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AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool• National League, England

#71.0:1.419:4527/10 · Mill Farm, Wesham1.2:2.2#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.68DAFX4.16PIN24.48PINMargin at best5.9%Books2Markets2Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:52 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.713.854.208.3%
1xBet1.713.754.149.3%
Best of all books1.713.854.208.3%
Average1.713.804.178.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC FyldeHartlepool
Last 10#7Table position#191.64Points per game1.076Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 52.245Attack rating5561Defence rating3967Form rating3350H2H rating5061Goals model3954Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 17:02 UTC

AFC Fylde

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

24 OctABoreham Wood0-4L
17 OctHAtherton Collieries5-0W
10 OctHScunthorpe2-0W
3 OctASouthend1-3L
29 SepHCarlisle0-2L
26 SepABoston United1-0W
19 SepHAltrincham1-2L
15 SepAHarrogate Town2-1W
12 SepAYeovil Town4-1W
5 SepHWorthing2-2D

Hartlepool

2W 0D 8L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

24 OctHAFC Hornchurch2-1W
17 OctHMarine0-2L
13 OctHNewcastle United U211-2L
10 OctAForest Green4-2W
3 OctHTamworth0-1L
29 SepHHarrogate Town0-1L
26 SepAScunthorpe1-4L
19 SepHWorthing1-3L
16 SepAAltrincham1-2L
11 SepAKidderminster Harriers0-2L

Head to head

5AFC Fylde wins
2draws
2Hartlepool wins

9 meetings · goals 18:15 · last 9: 5W 2D 2L for AFC Fylde

4 Mar 2025National LeagueNational LeagueAFC Fylde2-1Hartlepool
26 Nov 2024National LeagueNational LeagueHartlepool2-0AFC Fylde
9 Jan 2024National LeagueNational LeagueAFC Fylde2-1Hartlepool
26 Aug 2023National LeagueNational LeagueHartlepool3-1AFC Fylde
13 Aug 2019National LeagueNational LeagueHartlepool2-2AFC Fylde
12 Mar 2019National LeagueNational LeagueAFC Fylde4-2Hartlepool
27 Nov 2018National LeagueNational LeagueHartlepool1-2AFC Fylde
17 Mar 2018National LeagueNational LeagueAFC Fylde3-3Hartlepool
26 Aug 2017National LeagueNational LeagueHartlepool0-2AFC Fylde

National League tableConferenceupdated 24 Oct 19:50 UTC

In the National League table, AFC Fylde sit 7th with 23 points from 14 games, while Hartlepool are 19th with 15 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Boreham Wood14122038:13+2538
2Harrogate Town14101332:18+1431
3Southend1484233:21+1228
4Worthing1483329:19+1027
5Altrincham1490522:20+227
6Yeovil Town1474333:17+1625
7AFC Fylde1472524:22+223
8FC Halifax Town1463524:17+721
9Barrow1363422:16+621
10AFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521
11Carlisle1455425:21+420
12Kidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220
13Woking1453623:22+118
14Aldershot Town1453618:17+118
15Eastleigh1453618:22-418
16Sutton Utd1453615:21-618
17Forest Green1243519:22-315
18Wealdstone1443718:24-615
19Hartlepool1450914:20-615
20Tamworth1342721:30-914
21Boston United1433817:27-1012
22Scunthorpe1331917:24-710
23Solihull Moors14211114:37-237
24Gateshead1311118:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.63X23%4.05221%4.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 00:0124 Oct 18:021 1.63X 4.052 4.41
11.71 → 1.63 -4.7%X3.80 → 4.05 +6.6%24.17 → 4.41 +5.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Fylde 45%Draw 45%Hartlepool 10%

The statistical model rates AFC Fylde at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hartlepool at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 4.05 | 4.41, which imply roughly 61.3% for a AFC Fylde win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: AFC Fylde are 7th (23 pts, 24-22 goals), Hartlepool 19th (15 pts, 14-20).

Over their last five matches, AFC Fylde averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Hartlepool averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.713.804.17

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.303.00

Next National League matches

27 OctBoston United – Gateshead
27 OctAFC Hornchurch – Yeovil Town

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

24 OctKidderminster Harriers 1-2 Worthing
24 OctBoreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde
24 OctScunthorpe 2-3 Woking
24 OctHartlepool 2-1 AFC Hornchurch
24 OctYeovil Town 1-2 Altrincham
24 OctAldershot Town 0-1 Wealdstone