Notts County vs Nottingham Forest U21• EFL Trophy, England

2.0:1.01-0LiveToday · Meadow Lane, Nottingham2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.81DAFX5.00PIN23.90B365Margin at best0.9%Books9Markets83Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.81	4.30	3.75	5.2%
Pinnacle	1.79	5.00	3.29	6.3%
Betano	1.80	4.05	3.60	8.0%
BetVictor	1.70	4.00	3.90	9.5%
1xBet	1.66	4.50	3.64	9.9%
Bet365	1.70	3.80	3.90	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.64	4.50	3.60	11.0%
Betfair	1.70	4.00	3.60	11.6%
William Hill	1.70	4.33	3.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.81	5.00	3.90	0.9%
Average	1.72	4.28	3.62	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Notts CountyNottingham Forest U21

Last 104Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5050Defence rating5050Form rating500H2H rating041Goals model5948Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:30 UTC

Notts County

2W 5D 3L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Oxford United	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	Grimsby	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Reading	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Bradford	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Huddersfield	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Doncaster	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Burton Albion	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Luton	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Leicester	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Burnley	1-1	D

Nottingham Forest U21

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

9 Oct	A	Peterborough United U21	5-1	W
30 Sep	H	Sporting CP B	2-4	L
22 Sep	A	Burton Albion	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	West Bromwich Albion U21	3-1	W
14 Sep	H	Burnley U21	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Scunthorpe	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Manchester City U21	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Sunderland U21	1-5	L
18 Aug	A	Gateshead	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	Luton Town U21	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Notts County and Nottingham Forest U21 on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X21%4.28225%3.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.72 +8.9%X4.13 → 4.28 +3.6%24.49 → 3.62 -19.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.44	2.73	6.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.47	2.50	8.0%
BetVictor	1.44	2.53	9.0%
1xBet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.75	4.4%
Average	1.42	2.64	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betano	1.47	2.50	8.0%
1xBet	1.43	2.59	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.54	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Best of all books	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Average	1.44	2.57	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Notts County 10%Draw 45%Nottingham Forest U21 45%

The statistical model rates Notts County at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nottingham Forest U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 4.28 | 3.62, which imply roughly 23.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Notts County averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nottingham Forest U21 averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Notts County

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Paterson

Goalkeeper

1J. Gibbons

Defence

2J. Gibbons
12L. Ness
26I. Samuels-Smith

Midfield

10R. Longelo-Mbule
18M. Palmer
15J. Evans
14D. Lipsiuc
19L. Smyth
17Maziar Kouhyar

Attack

9D. Kanu

Substitutes (7)

39L. Ndlovu
51Cameron Maltby
52Edward Lilley
11C. Grant
4J. Bedeau
7C. Roberts
6M. Sanders

Nottingham Forest U21

4-2-3-1

Coach: Dylan Malicheff

Goalkeeper

67Keehan Willows

Defence

71D. Modupe
48M. Orr
64E. Broomes
60Jamie Newton

Midfield

51A. Whitehall
57B. McClure
70F. Smith
49Grady Mcdonnell
79K. Thompson

Attack

68K. Clarke

Substitutes (6)

63Aaron Bott
92Sonny Nolan
77C. Nwosu
66Joshua Alan Powell
58B. Sanneh
83Spencer Sutton

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	4.28	3.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.96	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.79

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.57

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	2.55	3.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	24.0	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.3
1.5	1.11	5.48
2.5	1.42	2.64
3.5	2.11	1.66
4.5	3.49	1.25
5.5	6.45	1.08
6.5	8.83	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.75	1.09	5.30
2	1.11	4.85
2.25	1.24	3.35
2.75	1.50	2.38
3	1.65	2.09
3.25	1.86	1.83
3.75	2.36	1.51
4	2.84	1.36
4.25	3.16	1.27
4.75	4.26	1.15
5	5.80	1.07
5.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.65	1.42
-1.25	2.47	1.47
-1	2.21	1.61
-0.75	1.89	1.83
-0.5	1.74	2.04
-0.25	1.52	2.35

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.1	1.04
-3	9.55	1.01
-2.75	6.82	1.07
-2.5	5.30	1.11
-2.25	4.87	1.13
-2	4.48	1.15
-1.75	3.24	1.29
0	1.38	2.82
+0.25	1.33	3.09
+0.5	1.34	3.29
+0.75	1.14	4.78
+1	1.07	6.45
+1.25	1.06	6.88
+1.5	1.05	7.40
+2	1.02	9.10
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.88
7.5	1.27	3.17
8.5	1.53	2.31
9.5	1.88	1.81
10.5	2.44	1.47
11.5	3.32	1.25
12.5	4.92	1.09
13.5	7.28	1.01

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.64
7	1.13	4.40
7.25	1.20	3.62
7.75	1.31	2.96
8	1.35	2.79
8.25	1.45	2.48
8.75	1.62	2.14
9	1.71	2.03
9.25	1.82	1.89
9.75	2.05	1.69
10	2.21	1.59
10.25	2.34	1.51
10.75	2.70	1.38
11	3.04	1.29
11.25	3.20	1.26
11.75	3.82	1.18
12	4.53	1.12
12.25	4.72	1.10
12.75	5.80	1.05
13	7.23	1.01