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Worthing vs Southend• National League, England

#42.4:0.819:45Today · Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing2.0:1.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70BTNX4.06PIN22.27PINMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets83Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.664.122.295.5%
Dafabet2.703.852.267.3%
Betano2.703.802.277.4%
William Hill2.603.752.259.6%
BetVictor2.633.802.209.8%
Bet3652.623.752.2010.3%
Betfair2.553.802.2011.0%
1xBet2.553.742.1811.8%
Marathonbet2.553.742.1811.8%
Best of all books2.704.122.295.0%
Average2.623.822.239.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WorthingSouthend
Last 10#4Table position#31.93Points per game2.009Form pts · last 582.4Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.855Attack rating4569Defence rating3162Form rating380H2H rating040Goals model6057Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 15:02 UTC

Worthing

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

24 OctAKidderminster Harriers2-1W
17 OctAWealdstone0-3L
13 OctHIpswich Town U211-2L
10 OctHSolihull Moors5-0W
3 OctAGateshead2-1W
29 SepAYeovil Town1-1D
26 SepHFC Halifax Town2-1W
19 SepAHartlepool3-1W
15 SepHAFC Hornchurch1-0W
12 SepHBarrow2-2D

Southend

5W 3D 2L · goals 25:17 · per match 2.5 for, 1.7 against

24 OctHFC Halifax Town2-2D
17 OctHBerkhamsted1-2L
10 OctABoston United2-1W
3 OctHAFC Fylde3-1W
30 SepAEastleigh1-1D
26 SepHBarrow2-4L
19 SepAGateshead6-1W
15 SepHTamworth3-1W
12 SepACarlisle2-2D
5 SepHYeovil Town3-2W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Worthing and Southend on record.

National League tableConferenceupdated 26 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the National League table, Worthing sit 4th with 27 points from 14 games, while Southend are 3rd with 28 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Boreham Wood14122038:13+2538
2Harrogate Town14101332:18+1431
3Southend1484233:21+1228
4Worthing1483329:19+1027
5Altrincham1490522:20+227
6Yeovil Town1474333:17+1625
7AFC Fylde1472524:22+223
8FC Halifax Town1463524:17+721
9Barrow1363422:16+621
10AFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521
11Carlisle1455425:21+420
12Kidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220
13Woking1453623:22+118
14Aldershot Town1453618:17+118
15Eastleigh1453618:22-418
16Sutton Utd1453615:21-618
17Forest Green1243519:22-315
18Wealdstone1443718:24-615
19Hartlepool1450914:20-615
20Tamworth1342721:30-914
21Boston United1433817:27-1012
22Scunthorpe1331917:24-710
23Solihull Moors14211114:37-237
24Gateshead1311118:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.61X24%3.81241%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.402.905.9%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
Betano1.422.707.5%
BetVictor1.362.908.0%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.352.7410.6%
Marathonbet1.352.7410.6%
Best of all books1.423.003.8%
Average1.372.848.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.363.006.9%
Betano1.392.778.0%
Betfair1.303.208.2%
William Hill1.362.888.3%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.342.958.5%
Marathonbet1.342.889.3%
Best of all books1.393.203.2%
Average1.352.958.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Worthing 45%Draw 45%Southend 10%

The statistical model rates Worthing at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Southend at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.81 | 2.22, which imply roughly 38.3% for a Worthing win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Worthing are 4th (27 pts, 29-19 goals), Southend 3rd (28 pts, 33-21).

Over their last five matches, Worthing averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Southend averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.623.822.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.561.421.22

Draw no bet

12
2.031.72

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.352.95

1st half

1X2
3.052.512.67

2nd half

1X2
2.792.842.46

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2113.420.8
HT X7.056.986.18
HT 223.013.23.47

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9423.51.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.3
1.51.106.13
2.51.372.84
3.51.961.77
4.53.191.31
5.55.581.11
6.510.11.04
7.521.01.01
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.085.45
21.105.00
2.251.233.43
2.751.432.50
31.572.25
3.251.751.95
3.752.181.60
42.551.44
4.252.791.35
4.753.721.20
54.851.11
5.255.151.10
69.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.621.46
-0.252.291.55
02.021.72
+0.251.761.97
+0.51.622.25
+0.751.442.58
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.931.03
-28.801.01
-1.756.171.08
-1.54.881.14
-1.254.431.16
-14.031.20
-0.753.111.32
+11.303.22
+1.251.253.56
+1.51.203.92
+1.751.134.93
+21.066.93
+2.51.047.97
+3.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.026.98
7.51.144.18
8.51.342.89
9.51.622.16
10.52.011.72
11.52.591.42
12.53.521.24
13.55.071.08
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.71
71.036.43
7.251.095.00
7.751.163.98
81.183.78
8.251.263.20
8.751.382.69
91.452.54
9.251.532.30
9.751.702.02
101.831.93
10.251.901.80
10.752.141.62
112.331.54
11.252.441.47
11.752.821.34
123.181.27
12.253.341.24
12.753.981.16
134.701.11
13.254.891.10
13.755.801.05
147.171.01

Next National League matches

27 OctAltrincham – Kidderminster Harriers
27 OctFC Halifax Town – Barrow
27 OctTamworth – Scunthorpe
27 OctWoking – Boreham Wood
27 OctWealdstone – Solihull Moors
27 OctAFC Fylde – Hartlepool

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

24 OctKidderminster Harriers 1-2 Worthing
24 OctYeovil Town 1-2 Altrincham
24 OctAldershot Town 0-1 Wealdstone
24 OctBoreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde
24 OctScunthorpe 2-3 Woking
24 OctHartlepool 2-1 AFC Hornchurch