Port Vale vs 
Manchester City U21• EFL Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 00:46 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.30 | 4.10 | 5.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.26 | 4.00 | 8.0% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 9.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 9.8% |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.05 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.74 | 4.30 | 4.10 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.67 | 4.12 | 3.97 | 9.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 15:02 UTC
Port Vale
4W 2D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against
| 24 Oct | A | York | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Gillingham | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Chesterfield | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Grimsby | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Oct | H | Mansfield Town | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Chesterfield | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Walsall | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Exeter City | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Salford City | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Sep | A | Swindon Town | 1-3 | L |
Manchester City U21
6W 0D 4L · goals 30:22 · per match 3.0 for, 2.2 against
| 23 Oct | H | Stoke City U21 | 4-3 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 2-4 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Chesterfield | 3-5 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Nottingham Forest U21 | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Wolves U21 | 4-0 | W |
| 19 Aug | A | Mansfield Town | 4-1 | W |
| 8 May | H | Manchester United U21 | 3-4 | L |
| 1 May | A | Aston Villa U21 | 3-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | Arsenal U21 | 3-1 | W |
| 13 Apr | H | Norwich City U21 | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Port Vale and Manchester City U21 on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 6.0% |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 3.30 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.34 | 3.00 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 3.13 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 3.04 | 10.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 3.04 | 10.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.34 | 3.30 | 4.9% |
| Average | 1.31 | 3.13 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.33 | 3.10 | 7.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.37 | 2.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.90 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 2.84 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 2.90 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.10 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.91 | 8.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Port Vale at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester City U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 4.12 | 3.97, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Port Vale win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Port Vale averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Manchester City U21 averaged 3.5 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 4.12 | 3.97 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | 2.08 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.33 | 3.08 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.91 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | 2.62 | 4.05 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | 3.01 | 3.77 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.43 | 14.1 | 29.5 |
| HT X | 5.05 | 7.50 | 9.93 |
| HT 2 | 17.6 | 14.5 | 6.58 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 26.0 | 2.40 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 22.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.08 | 6.72 |
| 2.5 | 1.31 | 3.13 |
| 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
| 4.5 | 2.80 | 1.38 |
| 5.5 | 4.78 | 1.15 |
| 6.5 | 7.63 | 1.06 |
| 7.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| 8.5 | 17.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 13.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.06 | 6.05 |
| 2 | 1.08 | 5.65 |
| 2.25 | 1.19 | 3.83 |
| 2.75 | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| 3 | 1.47 | 2.46 |
| 3.25 | 1.64 | 2.09 |
| 3.75 | 2.01 | 1.70 |
| 4 | 2.31 | 1.53 |
| 4.25 | 2.55 | 1.44 |
| 4.75 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 5 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 5.25 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| 6 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| -1.25 | 2.31 | 1.54 |
| -1 | 2.08 | 1.69 |
| -0.75 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| -0.5 | 1.67 | 2.13 |
| -0.25 | 1.47 | 2.46 |
15 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 7.80 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 5.62 | 1.10 |
| -2.5 | 4.43 | 1.16 |
| -2.25 | 4.13 | 1.18 |
| -2 | 3.77 | 1.21 |
| -1.75 | 2.98 | 1.33 |
| 0 | 1.30 | 3.16 |
| +0.25 | 1.24 | 3.46 |
| +0.5 | 1.23 | 4.00 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 5.02 |
| +1 | 1.08 | 6.57 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 6.03 |
| +1.5 | 1.05 | 7.35 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.10 | 4.87 |
| 7.5 | 1.26 | 3.23 |
| 8.5 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| 9.5 | 1.85 | 1.87 |
| 10.5 | 2.37 | 1.50 |
| 11.5 | 3.25 | 1.25 |
| 12.5 | 4.92 | 1.09 |
| 13.5 | 6.39 | 1.03 |
20 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.11 | 4.64 |
| 7 | 1.13 | 4.40 |
| 7.25 | 1.20 | 3.61 |
| 7.75 | 1.31 | 2.96 |
| 8 | 1.35 | 2.79 |
| 8.25 | 1.45 | 2.48 |
| 8.75 | 1.62 | 2.14 |
| 9 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
| 9.25 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| 9.75 | 2.05 | 1.69 |
| 10 | 2.16 | 1.61 |
| 10.25 | 2.34 | 1.51 |
| 10.75 | 2.70 | 1.38 |
| 11 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 11.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 11.75 | 3.83 | 1.18 |
| 12 | 4.54 | 1.12 |
| 12.25 | 4.73 | 1.10 |
| 12.75 | 5.81 | 1.05 |
| 13 | 7.24 | 1.01 |
Next EFL Trophy matches
| 27 Oct | AFC Wimbledon – Arsenal U21 |
| 27 Oct | Shrewsbury – Everton U21 |
| 27 Oct | Blackpool – Aston Villa U21 |