SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05• Bundesliga, Germany

#81.0:2.019:30Today · Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg2.2:2.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20B365X4.151XB22.161XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets97Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.20	4.16	2.16	1.6%
Marathonbet	3.15	4.10	2.13	3.1%
Pinnacle	3.19	3.91	2.15	3.4%
Dafabet	3.10	3.85	2.20	3.7%
Betfair	3.20	3.90	2.10	4.5%
Betano	3.05	3.90	2.15	4.9%
Bet365	3.10	3.80	2.15	5.1%
William Hill	3.00	3.80	2.05	8.4%
BetVictor	2.90	3.75	2.05	9.9%
SBO	2.73	3.38	2.14	12.9%
Best of all books	3.20	4.16	2.20	0.7%
Average	3.06	3.86	2.13	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05

Last 10#8Table position#71.43Points per game1.433Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 52.631Attack rating6957Defence rating4340Form rating6020H2H rating8018Goals model8234Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 22:50 UTC

SV Elversberg

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

27 Oct	H	SV Darmstadt 98	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	RB Leipzig	0-4	L
17 Oct	H	FC Augsburg	4-3	W
10 Oct	A	Union Berlin	0-1	L
24 Sep	A	Waldhof Mannheim	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	FC Schalke 04	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Bayern München	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4-3	W
29 Aug	H	Bayer Leverkusen	3-2	W
22 Aug	A	MSV Duisburg	3-1	W

FSV Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · goals 28:15 · per match 2.8 for, 1.5 against

27 Oct	A	VfL Bochum	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	FC Schalke 04	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	3-4	L
3 Oct	A	Waldhof Mannheim	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Krieschow	9-0	W

Head to head

0SV Elversberg wins

1draws

1FSV Mainz 05 wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for SV Elversberg

12 Aug 2023DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	SV Elversberg0-1FSV Mainz 05
8 Aug 2021DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	SV Elversberg2-2FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, SV Elversberg sit 8th with 10 points from 7 games, while FSV Mainz 05 are 7th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	5	2	0	25:6	+19	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	+8	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	4	1	2	16:9	+7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	+4	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	+9	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	+1	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	3	1	3	16:13	+3	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	+4	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	14:14	0	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	10:17	-7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10:13	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	1	0	6	11:22	-11	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.08X25%3.84245%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.16 → 3.08 -2.5%X3.82 → 3.84 +0.5%22.07 → 2.11 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.70	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.73	4.2%
Bet365	1.50	2.62	4.8%
1xBet	1.47	2.66	5.6%
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.61	7.8%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.73	3.3%
Average	1.47	2.65	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Betano	1.42	2.70	7.5%
1xBet	1.42	2.69	7.6%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.65	8.2%
Best of all books	1.44	2.80	5.2%
Average	1.41	2.73	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SV Elversberg 10%Draw 45%FSV Mainz 05 45%

The statistical model rates SV Elversberg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FSV Mainz 05 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.08 | 3.84 | 2.11, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: SV Elversberg are 8th (10 pts, 12-15 goals), FSV Mainz 05 7th (10 pts, 16-13).

Over their last five matches, SV Elversberg averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; FSV Mainz 05 averaged 2.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : FSV Mainz 05 and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.06	3.86	2.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.71	1.36	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.26	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.73

1st half

1	X	2
3.38	2.46	2.56

2nd half

1	X	2
3.13	2.79	2.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.82	13.8	21.2
HT X	7.70	6.84	5.81
HT 2	24.7	13.2	3.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	20.5	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.2
1.5	1.13	5.56
2.5	1.47	2.65
3.5	2.17	1.71
4.5	3.62	1.28
5.5	6.55	1.10
6.5	10.8	1.03
7.5	15.9	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.13	4.82
2	1.17	4.50
2.25	1.32	3.18
2.75	1.56	2.39
3	1.72	2.13
3.25	1.95	1.88
3.75	2.45	1.54
4	2.95	1.40
4.25	3.21	1.33
4.75	4.26	1.19
5	5.62	1.12
5.25	5.82	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.00	1.39
-0.25	2.66	1.47
0	2.33	1.61
+0.25	1.97	1.87
+0.5	1.72	2.12
+0.75	1.56	2.40

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-1.75	7.32	1.05
-1.5	5.81	1.12
-1.25	5.44	1.13
-1	5.07	1.16
-0.75	3.67	1.26
+1	1.38	2.99
+1.25	1.31	3.30
+1.5	1.26	3.59
+1.75	1.17	4.48
+2	1.09	6.28
+2.25	1.10	7.00
+2.5	1.06	6.67
+3.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.10	6.20
2.5	1.28	3.45
3.5	1.60	2.28
4.5	2.21	1.63
5.5	3.20	1.32
6.5	4.75	1.16
7.5	7.00	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.31	3.31
4	1.88	1.92
5	2.89	1.39

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.03	10.8
5.5	1.03	8.47
6.5	1.10	5.07
7.5	1.23	3.46
8.5	1.43	2.53
9.5	1.78	1.98
10.5	2.22	1.59
11.5	2.94	1.33
12.5	3.97	1.18
13.5	5.38	1.09
14.5	6.70	1.05
15.5	10.0	1.03
16.5	11.8	1.02
17.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
7	1.11	4.19
7.75	1.23	3.42
8	1.25	2.95
8.25	1.34	2.82
8.75	1.46	2.41
9	1.53	2.30
9.25	1.63	2.09
9.75	1.82	1.82
10	1.97	1.82
10.25	2.08	1.61
10.75	2.38	1.46
11	2.51	1.45
11.25	2.78	1.34
12	3.20	1.21
13	4.25	1.11
14	5.42	1.05

Next Bundesliga matches

31 Oct	Bayer Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart
31 Oct	Werder Bremen – 1899 Hoffenheim
31 Oct	FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg
31 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach – SC Paderborn 07
31 Oct	FC Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig
31 Oct	Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

25 Oct	SC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern München
25 Oct	1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen
24 Oct	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
24 Oct	RB Leipzig 4-0 SV Elversberg
24 Oct	FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Werder Bremen
24 Oct	1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04