Gillingham vs Brighton U21• EFL Trophy, England

1.0:4.04-3FTToday · Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham3.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25DAFX4.30DAF22.70BVCMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets86Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.25	4.30	2.70	4.7%
Betano	2.20	4.15	2.60	8.0%
Pinnacle	2.22	4.11	2.56	8.4%
BetVictor	2.15	3.90	2.70	9.2%
1xBet	2.10	3.98	2.69	9.9%
Betfair	2.15	3.90	2.60	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.08	3.98	2.64	11.1%
Bet365	2.15	4.00	2.50	11.5%
William Hill	2.15	3.60	2.60	12.8%
Best of all books	2.25	4.30	2.70	4.7%
Average	2.16	3.99	2.62	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GillinghamBrighton U21

Last 107Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 53.04.0Goals against · last 50.025Attack rating750Defence rating1000Form rating100100H2H rating00Goals model10043Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:00 UTC

Gillingham

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Rotherham	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Newport County	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	York	0-3	L
22 Sep	H	Cambridge United	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Bristol Rovers	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Tranmere	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Rochdale	4-1	W
1 Sep	A	Chesterfield	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Northampton	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Fleetwood Town	0-0	D

Brighton U21

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	H	Sheffield United U21	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Liverpool U21	1-5	L
16 Sep	H	Paris Saint-Germain U21	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Leicester City U21	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	West Ham United U21	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Arsenal U21	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Aston Villa U21	1-2	L
18 Aug	A	Northampton	3-0	W
14 Aug	H	Millwall U21	2-0	W
28 Jul	A	Worthing	1-2	L

Head to head

1Gillingham wins

0draws

0Brighton U21 wins

1 meeting · goals 3:2 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Gillingham

4 Oct 2022EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy

Gillingham3-2Brighton U21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.67X24%3.75241%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.06 → 2.16 +4.9%X3.79 → 3.99 +5.3%22.87 → 2.62 -8.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
BetVictor	1.33	3.10	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.81	7.5%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Betano	1.35	2.95	8.0%
1xBet	1.28	3.05	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.05	10.9%
Best of all books	1.39	3.30	2.2%
Average	1.32	3.07	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Betfair	1.30	3.30	7.2%
Betano	1.36	2.92	7.8%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
1xBet	1.30	3.16	8.6%
William Hill	1.30	3.10	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.30	3.08	9.4%
Best of all books	1.36	3.30	3.8%
Average	1.32	3.11	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gillingham 10%Draw 45%Brighton U21 45%

The statistical model rated Gillingham at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brighton U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 3.75 | 2.22, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Gillingham averaged 1 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; Brighton U21 averaged 3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Brighton U21 and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Gillingham

3-4-3

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Goalkeeper

40R. Luthra

Defence

5A. Smith
29H. Webster
20J. Daley

Midfield

32L. Dayal
6E. Coleman
27M. Luxton
16J. Brophy

Attack

18S. Kendall
39T. Eaves
23B. Dack

Substitutes (7)

1O. Wright
31C. Beszant
30S. Booth
10Ronan Hale
26L. Dobbs
12G. McCleary
3Conor McManus

Brighton U21

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Ruth

Goalkeeper

61S. Hall

Defence

51C. Mackley
48B. Barclay
69Tate Ferdinand
42S. Keogh

Midfield

55D. Lane
50S. Nti
57T. Silsby
45K. Shaw
49N. Oriola

Attack

46G. Munday

Substitutes (7)

58V. Joseph
64M. Dike
71Isaiah Alakiu
66H Kasvosve
67A. Palmer
68B. Palmer
53Aidan West

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.99	2.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.62	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	2.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.32	3.11

1st half

1	X	2
2.60	2.58	2.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	32.0	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.8
1.5	1.08	6.67
2.5	1.32	3.07
3.5	1.85	1.87
4.5	2.84	1.36
5.5	4.90	1.14
6.5	7.15	1.06
7.5	10.6	1.02
8.5	17.0	–
9.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.06	6.20
2	1.07	5.75
2.25	1.27	3.39
2.75	1.38	2.74
3	1.47	2.46
3.25	1.65	2.09
3.75	2.03	1.69
4	2.34	1.51
4.25	2.58	1.42
4.75	2.99	1.32
5	4.20	1.15
5.25	4.55	1.13
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.44	1.48
-0.5	2.17	1.64
-0.25	1.92	1.79
0	1.69	2.04
+0.25	1.54	2.30
+0.5	1.49	2.55

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.04
-3	6.80	1.06
-2.75	6.70	1.05
-2.5	6.52	1.07
-2.25	6.70	1.07
-2	6.30	1.08
-1.75	4.52	1.15
-1.5	3.62	1.23
-1.25	3.14	1.31
-1	3.02	1.34
+0.75	1.31	3.05
+1	1.19	4.07
+1.25	1.16	4.42
+1.5	1.14	4.77
+1.75	1.13	5.90
+2.5	1.03	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	7.02
6.5	1.15	4.06
7.5	1.35	2.80
8.5	1.65	2.08
9.5	2.08	1.66
10.5	2.76	1.36
11.5	3.89	1.17
12.5	6.15	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.72
6	1.03	6.42
6.25	1.09	4.90
6.75	1.18	3.84
7	1.20	3.63
7.25	1.29	3.07
7.75	1.42	2.56
8	1.47	2.46
8.25	1.59	2.19
8.75	1.79	1.92
9	1.87	1.87
9.25	2.02	1.71
9.75	2.31	1.53
10	2.47	1.46
10.25	2.69	1.38
10.75	3.16	1.27
11	3.66	1.20
11.25	3.85	1.18
11.75	4.68	1.11
12	5.72	1.06
12.25	5.93	1.05