Reading vs Chelsea U21• EFL Trophy, England

2.0:1.00-2FTToday · Madejski Stadium, Reading2.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44BTNX5.60DAF26.101XBMargin at best3.7%Books9Markets92Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.43	5.60	5.80	5.0%
Betano	1.44	5.10	5.40	7.6%
BetVictor	1.36	5.25	6.00	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.40	4.88	5.70	9.5%
1xBet	1.37	4.85	6.10	10.0%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.85	5.90	11.1%
William Hill	1.40	4.60	5.50	11.3%
Bet365	1.38	5.50	4.75	11.7%
Betfair	1.30	5.00	6.00	13.6%
Best of all books	1.44	5.60	6.10	3.7%
Average	1.38	5.07	5.68	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ReadingChelsea U21

Last 108Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6780Defence rating2050Form rating500H2H rating058Goals model4255Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:00 UTC

Reading

5W 3D 2L · goals 23:9 · per match 2.3 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	A	Milton Keynes Dons	5-1	W
3 Oct	H	Bradford	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Wycombe	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Notts County	2-0	W
15 Sep	H	Brentford	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Cambridge United	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Blackpool	3-1	W
2 Sep	H	Mansfield Town	5-0	W
25 Aug	A	Stevenage	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	AFC Wimbledon	0-0	D

Chelsea U21

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	H	Fulham U21	3-1	W
15 Sep	A	Wycombe	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Arsenal U21	4-1	W
31 Aug	H	West Ham United U21	5-4	W
25 Aug	A	Bristol Rovers	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	AFC Bournemouth U21	1-2	L
21 Jul	H	Cardiff City U21	0-0	D
1 May	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	1-3	L
25 Apr	H	Middlesbrough U21	1-0	W
10 Apr	A	Fulham U21	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Reading and Chelsea U21 on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X18%5.07216%5.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.38 -8.6%X4.29 → 5.07 +18.2%24.93 → 5.68 +15.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.84	7.2%
Betano	1.27	3.45	7.7%
BetVictor	1.22	3.70	9.0%
1xBet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Best of all books	1.39	3.70	-1.0%
Average	1.28	3.30	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.40	2.70	8.5%
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.42	2.62	8.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.57	9.3%
Best of all books	1.44	2.80	5.2%
Average	1.41	2.68	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Reading 35%Draw 35%Chelsea U21 30%

The statistical model rated Reading at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Chelsea U21 at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 5.07 | 5.68, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Reading win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Reading averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Chelsea U21 averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Reading or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Reading

4-2-3-1

Coach: L. Richardson

Goalkeeper

25J. Stevens

Defence

39A. Ahmed
20J. Knight
23C. Masterson
3J. Dorsett

Midfield

43D. Hicks
6L. Fraser
14R. Williams
8C. Savage
11D. Kyerewaa

Attack

18J. Brown

Substitutes (7)

48Matthew Christopher Rowley
49E. Osho
42Boyd Beacroft
55R. Evans
37L. Howard
50J. Jones
65K. Mfuamba

Chelsea U21

4-2-3-1

Coach: H. Hudson

Goalkeeper

50F. Bernal

Defence

51Leo Black
56Alfie Osborne
37O. Subuloye
48J. Osagie

Midfield

31R. Watson
47Harrison Mcmahon
52Harrison Bettoni
46K. Páez
55S. Gordon

Attack

62C. Ezenwata

Substitutes (7)

61M. Eboue
85Kian Best
60T. Bell
74H. Grimwade
32M. Nicoll-Jazuli
66Ibrahim Rabbaj
69D. Waite

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	5.07	5.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.72	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.68

1st half

1	X	2
1.79	2.81	5.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	29.5	2.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	15.0
1.5	1.06	7.18
2.5	1.28	3.30
3.5	1.69	2.05
4.5	2.53	1.45
5.5	4.19	1.18
6.5	7.25	1.07
7.5	9.92	1.03
8.5	17.0	–
9.5	21.0	–

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.0
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.05	6.45
2	1.06	6.05
2.25	1.23	3.69
2.75	1.33	2.90
3	1.40	2.67
3.25	1.54	2.27
3.75	1.85	1.84
4	2.07	1.66
4.25	2.30	1.53
4.75	2.89	1.33
5	3.58	1.21
5.25	3.84	1.18
6	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.49	1.45
-1.75	2.13	1.62
-1.5	1.93	1.78
-1.25	1.73	1.98
-1	1.56	2.28
-0.75	1.45	2.51

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	8.80	1.01
-3.5	5.25	1.11
-3.25	4.80	1.18
-3	4.60	1.15
-2.75	3.54	1.24
-2.5	3.03	1.32
-2.25	2.74	1.38
-0.5	1.46	2.57
-0.25	1.31	3.14
0	1.15	4.52
+0.25	1.13	4.92
+0.5	1.17	5.00
+0.75	1.07	6.67
+1	1.02	9.10
+1.5	1.01	9.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.31
7.5	1.19	3.79
8.5	1.43	2.55
9.5	1.76	1.94
10.5	2.20	1.59
11.5	2.79	1.35
12.5	3.80	1.18
13.5	5.63	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.05
7	1.05	5.79
7.25	1.11	4.57
7.75	1.20	3.66
8	1.22	3.46
8.25	1.31	2.98
8.75	1.44	2.52
9	1.51	2.37
9.25	1.60	2.18
9.75	1.78	1.92
10	1.91	1.81
10.25	2.00	1.72
10.75	2.26	1.55
11	2.53	1.44
11.25	2.61	1.41
11.75	3.04	1.29
12	3.48	1.22
12.25	3.64	1.20
12.75	4.37	1.13
13	5.23	1.08
13.25	5.43	1.07