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AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town• National League, England

#101.0:1.419:4527/10 · Hornchurch Stadium, London3.6:0.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX3.49PIN22.55DAFMargin at best3.3%Books2Markets2Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:52 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.553.402.557.8%
1xBet2.503.302.4910.5%
Best of all books2.553.402.557.8%
Average2.523.352.529.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC HornchurchYeovil Town
Last 10#10Table position#61.50Points per game1.797Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 53.61.4Goals against · last 50.422Attack rating7822Defence rating7841Form rating590H2H rating064Goals model3637Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 17:02 UTC

AFC Hornchurch

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

24 OctAHartlepool1-2L
17 OctAUxbridge4-0W
10 OctHEastleigh2-0W
6 OctHFulham U211-1D
3 OctAHarrogate Town0-3L
29 SepHAldershot Town2-1W
26 SepAAltrincham0-3L
19 SepHScunthorpe1-0W
15 SepAWorthing0-1L
12 SepAFC Halifax Town0-3L

Yeovil Town

5W 3D 2L · goals 29:14 · per match 2.9 for, 1.4 against

24 OctHAltrincham1-2L
20 OctHLeatherhead5-2W
17 OctALeatherhead3-3D
10 OctAWealdstone6-0W
3 OctHBoston United6-0W
29 SepHWorthing1-1D
26 SepAKidderminster Harriers1-0W
18 SepHSolihull Moors4-1W
15 SepAAldershot Town1-1D
12 SepHAFC Fylde1-4L

Head to head

No previous meetings between AFC Hornchurch and Yeovil Town on record.

National League tableConferenceupdated 24 Oct 19:50 UTC

In the National League table, AFC Hornchurch sit 10th with 21 points from 14 games, while Yeovil Town are 6th with 25 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Boreham Wood14122038:13+2538
2Harrogate Town14101332:18+1431
3Southend1484233:21+1228
4Worthing1483329:19+1027
5Altrincham1490522:20+227
6Yeovil Town1474333:17+1625
7AFC Fylde1472524:22+223
8FC Halifax Town1463524:17+721
9Barrow1363422:16+621
10AFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521
11Carlisle1455425:21+420
12Kidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220
13Woking1453623:22+118
14Aldershot Town1453618:17+118
15Eastleigh1453618:22-418
16Sutton Utd1453615:21-618
17Forest Green1243519:22-315
18Wealdstone1443718:24-615
19Hartlepool1450914:20-615
20Tamworth1342721:30-914
21Boston United1433817:27-1012
22Scunthorpe1331917:24-710
23Solihull Moors14211114:37-237
24Gateshead1311118:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.69X27%3.42239%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 00:0124 Oct 18:021 2.69X 3.422 2.35
12.53 → 2.69 +6.3%X3.35 → 3.42 +2.1%22.52 → 2.35 -6.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Hornchurch 10%Draw 45%Yeovil Town 45%

The statistical model rates AFC Hornchurch at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Yeovil Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.69 | 3.42 | 2.35, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: AFC Hornchurch are 10th (21 pts, 16-21 goals), Yeovil Town 6th (25 pts, 33-17).

Over their last five matches, AFC Hornchurch averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Yeovil Town averaged 3.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Yeovil Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.533.352.52

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.861.84

Next National League matches

27 OctAFC Fylde – Hartlepool
27 OctBoston United – Gateshead

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

24 OctKidderminster Harriers 1-2 Worthing
24 OctBoreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde
24 OctScunthorpe 2-3 Woking
24 OctHartlepool 2-1 AFC Hornchurch
24 OctYeovil Town 1-2 Altrincham
24 OctAldershot Town 0-1 Wealdstone