Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#121.8:1.610:30Today · Lorca1.4:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00WHX3.35BTN24.49PINMargin at best2.1%Books9Markets43Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.88	3.25	4.10	8.4%
Pinnacle	1.82	3.19	4.49	8.6%
BetVictor	1.90	3.30	3.90	8.6%
Betano	1.90	3.35	3.75	9.1%
1xBet	1.80	3.14	4.31	10.6%
Betfair	1.80	3.30	4.00	10.9%
Bet365	1.90	3.20	3.60	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.78	3.14	4.20	11.8%
William Hill	2.00	3.00	3.50	11.9%
Best of all books	2.00	3.35	4.49	2.1%
Average	1.86	3.21	3.98	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lorca DeportivaPoblense

Last 10#12Table position#101.13Points per game1.257Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4438Defence rating6241Form rating590H2H rating072Goals model2852Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Lorca Deportiva

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	A	Real Murcia II	2-3	L
18 Oct	H	Atlético Baleares	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	La Nucía	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Castellón II	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Intercity	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Orihuela	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Elche II	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Águilas	0-1	L
3 May	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L

Poblense

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

29 Oct	H	AD Ceuta FC	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Peña Deportiva	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Yeclano	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Castellón II	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Atlético Baleares	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Valencia II	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Alcoyano	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	La Nucía	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Atlético Baleares	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lorca Deportiva and Poblense on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 1 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Lorca Deportiva sit 12th with 9 points from 8 games, while Poblense are 10th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Castellón II	8	6	0	2	20:9	+11	18
2	Castellonense	8	5	1	2	13:7	+6	16
3	Ucam Murcia	8	5	0	3	17:10	+7	15
4	Cieza	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
5	Deportiva Minera	7	4	2	1	10:6	+4	14
6	La Nucía	7	4	0	3	11:8	+3	12
7	Orihuela	8	3	2	3	10:15	-5	11
8	Atlético Baleares	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
9	Yeclano	8	2	4	2	7:8	-1	10
10	Poblense	8	3	1	4	8:10	-2	10
11	Alcoyano	7	3	1	3	6:8	-2	10
12	Lorca Deportiva	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
13	Mallorca II	8	2	3	3	8:8	0	9
14	Intercity	7	2	3	2	8:10	-2	9
15	Real Murcia II	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7
16	Elche II	8	2	1	5	8:18	-10	7
17	Valencia II	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6
18	Peña Deportiva	8	1	1	6	6:11	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.86X28%3.21223%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.92 → 1.86 -3.1%X3.20 → 3.21 +0.3%23.70 → 3.98 +7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.08	1.71	6.6%
Betano	2.05	1.70	7.6%
BetVictor	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.71	6.1%
Average	2.06	1.69	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.82	8.4%
Betano	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.79	9.3%
Best of all books	1.88	1.85	7.2%
Average	1.87	1.82	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lorca Deportiva 10%Draw 45%Poblense 45%

The statistical model rates Lorca Deportiva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Poblense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.21 | 3.98, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Lorca Deportiva are 12th (9 pts, 10-10 goals), Poblense 10th (10 pts, 8-10).

Over their last five matches, Lorca Deportiva averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Poblense averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Poblense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.21	3.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.80	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.05	4.61

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.35	4.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.95	15.8	39.7
HT X	4.82	4.88	8.40
HT 2	25.3	16.2	6.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	8.05	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.25
1.5	1.32	2.98
2.5	2.06	1.69
3.5	3.52	1.22
4.5	6.60	1.07
5.5	12.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.17	3.98
1.75	1.40	2.65
2	1.53	2.29
2.25	1.79	1.89
2.75	2.36	1.50
3	2.91	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.35	1.16
4	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.94	1.32
-1	2.54	1.43
-0.75	2.05	1.66
-0.5	1.86	1.88
-0.25	1.62	2.18
0	1.31	3.09

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.20	1.03
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.75	4.30	1.18
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.22	3.60
+0.5	1.28	3.42
+0.75	1.08	5.55
+1	1.03	8.00
+1.5	1.03	8.70

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

1 Nov	Ucam Murcia – Mallorca II
1 Nov	La Nucía – Intercity
1 Nov	Peña Deportiva – Atlético Baleares
1 Nov	Alcoyano – Real Murcia II
1 Nov	Yeclano – Orihuela
1 Nov	Cieza – Deportiva Minera

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

25 Oct	Mallorca II 4-0 Elche II
25 Oct	Castellón II 2-1 La Nucía
25 Oct	Atlético Baleares 2-0 Alcoyano
25 Oct	Poblense 1-0 Peña Deportiva
25 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-4 Cieza
25 Oct	Real Murcia II 3-2 Lorca Deportiva