Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#180.7:1.00-3FT27/091.0:1.3#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38WHX3.10B36523.33PINMargin at best4.3%Books5Markets41Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.95	3.35	3.55	9.3%
1xBet	1.91	3.22	3.67	10.7%
Betfair	1.90	3.30	3.60	10.7%
Bet365	1.91	3.30	3.50	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.22	3.58	11.9%
Best of all books	1.95	3.35	3.67	8.4%
Average	1.91	3.28	3.58	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AntonianoCiudad de Lucena

Last 10#18Table position#60.33Points per game1.603Form pts · last 580.7Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.340Attack rating6057Defence rating4350Form rating5064H2H rating3633Goals model6751Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 08:01 UTC

Antoniano

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

27 Sep	H	Ciudad de Lucena	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Mijas Las Lagunas	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Real Betis II	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Don Benito	1-2	L
3 May	A	Real Jaén	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Recreativo Huelva	2-0	W
18 Apr	A	Málaga II	2-3	L
12 Apr	H	Yeclano	1-1	D
4 Apr	A	Linares Deportivo	0-2	L
28 Mar	H	Águilas	1-0	W

Ciudad de Lucena

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

4 Oct	H	Puente Genil	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Antoniano	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Tenerife II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Mijas Las Lagunas	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Linares Deportivo	1-1	D
10 May	H	Dos Hermanas	2-1	W
3 May	A	Cádiz II	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Tomares	5-0	W
18 Apr	H	Bollullos	1-0	W
12 Apr	A	Sevilla III	3-0	W

Head to head

1Antoniano wins

3draws

1Ciudad de Lucena wins

5 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 5: 1W 3D 1L for Antoniano

12 Feb 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena0-2Antoniano
16 Oct 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Antoniano1-1Ciudad de Lucena
27 Feb 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena1-1Antoniano
31 Oct 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Antoniano1-1Ciudad de Lucena
22 Dec 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena3-1Antoniano

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 11 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Antoniano sit 18th with 2 points from 6 games, while Ciudad de Lucena are 6th with 8 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Betis II	6	4	2	0	9:1	+8	14
2	Recreativo Huelva	5	4	0	1	10:4	+6	12
3	Don Benito	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
4	Tenerife II	6	3	1	2	10:8	+2	10
5	Linares Deportivo	6	3	1	2	8:8	0	10
6	Ciudad de Lucena	5	2	2	1	7:4	+3	8
7	Sevilla Atletico	5	2	2	1	8:6	+2	8
8	Badajoz	5	2	2	1	6:5	+1	8
9	Puente Genil	6	2	1	3	6:5	+1	7
10	Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
11	Mijas Las Lagunas	5	1	3	1	10:10	0	6
12	Sanluqueño	5	1	3	1	7:7	0	6
13	Xerez	6	1	3	2	4:5	-1	6
14	Atlético Central	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
15	Marbella	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5
16	Las Palmas II	6	1	2	3	2:9	-7	5
17	Tamaraceite	6	1	0	5	4:12	-8	3
18	Antoniano	6	0	2	4	3:9	-6	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.23X31%2.90230%3.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 2.24 +17.3%X3.28 → 2.92 -11.0%23.58 → 3.04 -15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Betano	2.05	1.62	10.5%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.09	1.64	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
Betano	1.90	1.72	10.8%
Best of all books	1.90	1.81	7.9%
Average	1.89	1.77	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Antoniano 35%Draw 35%Ciudad de Lucena 30%

The statistical model rated Antoniano at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ciudad de Lucena at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 2.90 | 3.01, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Antoniano win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Antoniano are 18th (2 pts, 3-9 goals), Ciudad de Lucena 6th (8 pts, 7-4).

Over their last five matches, Antoniano averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ciudad de Lucena averaged 1 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Antoniano or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.28	3.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.73	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	2.02	4.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	8.05	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.95
1.5	1.33	2.81
2.5	2.09	1.64
3.5	3.63	1.20
4.5	6.60	1.06
5.5	12.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.41	2.52
2	1.55	2.17
2.25	1.84	1.82
2.75	2.38	1.46
3	3.04	1.29
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.81	1.33
-0.75	2.17	1.55
-0.5	1.93	1.83
-0.25	1.65	2.03
0	1.40	2.62
+0.25	1.28	3.05

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.10	1.04
-1.75	4.30	1.14
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.20	1.26
+0.75	1.12	4.64
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.01	8.50