Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund• Bundesliga, Germany

#14.0:1.017:30Tomorrow · Allianz Arena, Munich1.4:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.361XBX6.291XB28.53PINMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets110Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.36	6.29	8.15	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.34	5.71	8.53	3.9%
Dafabet	1.35	6.00	7.60	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.33	6.10	7.90	4.2%
Betfair	1.33	6.00	8.00	4.4%
Betano	1.34	5.80	7.70	4.9%
Bet365	1.33	5.75	7.50	5.9%
William Hill	1.35	5.00	7.00	8.4%
BetVictor	1.29	5.50	7.00	10.0%
SBO	1.30	5.32	6.09	12.1%
Best of all books	1.36	6.29	8.53	1.2%
Average	1.33	5.75	7.55	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund

Last 10#1Table position#22.43Points per game2.4311Form pts · last 5104.0Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 50.474Attack rating2629Defence rating7154Form rating4685H2H rating1574Goals model2663Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 22:50 UTC

Bayern München

6W 4D 0L · goals 36:11 · per match 3.6 for, 1.1 against

28 Oct	H	1. FC Magdeburg	6-1	W
25 Oct	A	SC Freiburg	3-1	W
21 Oct	H	Arsenal	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	RB Leipzig	6-1	W
13 Oct	A	Viking	3-3	D
10 Oct	A	FC Augsburg	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Union Berlin	7-0	W
13 Sep	A	SV Elversberg	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Bodo/Glimt	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	FC Schalke 04	0-0	D

Borussia Dortmund

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

27 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	3-2	W
24 Oct	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Sabah FA	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Union Berlin	0-0	D
14 Oct	A	Bodo/Glimt	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	VfB Stuttgart	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	SC Paderborn 07	3-0	W
8 Sep	H	Villarreal	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	1899 Hoffenheim	3-2	W

Head to head

27Bayern München wins

9draws

13Borussia Dortmund wins

49 meetings · goals 99:66 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Bayern München

22 Aug 2026Super Cup	Super Cup	Borussia Dortmund1-2Bayern München
28 Feb 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund2-3Bayern München
18 Oct 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern München2-1Borussia Dortmund
12 Apr 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern München2-2Borussia Dortmund
30 Nov 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund1-1Bayern München
30 Mar 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich0-2Borussia Dortmund
4 Nov 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund0-4Bayern Munich
1 Apr 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich4-2Borussia Dortmund
8 Oct 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund2-2Bayern Munich
23 Apr 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich3-1Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Bayern München sit 1st with 17 points from 7 games, while Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 17 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	5	2	0	25:6	+19	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	+8	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	4	1	2	16:9	+7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	+4	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	+9	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	+1	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	3	1	3	16:13	+3	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	+4	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	14:14	0	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	10:17	-7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10:13	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	1	0	6	11:22	-11	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.33X16%5.75213%7.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.35 → 1.33 -1.5%X5.63 → 5.75 +2.1%27.00 → 7.55 +7.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.27	3.85	4.7%
Bet365	1.25	4.00	5.0%
1xBet	1.27	3.75	5.4%
Betfair	1.22	4.20	5.8%
BetVictor	1.22	4.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.27	4.20	2.5%
Average	1.24	3.91	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betano	1.47	2.57	6.9%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.45	2.59	7.6%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Best of all books	1.47	2.80	3.7%
Average	1.44	2.65	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bayern München 45%Draw 45%Borussia Dortmund 10%

The statistical model rates Bayern München at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Borussia Dortmund at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 5.75 | 7.55, which imply roughly 75.2% for a Bayern München win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Bayern München are 1st (17 pts, 25-6 goals), Borussia Dortmund 2nd (17 pts, 12-4).

Over their last five matches, Bayern München averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bayern München or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.33	5.75	7.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	3.30	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
1.68	3.06	5.91

2nd half

1	X	2
1.56	3.54	5.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.78	17.4	44.6
HT X	4.61	10.6	17.4
HT 2	15.8	18.6	12.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	37.5	2.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.9
1.5	1.06	8.73
2.5	1.24	3.91
3.5	1.63	2.26
4.5	2.42	1.56
5.5	3.93	1.24
6.5	6.88	1.08
7.5	10.8	1.03
8.5	15.9	1.02
9.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
2	1.06	6.98
2.75	1.26	3.31
3	1.34	3.10
3.25	1.48	2.51
3.75	1.78	2.01
4	1.99	1.82
4.25	2.22	1.66
4.75	2.75	1.43
5	3.32	1.31
5.25	3.58	1.26
5.75	4.59	1.15
6	5.88	1.10
6.25	6.06	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.46	1.51
-2	2.25	1.63
-1.75	1.99	1.84
-1.5	1.80	2.03
-1.25	1.62	2.29
-1	1.44	2.75

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.75	1.04
-4	7.19	1.05
-3.75	5.90	1.13
-3.5	4.62	1.16
-3.25	4.22	1.18
-3	3.93	1.22
-2.75	3.19	1.31
-2.5	2.76	1.42
-0.75	1.35	3.05
-0.5	1.30	3.36
-0.25	1.20	4.16
0	1.10	5.78
+0.25	1.11	6.60
+0.5	1.11	6.60
+0.75	1.02	8.45
+1.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.10	6.30
2.5	1.33	3.18
3.5	1.78	1.96
4.5	2.49	1.51
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.90	1.16
7.5	7.20	1.07
8.5	9.75	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.19	4.29
3	1.52	2.47
4	2.10	1.74

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	11.3
5.5	1.06	8.00
6.5	1.09	5.45
7.5	1.20	3.72
8.5	1.39	2.69
9.5	1.69	2.06
10.5	2.12	1.65
11.5	2.73	1.38
12.5	3.62	1.21
13.5	4.93	1.11
14.5	6.59	1.05
15.5	9.50	1.04
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.09	4.52
8	1.21	3.20
8.75	1.39	2.59
9	1.47	2.45
9.25	1.53	2.23
9.75	1.70	1.96
10	1.94	1.86
10.25	1.93	1.74
10.75	2.19	1.56
11	2.40	1.49
11.25	2.52	1.42
11.75	2.91	1.32
12	2.95	1.26
12.25	3.42	1.23
13	3.90	1.14
14	5.02	1.07

Next Bundesliga matches

30 Oct	SV Elversberg – FSV Mainz 05
31 Oct	Bayer Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart
31 Oct	Werder Bremen – 1899 Hoffenheim
31 Oct	FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg
31 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach – SC Paderborn 07
31 Oct	FC Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

25 Oct	SC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern München
25 Oct	1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen
24 Oct	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
24 Oct	RB Leipzig 4-0 SV Elversberg
24 Oct	FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Werder Bremen
24 Oct	1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04