Carlisle vs Harrogate Town• National League, England

#121.8:1.40-0LiveToday · Brunton Park, Carlisle2.4:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.75BFR23.38PINMargin at best4.6%Books6Markets85Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	3.77	3.41	5.1%
BetVictor	1.95	3.60	3.25	9.8%
Bet365	2.00	3.60	3.10	10.0%
William Hill	1.95	3.50	3.30	10.2%
1xBet	1.91	3.62	3.27	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.62	3.20	11.8%
Best of all books	2.03	3.77	3.41	5.1%
Average	1.96	3.62	3.25	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CarlisleHarrogate Town

Last 10#12Table position#21.43Points per game2.2113Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.41.4Goals against · last 50.443Attack rating5722Defence rating7840Form rating6050H2H rating5045Goals model5544Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:01 UTC

Carlisle

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	A	Solihull Moors	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Tamworth	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Kidderminster Harriers	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Aldershot Town	3-1	W
29 Sep	A	AFC Fylde	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Woking	2-5	L
19 Sep	A	Eastleigh	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Forest Green	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Southend	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1-2	L

Harrogate Town

7W 1D 2L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	H	Sutton Utd	3-1	W
20 Oct	H	Bury	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Bury	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Woking	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	AFC Hornchurch	3-0	W
29 Sep	A	Hartlepool	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Eastleigh	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	AFC Fylde	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Tamworth	3-1	W

Head to head

2Carlisle wins

3draws

7Harrogate Town wins

12 meetings · goals 9:15 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Carlisle

26 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Harrogate Town0-2Carlisle
8 Mar 2025League Two	League Two	Harrogate Town1-0Carlisle
19 Oct 2024League Two	League Two	Carlisle1-1Harrogate Town
14 Nov 2023EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Carlisle2-0Harrogate Town
8 Aug 2023League Cup	League Cup	Harrogate Town1-0Carlisle
4 Feb 2023League Two	League Two	Carlisle0-1Harrogate Town
8 Nov 2022League Two	League Two	Harrogate Town3-3Carlisle
23 Apr 2022League Two	League Two	Harrogate Town3-0Carlisle
4 Jan 2022EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Harrogate Town1-0Carlisle
23 Nov 2021League Two	League Two	Carlisle0-2Harrogate Town

National League tableConferenceupdated 28 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the National League table, Carlisle sit 12th with 20 points from 14 games, while Harrogate Town are 2nd with 31 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	15	13	2	0	40:14	+26	41
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32:18	+14	31
3	Southend	15	8	5	2	36:24	+12	29
4	Yeovil Town	15	8	4	3	35:18	+17	28
5	Worthing	15	8	4	3	32:22	+10	28
6	Altrincham	15	9	1	5	22:20	+2	28
7	AFC Fylde	15	8	2	5	27:23	+4	26
8	Barrow	14	7	3	4	25:18	+7	24
9	FC Halifax Town	15	6	3	6	26:20	+6	21
10	Kidderminster Harriers	15	5	6	4	16:14	+2	21
11	AFC Hornchurch	15	7	0	8	17:23	-6	21
12	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25:21	+4	20
13	Aldershot Town	14	5	3	6	18:17	+1	18
14	Woking	15	5	3	7	24:24	0	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18:22	-4	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15:21	-6	18
17	Tamworth	14	5	2	7	25:31	-6	17
18	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15
19	Wealdstone	15	4	3	8	20:27	-7	15
20	Hartlepool	15	5	0	10	15:23	-8	15
21	Boston United	15	4	3	8	19:28	-9	15
22	Scunthorpe	14	3	1	10	18:28	-10	10
23	Solihull Moors	15	3	1	11	17:39	-22	10
24	Gateshead	14	1	1	12	9:33	-24	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.96X25%3.62228%3.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.60	2.35	5.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.56	2.23	8.9%
1xBet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
Best of all books	1.60	2.35	5.1%
Average	1.55	2.29	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.50	2.45	7.5%
1xBet	1.48	2.45	8.4%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.40	9.2%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.49	2.43	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Carlisle 10%Draw 45%Harrogate Town 45%

The statistical model rates Carlisle at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Harrogate Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.62 | 3.26, which imply roughly 27.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Carlisle are 12th (20 pts, 25-21 goals), Harrogate Town 2nd (31 pts, 32-18).

Over their last five matches, Carlisle averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Harrogate Town averaged 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Harrogate Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.62	3.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.71	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.43

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.37	3.72

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.63	3.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.99	13.5	28.0
HT X	5.30	6.30	7.83
HT 2	21.7	13.7	5.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	16.3	2.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.1
1.5	1.15	4.77
2.5	1.55	2.29
3.5	2.37	1.52
4.5	4.20	1.19
5.5	8.20	1.04
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.75	1.16	4.20
2	1.19	3.74
2.25	1.37	2.70
2.75	1.67	2.05
3	1.87	1.82
3.25	2.12	1.63
3.75	2.68	1.37
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.70	1.20
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.75	1.04
5.25	7.10	1.04
6	9.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.73	1.40
-0.75	2.22	1.59
-0.5	1.98	1.80
-0.25	1.72	2.02
0	1.48	2.48
+0.25	1.38	2.83

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.30	1.01
-3	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.73	1.07
-2.25	6.60	1.11
-2	5.95	1.09
-1.75	4.18	1.18
-1.5	3.41	1.27
-1.25	3.08	1.33
+0.5	1.33	3.34
+0.75	1.20	3.95
+1	1.10	5.77
+1.25	1.08	6.18
+1.5	1.07	6.63
+1.75	1.01	8.68
+2	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.29
7.5	1.18	3.84
8.5	1.38	2.64
9.5	1.71	2.01
10.5	2.16	1.62
11.5	2.70	1.39
12.5	3.85	1.18
13.5	5.65	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.03
7	1.05	5.77
7.25	1.12	4.56
7.75	1.20	3.65
8	1.22	3.46
8.25	1.31	2.98
8.75	1.44	2.52
9	1.51	2.39
9.25	1.60	2.17
9.75	1.79	1.92
10	1.93	1.80
10.25	2.00	1.72
10.75	2.27	1.55
11	2.53	1.46
11.25	2.62	1.40
11.75	3.05	1.29
12	3.48	1.22
12.25	3.65	1.20
12.75	4.38	1.13
13	5.25	1.08
13.25	5.45	1.07

Next National League matches

30 Oct	AFC Fylde – AFC Hornchurch
31 Oct	Forest Green – Harrogate Town
31 Oct	FC Halifax Town – Yeovil Town
31 Oct	Aldershot Town – Gateshead
31 Oct	Altrincham – Carlisle
31 Oct	Barrow – Eastleigh

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

27 Oct	Wealdstone 2-3 Solihull Moors
27 Oct	FC Halifax Town 2-3 Barrow
27 Oct	AFC Fylde 3-1 Hartlepool
27 Oct	Tamworth 4-1 Scunthorpe
27 Oct	AFC Hornchurch 1-2 Yeovil Town
27 Oct	Worthing 3-3 Southend