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Worthing vs Sutton Utd• National League, England

#52.6:1.215:0031/10 · Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing1.0:2.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.90BTN24.10DAFMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets56Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 02:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.783.904.056.5%
Dafabet1.743.854.107.8%
Bet3651.733.804.009.1%
BetVictor1.733.754.009.5%
William Hill1.753.604.009.9%
1xBet1.703.753.9810.6%
Betfair1.673.804.0011.2%
Marathonbet1.683.753.9011.8%
Best of all books1.783.904.106.2%
Average1.723.784.009.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WorthingSutton Utd
Last 10#5Table position#161.87Points per game1.297Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 52.272Attack rating2865Defence rating3585Form rating1520H2H rating8065Goals model3559Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC

Worthing

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

27 OctHSouthend3-3D
24 OctAKidderminster Harriers2-1W
17 OctAWealdstone0-3L
13 OctHIpswich Town U211-2L
10 OctHSolihull Moors5-0W
3 OctAGateshead2-1W
29 SepAYeovil Town1-1D
26 SepHFC Halifax Town2-1W
19 SepAHartlepool3-1W
15 SepHAFC Hornchurch1-0W

Sutton Utd

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

24 OctAHarrogate Town1-3L
17 OctHTruro City1-0W
13 OctHWest Bromwich Albion U213-2W
9 OctHBoreham Wood0-2L
3 OctAKidderminster Harriers1-1D
30 SepATamworth0-2L
26 SepHForest Green3-3D
19 SepAFC Halifax Town1-1D
15 SepHEastleigh2-1W
12 SepHScunthorpe0-2L

Head to head

0Worthing wins
1draws
1Sutton Utd wins

2 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Worthing

24 Jan 2017FA TrophyFA TrophySutton Utd3-2Worthing
14 Jan 2017FA TrophyFA TrophyWorthing2-2Sutton Utd

National League tableConferenceupdated 28 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the National League table, Worthing sit 5th with 28 points from 15 games, while Sutton Utd are 16th with 18 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Boreham Wood15132040:14+2641
2Harrogate Town14101332:18+1431
3Southend1585236:24+1229
4Yeovil Town1584335:18+1728
5Worthing1584332:22+1028
6Altrincham1591522:20+228
7AFC Fylde1582527:23+426
8Barrow1473425:18+724
9FC Halifax Town1563626:20+621
10Kidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221
11AFC Hornchurch1570817:23-621
12Carlisle1455425:21+420
13Aldershot Town1453618:17+118
14Woking1553724:24018
15Eastleigh1453618:22-418
16Sutton Utd1453615:21-618
17Tamworth1452725:31-617
18Forest Green1243519:22-315
19Wealdstone1543820:27-715
20Hartlepool15501015:23-815
21Boston United1543819:28-915
22Scunthorpe14311018:28-1010
23Solihull Moors15311117:39-2210
24Gateshead1411129:33-244

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X24%3.78223%4.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.622.256.2%
Betano1.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.612.148.8%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.179.0%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.612.207.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Betano1.602.227.5%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.572.238.5%
Marathonbet1.572.199.4%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.592.228.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Worthing 45%Draw 45%Sutton Utd 10%

The statistical model rates Worthing at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sutton Utd at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.78 | 4.00, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Worthing win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Worthing are 5th (28 pts, 32-22 goals), Sutton Utd 16th (18 pts, 15-21).

Over their last five matches, Worthing averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sutton Utd averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Worthing.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.723.784.00

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.991.22

Draw no bet

12
1.323.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.22

1st half

1X2
2.262.344.27

2nd half

1X2
2.062.683.91

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6114.434.5
HT X4.756.239.39
HT 222.315.46.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5515.82.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.4
1.51.174.38
2.51.612.20
3.52.471.47
4.54.491.16
5.58.861.04
6.516.21.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.30
1.251.066.20
1.751.183.91
21.253.35
2.251.422.55
2.751.731.93
31.971.72
3.252.221.55
3.752.931.32
43.821.19
4.254.161.16
4.755.701.08
58.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.871.35
-1.252.601.42
-12.291.56
-0.751.921.77
-0.51.732.03
-0.251.512.34
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.01.03
-39.401.01
-2.757.701.02
-2.55.711.10
-2.255.431.11
-25.001.12
-1.753.571.23
01.323.01
+0.251.243.46
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.125.12
+11.028.00
+1.51.058.83

Next National League matches

28 OctCarlisle – Harrogate Town
28 OctSutton Utd – Aldershot Town
28 OctForest Green – Eastleigh
30 OctAFC Fylde – AFC Hornchurch
31 OctForest Green – Harrogate Town
31 OctFC Halifax Town – Yeovil Town

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

27 OctWorthing 3-3 Southend
27 OctAFC Hornchurch 1-2 Yeovil Town
27 OctFC Halifax Town 2-3 Barrow
27 OctWealdstone 2-3 Solihull Moors
27 OctAFC Fylde 3-1 Hartlepool
27 OctTamworth 4-1 Scunthorpe