Numancia vs 
Guadalajara• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:47 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.16 | 3.54 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 11.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.16 | 3.45 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.54 | 8.6% |
| Average | 1.97 | 3.23 | 3.47 | 10.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC
Numancia
5W 3D 2L · goals 10:5 · per match 1.0 for, 0.5 against
| 11 Oct | A | Real Ávila | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | Getafe II | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Guadalajara | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | SS Reyes | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | A Madrid III | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Atlético Paso | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Zaragoza | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May | A | Poblense | 1-2 | L |
| 10 May | H | Poblense | 0-1 | L |
| 3 May | H | Marino de Luanco | 1-0 | W |
Guadalajara
2W 4D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against
| 7 Oct | A | Real Madrid III | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Gimnástica Segoviana | 3-3 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Numancia | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | RSD Alcalá | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Salamanca UDS | 2-3 | L |
| 18 Aug | A | Marchamalo | 0-1 | L |
| 23 May | H | Real Madrid II | 2-2 | D |
| 17 May | A | Athletic Club II | 1-2 | L |
| 9 May | H | Arenteiro | 2-0 | W |
| 2 May | A | Real Avilés | 2-2 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 0:3 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Numancia
| 7 Apr 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Guadalajara1-0Numancia |
| 26 Nov 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Numancia0-2Guadalajara |
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 17 Oct 00:10 UTC
In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Numancia sit 3rd with 12 points from 6 games, while Guadalajara are 8th with 8 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | A Madrid III | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Numancia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Salamanca UDS | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Valladolid II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | +7 | 10 |
| 7 | SS Reyes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | RSD Alcalá | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Ávila | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Tordesillas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlético Paso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Calvo Sotelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Albacete II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Madrid III | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Getafe II | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 1.62 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 1.62 | 8.9% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.60 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Average | 2.13 | 1.62 | 8.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 1.80 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 1.77 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.90 | 1.72 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
| Average | 1.89 | 1.76 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Numancia at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Guadalajara at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.37 | 4.40, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Numancia win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Numancia are 3rd (12 pts, 6-1 goals), Guadalajara 8th (8 pts, 12-10).
Over their last five matches, Numancia averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Guadalajara averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Numancia or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 3.23 | 3.47 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 1.70 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.44 | 2.52 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.89 | 1.76 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.62 | 2.01 | 4.22 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 7.45 | 2.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 6.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| 2.5 | 2.13 | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 6.80 | 1.05 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.15 |
| 1.25 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 1.75 | 1.44 | 2.43 |
| 2 | 1.59 | 2.10 |
| 2.25 | 1.87 | 1.79 |
| 2.75 | 2.43 | 1.44 |
| 3 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| 3.25 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 3.75 | 4.79 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| -0.75 | 2.24 | 1.52 |
| -0.5 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
| -0.25 | 1.69 | 1.97 |
| 0 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
| +0.25 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| -1.75 | 4.49 | 1.13 |
| -1.5 | 3.74 | 1.19 |
| -1.25 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| +0.75 | 1.14 | 4.33 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 7.70 |