rovers0-0D
20 OctABarnet3-1W
17 OctHWalsall1-1D
10 OctHCrewe0-1L
3 OctARochdale0-1L
26 SepHAccrington ST1-1D
22 SepHNewport County0-2L
19 SepASalford City0-1L

Head to head

5Plymouth wins
1draws
7Swindon Town wins

13 meetings · goals 20:21 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Plymouth

29 Jul 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsSwindon Town3-1Plymouth
20 Sep 2022EFL TrophyEFL TrophySwindon Town1-3Plymouth
12 Oct 2021EFL TrophyEFL TrophyPlymouth1-3Swindon Town
26 Jan 2021League OneLeague OneSwindon Town0-2Plymouth
3 Nov 2020League OneLeague OnePlymouth4-2Swindon Town
1 Jan 2020League TwoLeague TwoPlymouth1-2Swindon Town
12 Oct 2019League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town1-1Plymouth
8 Oct 2019EFL TrophyEFL TrophySwindon Town0-3Plymouth
9 Oct 2018EFL TrophyEFL TrophyPlymouth0-3Swindon Town
7 Oct 2014EFL TrophyEFL TrophyPlymouth3-2Swindon Town

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.36X18%5.06215%6.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Nov 03:0010 Nov 18:001 1.36X 5.062 6.13
11.45 → 1.36 -6.2%X4.79 → 5.06 +5.6%25.22 → 6.13 +17.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.392.866.9%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
Betfair1.303.208.2%
Betano1.382.808.2%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.312.9210.6%
Marathonbet1.312.9210.6%
Best of all books1.403.202.7%
Average1.352.928.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.552.327.6%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.492.428.4%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
William Hill1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.492.389.1%
Best of all books1.602.423.8%
Average1.542.308.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Plymouth 45%Draw 45%Swindon Town 10%

The statistical model rates Plymouth at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Swindon Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 5.06 | 6.13, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Plymouth win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Plymouth averaged 3.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Swindon Town averaged 0.5 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Plymouth and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Plymouth

4-4-2

Coach: Tom Cleverley

Goalkeeper

  • 21James Storer

Defence

  • 40J. Mwaro
  • 42Jared Rendle
  • 22A. Hartridge
  • 3Jack Mackenzie

Midfield

  • 11R. Curtis
  • 23B. Ibrahim
  • 38Seb Campbell
  • 14O. Irow

Attack

  • 18Owen Oseni
  • 46Frankie Maund
Substitutes (7)
  • 6M. Boateng
  • 45W. Harding
  • 9W. Evans
  • 1M. Mahoney
  • 10X. Amaechi
  • 2M. Ross
  • 7H. White

Swindon Town

4-3-3

Coach: Ian Holloway

Goalkeeper

  • 12Lewis Moore Ward

Defence

  • 2M. Clark
  • 18J. Debayo
  • 21K. Majekodunmi
  • 33Joel McGregor

Midfield

  • 24M. Virtue-Thick
  • 7T. Nichols
  • 38Lucas Griffiths-Brown

Attack

  • 39L. Millard
  • 29A. Hackford
  • 22J. Pearman
Substitutes (7)
  • 6J. Ball
  • 44Rory Da Costa
  • 45Jacob Hagan
  • 43Freddie Hoare
  • 27A. Munda
  • 19J. Snowdon
  • 37Charlie Summers

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.365.066.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.082.841.11

Draw no bet

12
1.164.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.30

1st half

1X2
1.792.735.38

2nd half

1X2
1.663.155.15

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9116.341.9
HT X4.488.7614.1
HT 216.316.510.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3726.52.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.2
1.51.086.43
2.51.352.92
3.51.921.81
4.53.071.32
5.55.331.11
6.58.171.05
7.511.31.01
8.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0113.0
1.751.066.10
21.085.60
2.251.193.79
2.751.402.66
31.512.35
3.251.722.01
3.752.111.63
42.471.46
4.252.721.38
4.753.591.21
54.751.12
5.255.101.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.651.42
-1.752.211.59
-1.51.951.78
-1.251.741.98
-11.572.28
-0.751.442.55
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.221.08
-3.255.501.15
-35.471.11
-2.754.031.19
-2.53.261.28
-2.252.971.34
-0.51.432.69
-0.251.293.30
01.134.78
+0.251.115.28
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.057.40
+11.028.80
+1.51.019.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.20
7.51.144.29
8.51.322.91
9.51.572.22
10.51.921.78
11.52.461.46
12.53.381.23
13.54.921.09
14.57.331.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.93
71.036.65
7.251.085.15
7.751.154.08
81.173.88
8.251.253.28
8.751.362.75
91.412.60
9.251.512.34
9.751.682.06
101.771.94
10.251.871.83
10.752.101.65
112.281.55
11.252.401.49
11.752.761.36
123.101.28
12.253.261.25
12.753.871.17
134.561.12
13.254.741.10
13.755.781.05
147.121.01
14.257.121.01

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