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Real Ávila vs Numancia• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#121.0:1.61-1FT11/101.0:0.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.03PINX3.10DAF22.42BTNMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets40Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 13:53 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.082.972.407.8%
Dafabet2.903.102.418.2%
BetVictor3.003.002.388.7%
Betano2.952.952.429.1%
1xBet2.982.922.3410.5%
Marathonbet2.912.922.3211.7%
Bet3652.753.002.3512.3%
Best of all books3.083.102.426.0%
Average2.942.982.379.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real ÁvilaNumancia
Last 10#12Table position#41.00Points per game2.007Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10035Form rating6520H2H rating800Goals model10031Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Real Ávila

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHNumancia1-1D
4 OctASS Reyes0-3L
27 SepHGetafe II1-0W
20 SepHCalvo Sotelo2-1W
13 SepANavalcarnero1-2L
5 SepAA Madrid III1-2L
12 AugAAtlético Tordesillas2-0W
8 AugHUnionistas de Salamanca2-0W
3 MayHDeportivo La Coruña II0-4L
26 AprARacing Santander II1-4L

Numancia

5W 3D 2L · goals 10:5 · per match 1.0 for, 0.5 against

11 OctAReal Ávila1-1D
4 OctAGetafe II0-0D
27 SepHGuadalajara1-0W
19 SepASS Reyes0-0D
13 SepHA Madrid III2-0W
6 SepAAtlético Paso2-0W
22 AugHZaragoza2-1W
17 MayAPoblense1-2L
10 MayHPoblense0-1L
3 MayHMarino de Luanco1-0W

Head to head

0Real Ávila wins
2draws
2Numancia wins

4 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for Real Ávila

12 Apr 2026Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Numancia2-1Real Ávila
9 Nov 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Real Ávila0-0Numancia
13 Apr 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Numancia2-0Real Ávila
30 Nov 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Real Ávila0-0Numancia

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Real Ávila sit 12th with 7 points from 7 games, while Numancia are 4th with 12 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1A Madrid III742110:7+314
2Real Valladolid II741214:6+813
3Conquense641114:7+713
4Numancia63306:1+512
5Salamanca UDS640210:7+312
6CF Talavera63219:6+311
7SS Reyes63129:6+310
8Gimnástica Segoviana723213:12+19
9Guadalajara622212:10+28
10Navalcarnero62229:908
11RSD Alcalá621310:1007
12Real Ávila72147:11-47
13Albacete II71339:21-126
14Atlético Tordesillas61238:10-25
15Atlético Paso61234:7-35
16Calvo Sotelo61232:8-65
17Real Madrid III60421:4-34
18Getafe II70436:11-54

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.94X31%2.98238%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 11:401 2.93X 2.972 2.37
13.25 → 2.93 -9.8%X3.11 → 2.97 -4.5%22.09 → 2.37 +13.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Pinnacle2.351.566.7%
BetVictor2.301.577.2%
1xBet2.271.549.0%
Marathonbet2.271.549.0%
Betano2.201.579.1%
Best of all books2.351.653.2%
Average2.271.577.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.921.778.6%
Betano1.881.808.7%
Marathonbet1.921.759.2%
Best of all books1.951.806.8%
Average1.921.778.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Ávila 10%Draw 45%Numancia 45%

The statistical model rated Real Ávila at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Numancia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.94 | 2.98 | 2.37, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Real Ávila are 12th (7 pts, 7-11 goals), Numancia 4th (12 pts, 6-1).

Over their last five matches, Real Ávila averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Numancia averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Numancia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.942.982.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.491.331.31

Draw no bet

12
2.041.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.77

1st half

1X2
3.701.933.13

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.216.951.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.086.35
1.51.402.65
2.52.271.57
3.54.031.18
4.57.801.05
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.085.65
1.251.243.47
1.751.512.34
21.712.01
2.251.991.72
2.752.681.39
33.421.23
3.253.801.19
3.755.181.10
47.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.931.38
-0.252.501.47
02.071.68
+0.251.722.00
+0.51.582.37
+0.751.372.82
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.331.08
-1.255.341.13
-15.371.11
-0.753.581.23
+11.213.89
+1.251.174.35
+1.51.144.77
+1.751.125.59
+21.048.55
+2.51.028.80

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

18 OctSalamanca UDS – Navalcarnero
18 OctNumancia – CF Talavera

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 OctRSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 OctSS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 OctConquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 OctAtlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara
18 OctReal Valladolid II 2-1 Real Ávila
18 OctGetafe II 2-2 Albacete II