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Vitória SC vs Maritimo• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#130.4:1.25-0FT23/10 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães0.8:2.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.56PINX4.40BTN27.00BFRMargin at best1.1%Books9Markets89Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 18:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.534.406.802.8%
1xBet1.554.326.413.3%
Dafabet1.524.406.603.7%
Pinnacle1.564.166.094.6%
Betfair1.504.007.006.0%
Bet3651.484.106.507.3%
Marathonbet1.494.156.157.5%
William Hill1.504.006.008.3%
BetVictor1.454.106.508.7%
Best of all books1.564.407.001.1%
Average1.514.186.455.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vitória SCMaritimo
Last 10#13Table position#140.89Points per game0.897Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 52.233Attack rating6765Defence rating3567Form rating3393H2H rating761Goals model3966Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Vitória SC

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

17 OctARecreativa de Lamelas1-0W
11 OctABenfica0-2L
25 SepAChaves1-0W
20 SepHMoreirense1-1D
12 SepAAcademico Viseu1-2L
6 SepHCasa Pia0-0D
31 AugASC Braga0-1L
23 AugHNacional1-0W
14 AugASporting CP2-3L
8 AugHArouca0-1L

Maritimo

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

18 OctAAlcochetense2-1W
10 OctHFC Porto1-2L
19 SepAGIL Vicente1-1D
14 SepAMoreirense1-3L
5 SepHBenfica0-3L
29 AugAArouca1-2L
22 AugHAcademico Viseu2-2D
16 AugAFamalicao2-1W
8 AugHCasa Pia1-0W
29 JulHEstrela Calheta1-1D

Head to head

14Vitória SC wins
4draws
8Maritimo wins

26 meetings · goals 29:26 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Vitória SC

29 Apr 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo1-2Vitória SC
13 Nov 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Maritimo
13 Mar 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo0-1Vitória SC
22 Oct 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC2-1Maritimo
16 May 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo0-0Vitória SC
31 Jan 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Maritimo
19 Jul 2020Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Maritimo
12 Jan 2020Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo0-0Vitória SC
4 Mar 2019Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Maritimo
6 Oct 2018Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo1-3Vitória SC

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 26 Oct 00:01 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Vitória SC sit 13th with 8 points from 9 games, while Maritimo are 14th with 8 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto990021:4+1727
2Benfica861124:7+1719
3Sporting CP953121:11+1018
4Santa Clara853012:4+818
5Arouca952212:7+517
6Academico Viseu952213:11+217
7GIL Vicente94238:7+114
8Alverca932413:13011
9SC Braga93249:11-211
10Moreirense932411:16-511
11Famalicao924314:11+310
12Estrela924314:17-310
13Vitória SC922510:1008
14Maritimo92259:19-108
15Nacional921610:18-87
16Casa Pia92165:17-127
17Rio Ave92168:21-137
18Estoril90275:15-102

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.51X23%4.18215%6.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0023 Oct 19:301 1.51X 4.182 6.45
11.53 → 1.51 -1.3%X3.98 → 4.18 +5.0%25.97 → 6.45 +8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.891.993.2%
Pinnacle1.921.953.4%
Betano1.832.024.1%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.831.917.0%
Marathonbet1.821.927.0%
BetVictor1.791.898.8%
Best of all books1.922.021.6%
Average1.841.955.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.951.806.8%
Betfair1.871.877.0%
Betano1.911.837.0%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.901.788.8%
Marathonbet1.901.788.8%
Best of all books1.951.874.8%
Average1.901.827.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitória SC 45%Draw 45%Maritimo 10%

The statistical model rated Vitória SC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Maritimo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.18 | 6.45, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Vitória SC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Vitória SC are 13th (8 pts, 10-10 goals), Maritimo 14th (8 pts, 9-19).

Over their last five matches, Vitória SC averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Maritimo averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Vitória SC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vitória SC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tiago Margarido

Goalkeeper

  • 98Lucas Furtado

Defence

  • 23T. Strata
  • 21T. Borevković
  • 5A. Sidibé
  • 13João Mendes

Midfield

  • 16Beni
  • 8Gonçalo Nogueira
  • 11Gustavo
  • 20Samu
  • 7O. Camara

Attack

  • 9A. Jakupovic
Substitutes (12)
  • 10Alan
  • 48O. Zych
  • 4Óscar Rivas
  • 29V. Ouotro
  • 24A. Ndoye
  • 15Y. Mosquera
  • 19V. Andersson
  • 44L. Doucet
  • 2Miguel Maga
  • 6M. Mitrović
  • 17Miguel Nogueira
  • 40Mohammed Kebdani

Maritimo

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Goalkeeper

  • 30Fran Vieites

Defence

  • 2Igor Julião
  • 44Romain Correia
  • 22G. Szalai
  • 23Paulo Henrique

Midfield

  • 6Rodrigo Andrade
  • 14Raphael Guzzo
  • 15Tomás Tavares
  • 8M. Dominguez
  • 10Martín Tejón

Attack

  • 17Adrián Butzke
Substitutes (12)
  • 21I. Alani
  • 1Gonçalo Tabuaço
  • 27S. Bamba
  • 12M. Bassouamina
  • 11M. Diouri
  • 4Rafael Fernandes
  • 35B. Limbombe
  • 5Nilton Varela
  • 3N. Ogbeta
  • 13Alfonso Pastor
  • 90Maurice Osei Boakye
  • 66I. Ayuma

Match Statistics

Vitória SCMaritimo
1.82Expected Goals0.54
355Passes accurate243
10Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots2
11Free Kicks15
8Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal6
1Offsides6
443Total passes324
16Total Shots10
4Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks5
15Fouls11
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.514.186.45

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.521.21

Draw no bet

12
1.164.82

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.901.82

1st half

1X2
2.052.296.01

2nd half

1X2
1.812.675.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3016.452.6
HT X4.246.0012.6
HT 223.017.710.8

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.449.203.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.9
1.51.263.64
2.51.841.95
3.53.051.35
4.55.911.11
5.511.01.03
6.516.91.02
7.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.0110.2
11.038.20
1.251.144.77
1.751.313.10
21.412.82
2.251.642.22
2.752.061.72
32.431.54
3.252.621.42
3.753.551.23
44.741.15
4.255.051.11
59.321.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.931.37
-1.52.471.52
-1.252.171.66
-11.861.93
-0.751.632.21
-0.51.512.55
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.751.03
-37.801.04
-2.755.631.11
-2.54.561.17
-2.254.041.20
-23.911.24
-0.251.333.14
01.174.56
+0.251.155.10
+0.51.126.25
+0.751.047.27
+1.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.174.65
3.51.392.82
4.51.781.95
5.52.451.52
6.53.501.28

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.3
4.51.068.65
5.51.095.42
6.51.213.59
7.51.432.55
8.51.781.93
9.52.271.57
10.53.061.31
11.54.221.16
12.55.781.08
13.57.771.03
14.511.01.02
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.094.62
6.751.213.58
71.223.20
7.251.312.93
7.751.432.50
81.512.34
8.251.612.13
8.751.811.83
91.951.82
9.252.051.63
9.752.381.46
102.541.43
10.252.781.34
113.201.21
124.301.11
135.501.05

Next Primeira Liga matches

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All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

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