Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#130.8:1.00-0LiveToday · Jerez2.0:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95B365X3.25B36524.34PINMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets45Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	2.91	4.34	9.2%
1xBet	1.90	2.95	4.16	10.6%
Bet365	1.95	3.25	3.50	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	2.95	4.05	11.8%
William Hill	1.91	3.00	3.80	12.0%
BetVictor	1.83	2.80	3.40	19.8%
Best of all books	1.95	3.25	4.34	5.1%
Average	1.90	2.98	3.88	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

XerezCiudad de Lucena

Last 10#13Table position#41.00Points per game1.835Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.029Attack rating7150Defence rating5033Form rating6738H2H rating6221Goals model7938Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Xerez

2W 6D 2L · goals 6:6 · per match 0.6 for, 0.6 against

10 Oct	A	Real Betis II	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Tenerife II	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Recreativo Huelva	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Don Benito	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Badajoz	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Estepona	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Portuense	0-0	D
17 May	A	Conquense	0-0	D
9 May	H	Conquense	1-1	D
3 May	H	Ucam Murcia	1-0	W

Ciudad de Lucena

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Don Benito	4-2	W
4 Oct	H	Puente Genil	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Antoniano	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Tenerife II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Mijas Las Lagunas	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Linares Deportivo	1-1	D
10 May	H	Dos Hermanas	2-1	W
3 May	A	Cádiz II	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Tomares	5-0	W
18 Apr	H	Bollullos	1-0	W

Head to head

1Xerez wins

4draws

5Ciudad de Lucena wins

10 meetings · goals 7:10 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Xerez

1 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena0-0Xerez
17 Dec 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Xerez1-1Ciudad de Lucena
22 Jan 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Xerez0-1Ciudad de Lucena
25 Sep 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena2-1Xerez
5 Mar 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Xerez3-0Ciudad de Lucena
7 Nov 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena1-0Xerez
8 May 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena1-0Xerez
21 Apr 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Xerez0-0Ciudad de Lucena
26 Feb 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Ciudad de Lucena2-2Xerez
13 Oct 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10	Xerez0-2Ciudad de Lucena

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 18 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Xerez sit 13th with 6 points from 6 games, while Ciudad de Lucena are 4th with 11 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Betis II	7	4	2	1	11:4	+7	14
2	Recreativo Huelva	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
3	Mijas Las Lagunas	7	3	3	1	16:12	+4	12
4	Ciudad de Lucena	6	3	2	1	11:6	+5	11
5	Badajoz	6	3	2	1	7:5	+2	11
6	Estepona	7	3	2	2	10:9	+1	11
7	Linares Deportivo	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11
8	Puente Genil	7	3	1	3	8:6	+2	10
9	Don Benito	6	3	1	2	9:8	+1	10
10	Tenerife II	7	3	1	3	11:11	0	10
11	Sevilla Atletico	7	2	3	2	12:12	0	9
12	Sanluqueño	6	1	4	1	10:10	0	7
13	Xerez	6	1	3	2	4:5	-1	6
14	Atlético Central	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
15	Marbella	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
16	Tamaraceite	7	2	0	5	7:14	-7	6
17	Las Palmas II	7	1	2	4	3:11	-8	5
18	Antoniano	7	0	3	4	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X30%2.98223%3.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 1.90 -5.0%X3.24 → 2.98 -8.0%23.37 → 3.88 +15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.29	1.59	6.6%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
BetVictor	1.95	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Average	2.20	1.55	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.70	9.3%
BetVictor	1.78	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	1.98	1.75	7.6%
Average	1.92	1.69	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Xerez 10%Draw 45%Ciudad de Lucena 45%

The statistical model rates Xerez at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ciudad de Lucena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 2.98 | 3.88, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Xerez are 13th (6 pts, 4-5 goals), Ciudad de Lucena 4th (11 pts, 11-6).

Over their last five matches, Xerez averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ciudad de Lucena averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Lucena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	2.98	3.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.71	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	1.94	4.55

2nd half

1	X	2
2.35	2.22	4.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.10	17.0	38.5
HT X	5.10	4.70	8.20
HT 2	27.5	17.0	6.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	7.30	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.00
1.5	1.37	2.73
2.5	2.20	1.55
3.5	4.10	1.16
4.5	9.00	1.02
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.75
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.48	2.38
2	1.66	2.04
2.25	1.90	1.71
2.75	2.61	1.40
3	3.36	1.25
3.25	3.72	1.20
3.75	4.99	1.11
4	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.24	1.29
-1	2.84	1.36
-0.75	2.23	1.58
-0.5	1.88	1.76
-0.25	1.65	2.11
0	1.37	2.85

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	7.00	1.06
-1.75	4.59	1.16
-1.5	3.64	1.22
+0.25	1.27	3.36
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.12	5.06
+1	1.10	8.33
+1.5	1.02	8.60

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

18 Oct	Don Benito 4-2 Atlético Central
18 Oct	Badajoz 1-0 Sanluqueño
18 Oct	Tamaraceite 3-2 Real Betis II
18 Oct	Las Palmas II 1-2 Puente Genil
18 Oct	Antoniano 3-3 Sevilla Atletico
18 Oct	Tenerife II 1-3 Mijas Las Lagunas