Ciudad de Lucena vs Badajoz• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#22.0:1.018:00Today1.0:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22DAFX3.30B36523.48PINMargin at best4.1%Books8Markets40Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.22	3.10	3.30	7.6%
Pinnacle	2.17	2.97	3.48	8.5%
Betano	2.18	3.15	3.20	8.9%
1xBet	2.15	3.02	3.22	10.7%
Betfair	2.15	3.10	3.10	11.0%
William Hill	2.15	3.00	3.20	11.1%
Bet365	2.05	3.30	3.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.13	3.02	3.14	11.9%
Best of all books	2.22	3.30	3.48	4.1%
Average	2.15	3.08	3.22	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ciudad de LucenaBadajoz

Last 10#2Table position#42.00Points per game1.7810Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.667Attack rating3338Defence rating6359Form rating410H2H rating045Goals model5552Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 06:01 UTC

Ciudad de Lucena

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Sanluqueño	2-1	W
27 Oct	H	Rayo Majadahonda	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Estepona	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Xerez	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Don Benito	4-2	W
4 Oct	H	Puente Genil	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Antoniano	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Tenerife II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Mijas Las Lagunas	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Linares Deportivo	1-1	D

Badajoz

4W 5D 1L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

1 Nov	H	Linares Deportivo	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Puente Genil	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Sanluqueño	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Marbella	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Sevilla Atletico	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Las Palmas II	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Real Betis II	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Xerez	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Tenerife II	2-1	W
20 Jun	A	Cuarte	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ciudad de Lucena and Badajoz on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 7 Nov 06:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Ciudad de Lucena sit 2nd with 18 points from 9 games, while Badajoz are 4th with 16 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	9	6	2	1	20:7	+13	20
2	Ciudad de Lucena	9	5	3	1	16:9	+7	18
3	Don Benito	9	5	2	2	15:11	+4	17
4	Badajoz	9	4	4	1	9:6	+3	16
5	Real Betis II	9	4	3	2	12:7	+5	15
6	Mijas Las Lagunas	9	3	5	1	17:13	+4	14
7	Sevilla Atletico	9	3	4	2	15:13	+2	13
8	Linares Deportivo	9	3	4	2	10:10	0	13
9	Puente Genil	9	3	3	3	9:7	+2	12
10	Xerez	9	3	3	3	8:7	+1	12
11	Estepona	9	3	3	3	13:15	-2	12
12	Atlético Central	9	4	0	5	12:15	-3	12
13	Sanluqueño	9	2	4	3	15:14	+1	10
14	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	11:14	-3	10
15	Marbella	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
16	Antoniano	9	1	3	5	10:18	-8	6
17	Tamaraceite	9	2	0	7	8:18	-10	6
18	Las Palmas II	9	1	2	6	4:16	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.16X29%3.09228%3.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.57 → 2.16 -16.0%X3.28 → 3.09 -5.8%22.40 → 3.22 +34.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.17	1.66	6.3%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.17	1.67	6.0%
Average	2.10	1.66	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.82	1.87	8.4%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.84	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Average	1.82	1.85	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ciudad de Lucena 45%Draw 45%Badajoz 10%

The statistical model rates Ciudad de Lucena at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Badajoz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.09 | 3.22, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Ciudad de Lucena win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Ciudad de Lucena are 2nd (18 pts, 16-9 goals), Badajoz 4th (16 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Ciudad de Lucena averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Badajoz averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ciudad de Lucena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.08	3.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.59	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.78	2.01	3.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.52	2.31	3.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.50	14.3	35.7
HT X	5.30	4.65	6.93
HT 2	27.0	15.2	5.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	7.60	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.77
1.5	1.34	2.89
2.5	2.10	1.66
3.5	3.48	1.23
4.5	6.95	1.08
5.5	19.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.15
1.25	1.19	3.78
1.75	1.42	2.56
2	1.56	2.22
2.25	1.83	1.85
2.75	2.39	1.49
3	2.96	1.32
3.25	3.20	1.26
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.30	1.26
-0.75	2.49	1.45
-0.5	2.13	1.66
-0.25	1.84	1.88
0	1.53	2.33
+0.25	1.37	2.75

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.5	4.10	1.16
-1.25	3.70	1.20
+0.5	1.28	3.37
+0.75	1.18	3.90
+1	1.07	5.85
+1.5	1.04	6.75

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches

7 Nov	Recreativo Huelva – Mijas Las Lagunas
8 Nov	Real Betis II – Tenerife II
8 Nov	Don Benito – Puente Genil
8 Nov	Estepona – Tamaraceite
8 Nov	Marbella – Las Palmas II
8 Nov	Sanluqueño – Xerez

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

2 Nov	Tenerife II 0-1 Don Benito
1 Nov	Ciudad de Lucena 2-1 Sanluqueño
1 Nov	Real Betis II 0-2 Recreativo Huelva
1 Nov	Tamaraceite 1-3 Xerez
1 Nov	Las Palmas II 0-1 Atlético Central
1 Nov	Antoniano 4-1 Estepona