Alverca vs Arouca• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#82.0:1.00-1FT24/10 · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverkaduribajo1.2:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.231XBX3.40BFR23.74PINMargin at best1.0%Books9Markets83Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.21	3.28	3.64	3.2%
Pinnacle	2.14	3.25	3.85	3.5%
Dafabet	2.21	3.40	3.40	4.1%
Betano	2.15	3.40	3.45	4.9%
Betfair	2.15	3.40	3.40	5.3%
Bet365	2.10	3.30	3.50	6.5%
Marathonbet	2.12	3.15	3.50	7.5%
William Hill	2.15	3.30	3.20	8.1%
BetVictor	2.10	3.30	3.20	9.2%
Best of all books	2.21	3.40	3.85	0.6%
Average	2.15	3.31	3.46	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlvercaArouca

Last 10#8Table position#51.22Points per game1.899Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.063Attack rating3850Defence rating5056Form rating4450H2H rating5060Goals model4055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Alverca

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	A	Tondela	0-2	L
12 Oct	A	Famalicao	4-1	W
19 Sep	H	Rio Ave	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Nacional	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	SC Braga	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Santa Clara	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Sporting CP	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Estrela	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	FC Porto	0-2	L
1 Aug	H	Sporting CP B	1-0	W

Arouca

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	CF Os Belenenses	4-3	W
11 Oct	H	Estrela	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Sporting CP	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Santa Clara	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Estoril	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Maritimo	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	FC Porto	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Moreirense	4-0	W
8 Aug	A	Vitória SC	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Lusitânia Lourosa	2-0	W

Head to head

1Alverca wins

0draws

1Arouca wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Alverca

24 Apr 2026Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Alverca2-1Arouca
14 Dec 2025Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Arouca1-0Alverca

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 26 Oct 00:01 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Alverca sit 8th with 11 points from 9 games, while Arouca are 5th with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	21:4	+17	27
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	24:7	+17	19
3	Sporting CP	9	5	3	1	21:11	+10	18
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	+8	18
5	Arouca	9	5	2	2	12:7	+5	17
6	Academico Viseu	9	5	2	2	13:11	+2	17
7	GIL Vicente	9	4	2	3	8:7	+1	14
8	Alverca	9	3	2	4	13:13	0	11
9	SC Braga	9	3	2	4	9:11	-2	11
10	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	11:16	-5	11
11	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	14:11	+3	10
12	Estrela	9	2	4	3	14:17	-3	10
13	Vitória SC	9	2	2	5	10:10	0	8
14	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	9:19	-10	8
15	Nacional	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
16	Casa Pia	9	2	1	6	5:17	-12	7
17	Rio Ave	9	2	1	6	8:21	-13	7
18	Estoril	9	0	2	7	5:15	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.06X29%3.31226%3.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.13 → 2.14 +0.5%X3.27 → 3.29 +0.6%23.38 → 3.49 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.96	1.93	2.8%
1xBet	1.95	1.93	3.1%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.86	7.0%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.96	1.93	2.8%
Average	1.92	1.88	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.72	2.15	4.7%
Average	1.69	2.06	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alverca 45%Draw 45%Arouca 10%

The statistical model rated Alverca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arouca at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.06 | 3.31 | 3.67, which imply roughly 48.5% for a Alverca win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Alverca are 8th (11 pts, 13-13 goals), Arouca 5th (17 pts, 12-7).

Over their last five matches, Alverca averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Arouca averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Alverca

3-4-3

Coach: Sérgio Ferreira

Goalkeeper

31Matheus Mendes

Defence

14S. Baseya
21Sergi Gómez
12I. James

Midfield

20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
6D. Gui
35Rayan
55Francisco Chissumba

Attack

22Figueiredo
19D. Camara
10Chiquinho

Substitutes (12)

4Y. Bojang
7André Vidigal
26Matheus França
24E. Jemide
17S. Merheg
11C. Nuozzi
9Vivaldo Semedo
93Zé Rafael
2Zoubdi
8Vasco Moreira
91Jhonatan
25Ian Luccas

Arouca

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vítor Severino

Goalkeeper

12I. de Arruabarrena

Defence

28Tiago Esgaio
15Javi Sánchez
3José Fontán
18O. Lebedenko

Midfield

6E. van Ee
8T. Fukui
19A. Trezza
89Pedro Santos
7N. Djouahra

Attack

17Barbero

Substitutes (12)

21Mateo Flores
37Mario Climent
10Pablo Gozálbez
14Lee Hyun-Ju
24B. Mansilla
9F. Mayulu
4Diogo Monteiro
23D. Nandín
5B. Popović
20G. Rukavina
2L. Shahar
1J. Vinarčík

Match Statistics

AlvercaArouca

0.43Expected Goals2.06

222Passes accurate643

5Shots insidebox7

5Shots outsidebox10

4Blocked Shots4

14Free Kicks9

1Shots on Goal4

3Goalkeeper Saves1

5Shots off Goal9

1Offsides0

279Total passes711

1Red Cards0

10Total Shots17

1Yellow Cards2

3Corner Kicks3

9Fouls14

29%Ball Possession71%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.31	3.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.69	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.12	3.99

2nd half

1	X	2
2.42	2.46	3.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.41	13.9	35.8
HT X	5.20	4.88	7.64
HT 2	27.2	14.8	5.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	9.95	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.96
1.5	1.28	3.50
2.5	1.92	1.88
3.5	3.23	1.32
4.5	6.35	1.10
5.5	12.1	1.03
6.5	18.7	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.38
1	1.04	7.78
1.25	1.15	4.62
1.75	1.34	2.97
2	1.44	2.69
2.25	1.68	2.15
2.75	2.13	1.67
3	2.55	1.49
3.25	2.77	1.38
3.75	3.80	1.21
4	5.24	1.12
4.25	5.60	1.09
5	8.65	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.20	1.33
-0.75	2.44	1.52
-0.5	2.10	1.72
-0.25	1.80	1.99
0	1.52	2.50
+0.25	1.37	2.95

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.75	1.03
-2.25	7.95	1.03
-2	7.48	1.05
-1.75	5.21	1.13
-1.5	3.97	1.21
-1.25	3.55	1.27
+0.5	1.30	3.45
+0.75	1.18	4.56
+1	1.09	6.62
+1.25	1.07	7.04
+1.5	1.04	7.67
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.25	3.70
4.5	1.52	2.45
5.5	1.95	1.80
6.5	2.65	1.45
7.5	3.70	1.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	9.50
5.5	1.07	6.07
6.5	1.17	4.05
7.5	1.35	2.82
8.5	1.64	2.12
9.5	2.07	1.68
10.5	2.74	1.37
11.5	3.70	1.20
12.5	5.06	1.10
13.5	6.86	1.05
14.5	9.50	1.04
15.5	11.5	1.02

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.77
7	1.20	3.32
7.75	1.37	2.66
8	1.43	2.54
8.25	1.52	2.24
8.75	1.71	1.94
9	1.86	1.91
9.25	1.94	1.73
9.75	2.22	1.54
10	2.35	1.50
10.25	2.58	1.40
10.75	3.06	1.29
11	3.07	1.23
11.25	3.58	1.21
12	4.12	1.12
13	5.32	1.05

Next Primeira Liga matches

26 Oct

Santa Clara – Benfica

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

25 Oct	Sporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu
25 Oct	Rio Ave 0-4 Famalicao
25 Oct	Nacional 1-0 SC Braga
25 Oct	Estoril 1-3 Moreirense
24 Oct	GIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto
24 Oct	Estrela 0-2 Casa Pia