SC Freiburg vs Bayern München• Bundesliga, Germany

#32.2:1.016:30Today · Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg3.4:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.751XBX5.80BTN21.45DAFMargin at best1.0%Books9Markets108Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	6.75	5.74	1.44	1.7%
Betano	6.50	5.80	1.44	2.1%
Marathonbet	6.65	5.65	1.42	3.2%
Dafabet	6.00	5.60	1.45	3.5%
Pinnacle	6.42	5.50	1.43	3.7%
Bet365	6.00	5.50	1.42	5.3%
BetVictor	6.50	5.25	1.40	5.9%
Betfair	6.50	5.00	1.40	6.8%
William Hill	6.00	5.00	1.40	8.1%
Best of all books	6.75	5.80	1.45	1.0%
Average	6.37	5.45	1.42	4.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC FreiburgBayern München

Last 10#3Table position#22.17Points per game2.339Form pts · last 592.2Goals for · last 53.41.0Goals against · last 50.839Attack rating6144Defence rating5648Form rating527H2H rating9372Goals model2840Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 22:10 UTC

SC Freiburg

7W 1D 2L · goals 26:14 · per match 2.6 for, 1.4 against

22 Oct	A	Monaco	0-3	L
18 Oct	A	Bayer Leverkusen	1-2	L
15 Oct	H	FK Jablonec	3-2	W
11 Oct	H	FC Schalke 04	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	FC Luzern	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Eintracht Frankfurt	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	SC Paderborn 07	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Werder Bremen	4-1	W
27 Aug	H	Motherwell	4-1	W

Bayern München

6W 4D 0L · goals 36:11 · per match 3.6 for, 1.1 against

21 Oct	H	Arsenal	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	RB Leipzig	6-1	W
13 Oct	A	Viking	3-3	D
10 Oct	A	FC Augsburg	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Union Berlin	7-0	W
13 Sep	A	SV Elversberg	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Bodo/Glimt	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	FC Schalke 04	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	VfL Osnabrück	4-1	W
28 Aug	H	VfB Stuttgart	5-1	W

Head to head

2SC Freiburg wins

6draws

23Bayern München wins

31 meetings · goals 26:82 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for SC Freiburg

4 Apr 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg2-3Bayern München
22 Nov 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern München6-2SC Freiburg
25 Jan 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg1-2Bayern München
1 Sep 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern München2-0SC Freiburg
1 Mar 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg2-2Bayern Munich
8 Oct 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich3-0SC Freiburg
8 Apr 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg0-1Bayern Munich
4 Apr 2023DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	Bayern Munich1-2SC Freiburg
16 Oct 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich5-0SC Freiburg
2 Apr 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg1-4Bayern Munich

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 24 Oct 19:50 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, SC Freiburg sit 3rd with 13 points from 6 games, while Bayern München are 2nd with 14 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	+8	17
2	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	22:5	+17	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16:9	+7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	+9	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	+1	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	3	1	3	16:13	+3	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	+4	9
10	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9
11	1. FC Köln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
12	SC Paderborn 07	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	10:17	-7	8
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	11:14	-3	6
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10:13	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	1	0	6	11:22	-11	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.37X18%5.45267%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.49 → 6.37 -1.8%X5.63 → 5.45 -3.2%21.38 → 1.42 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.29	3.65	4.9%
Bet365	1.25	4.00	5.0%
1xBet	1.29	3.61	5.2%
BetVictor	1.29	3.60	5.3%
Betfair	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Marathonbet	1.26	3.54	7.6%
Best of all books	1.30	4.00	1.9%
Average	1.28	3.63	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betano	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.41	2.73	7.6%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.69	8.1%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.75	1.7%
Average	1.43	2.67	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Freiburg 10%Draw 45%Bayern München 45%

The statistical model rates SC Freiburg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bayern München at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.37 | 5.45 | 1.42, which imply roughly 18.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: SC Freiburg are 3rd (13 pts, 15-6 goals), Bayern München 2nd (14 pts, 22-5).

Over their last five matches, SC Freiburg averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bayern München averaged 3.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bayern München.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.37	5.45	1.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.87	1.13	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
4.92	1.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
5.50	2.92	1.78

2nd half

1	X	2
5.02	3.38	1.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	10.3	17.4	16.4
HT X	15.1	9.42	4.64
HT 2	41.4	16.1	1.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.82	36.0	1.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	20.5
1.5	1.06	8.34
2.5	1.28	3.63
3.5	1.75	2.11
4.5	2.61	1.48
5.5	4.46	1.20
6.5	7.57	1.08
7.5	12.4	1.03
8.5	16.1	1.02
9.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.05	7.63
2	1.07	7.28
2.25	1.15	4.71
2.75	1.33	3.17
3	1.41	2.88
3.25	1.57	2.38
3.75	1.92	1.90
4	2.14	1.71
4.25	2.38	1.56
4.75	3.02	1.35
5	3.57	1.27
5.25	3.99	1.19
6	7.12	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.62	1.46
+1	2.35	1.58
+1.25	2.00	1.79
+1.5	1.80	2.03
+1.75	1.63	2.27
+2	1.47	2.66

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	11.3	1.02
-1	10.4	1.02
-0.75	7.62	1.06
-0.5	5.90	1.13
0	5.00	1.15
+0.25	3.56	1.25
+0.5	2.90	1.40
+2.25	1.37	2.96
+2.5	1.31	3.30
+2.75	1.24	3.78
+3	1.14	5.16
+3.25	1.12	5.42
+3.5	1.11	5.84
+4	1.08	7.80

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.25
1.5	1.18	4.50
2.5	1.48	2.57
3.5	2.17	1.65
4.5	3.00	1.35
5.5	4.60	1.17
6.5	7.00	1.08
7.5	9.75	1.03
8.5	12.0	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.20	4.36
3	1.74	2.12
4	2.90	1.39

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.03	10.0
5.5	1.05	7.70
6.5	1.12	4.82
7.5	1.25	3.28
8.5	1.48	2.46
9.5	1.87	1.87
10.5	2.33	1.55
11.5	3.10	1.30
12.5	4.18	1.17
13.5	5.70	1.08
14.5	7.31	1.04
15.5	11.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
7	1.11	4.22
7.75	1.24	3.34
8	1.25	2.98
8.25	1.34	2.78
8.75	1.48	2.38
9	1.69	2.13
9.25	1.65	2.06
9.75	1.84	1.80
10	2.01	1.77
10.25	2.10	1.60
10.75	2.40	1.45
11	2.48	1.41
11.25	2.81	1.33
12	3.17	1.22
13	4.22	1.11
14	5.37	1.05

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