AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21• EFL Trophy, England

0.5:1.018:00Today · Plough Lane, Wimbledon1.5:3.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX4.80DAF25.20DAFMargin at best4.6%Books9Markets86Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.55	4.80	5.20	4.6%
Pinnacle	1.52	4.62	4.92	7.8%
Betano	1.55	4.35	4.90	7.9%
BetVictor	1.50	4.40	5.00	9.4%
1xBet	1.50	4.40	4.89	9.8%
Marathonbet	1.49	4.40	4.75	10.9%
Betfair	1.44	4.60	5.00	11.2%
Bet365	1.50	4.50	4.33	12.0%
William Hill	1.50	4.00	4.60	13.4%
Best of all books	1.55	4.80	5.20	4.6%
Average	1.51	4.45	4.84	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC WimbledonArsenal U21

Last 102Form pts · last 550.5Goals for · last 51.51.0Goals against · last 53.025Attack rating7575Defence rating2525Form rating75100H2H rating00Goals model042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 15:02 UTC

AFC Wimbledon

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	H	Wycombe	1-1	D
20 Oct	H	Mansfield Town	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Sheffield Wednesday	0-5	L
10 Oct	A	Plymouth	1-2	L
6 Oct	H	Barnet	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Cambridge United	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Milton Keynes Dons	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Doncaster	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Bromley	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Burton Albion	1-4	L

Arsenal U21

1W 5D 4L · goals 12:23 · per match 1.2 for, 2.3 against

24 Oct	A	Leicester City U21	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Sunderland U21	2-2	D
18 Sep	A	Birmingham City U21	0-0	D
15 Sep	A	Leyton Orient	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Chelsea U21	1-4	L
31 Aug	A	Brighton U21	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Crystal Palace U21	1-1	D
18 Aug	A	Barnet	1-5	L
17 Jul	A	Boreham Wood	1-1	D
25 Apr	A	Manchester City U21	1-3	L

Head to head

1AFC Wimbledon wins

0draws

0Arsenal U21 wins

1 meeting · goals 3:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for AFC Wimbledon

8 Dec 2020EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon3-0Arsenal U21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.51X21%4.45219%4.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.51 -5.6%X4.23 → 4.45 +5.2%24.26 → 4.84 +13.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	2.83	6.8%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.42	2.67	7.9%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
BetVictor	1.40	2.66	9.0%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.42	2.88	5.1%
Average	1.39	2.74	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.42	8.0%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.46	2.50	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.45	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.53	2.55	4.6%
Average	1.48	2.47	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Wimbledon 45%Draw 45%Arsenal U21 10%

The statistical model rates AFC Wimbledon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.45 | 4.84, which imply roughly 66.2% for a AFC Wimbledon win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, AFC Wimbledon averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Arsenal U21 averaged 1.5 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Wimbledon or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	4.45	4.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.34	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.60	4.79

2nd half

1	X	2
1.83	2.99	4.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.17	14.9	34.8
HT X	4.55	7.72	11.4
HT 2	17.7	15.6	8.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	23.0	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.9
1.5	1.10	5.85
2.5	1.39	2.74
3.5	2.00	1.75
4.5	3.22	1.30
5.5	5.70	1.10
6.5	8.27	1.05
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.75	1.09	5.30
2	1.11	4.90
2.25	1.25	3.35
2.75	1.46	2.47
3	1.58	2.21
3.25	1.79	1.92
3.75	2.22	1.57
4	2.61	1.41
4.25	2.89	1.33
4.75	3.81	1.19
5	4.95	1.11
5.25	5.30	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.65	1.42
-1.5	2.28	1.55
-1.25	2.04	1.69
-1	1.82	1.91
-0.75	1.61	2.16
-0.5	1.51	2.44

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.03
-3	6.87	1.06
-2.75	4.88	1.13
-2.5	3.93	1.20
-2.25	3.64	1.22
-2	3.33	1.27
-0.25	1.37	2.83
0	1.23	3.67
+0.25	1.18	4.15
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.09	5.93
+1.5	1.02	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.82
7.5	1.19	3.70
8.5	1.42	2.58
9.5	1.72	1.99
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.85	1.33
12.5	4.10	1.15
13.5	6.16	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.56
7	1.07	5.31
7.25	1.14	4.24
7.75	1.23	3.42
8	1.26	3.24
8.25	1.35	2.81
8.75	1.49	2.39
9	1.53	2.30
9.25	1.66	2.08
9.75	1.86	1.84
10	1.95	1.80
10.25	2.09	1.65
10.75	2.38	1.49
11	2.57	1.42
11.25	2.77	1.36
11.75	3.25	1.25
12	3.75	1.19
12.25	3.92	1.17
12.75	4.74	1.10
13	5.75	1.06
13.25	5.96	1.05

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